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Börsipäev 22. veebruar

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  • Rev Shark:

    Market Facing Some Tough Obstacles
    2/22/05 8:12 AM ET

    Life's challenges are not supposed to paralyze you, they're supposed to help you discover who you are.

    -- Bernice Johnson Reagon

    As we kick off a new week, the market faces some substantial challenges. We will need to be particularly vigilant this week as we are at a particularly important juncture and paralysis now can be very costly.

    We have some positive, and negative, developments. If the negatives take hold -- which looks like a good possibility -- we will need to be very aggressive in protecting our capital. We've had a decent bounce in certain sectors of the market recently and we can't sit idly now and let things slip. However, if the bulls can pull themselves together and push this market up, we will need to trade very aggressively in order to profit. There are some pockets of strength, such as pharmaceuticals, oils and steels, that offer opportunity, but we can't be passive if we hope to profit.

    Despite the fairly good technical picture of the S&P 500 and the Dow, I am not feeling particularly bullish about this market. The Nasdaq is obviously a laggard and the senior indices can only shrug off weakness there for so long before the technology stocks infect the rest of the market.

    Another concern is weakness in the financial sector. The Philly Bank Index (BKX) closed Friday at its lowest point since early November of last year and is poised to test its 200-day simple moving average. With both technology and financials struggling and defensive groups such as oils, precious metals and drugs leading, it is quite a stretch to consider this a healthy market even though both the DJIA and the S&P 500 are just slightly off multiple-year highs.

    I'm taking a very defensive posture right now with a high level of cash and a short time frame for any new trades. This looks like a particularly good time to explore the short side of the market if you are so inclined.

    I have to admit I'm not feeling very in tune with the market at the moment and I am being very careful about staying objective. My wife contracted a rather nasty antibiotic resistant infection called MRSA from her C-Section surgery. It has been a challenge to deal with that and take care of the new baby, and that is very likely to impact my market perception to some degree. It's important to stay aware of things like that which may color our thinking. My thanks to Cody Willard once again for filling in and doing a superb job.

    The early action this morning is very poor, with a spike up in crude oil toward $50 and a weak dollar taking most of the blame. Overseas markets are weak and precious metals are up sharply.

    It looks like we are in for a bumpy ride.

    Gary B. Smith:

  • Erkki Etola teatas, et on soetanud 6,21% Aspocompist (ACG1V), aktsia 5,6% plussis. sotasin näpuotsaga ka ise.
  • Täna siis chatis teemaks futuurid, futuurikaupleja Kalle jagab praktilisi kogemusi. Kõik oodatud, vestlus juba käib!
  • Oeh...kanali limiit on ületatud chatis ja enam sisse ei saa.. Kahju. Ootan siis vähemalt kokkuvõtet või proovin veidi aja pärast
  • joel2, soovitan pidevalt proovida, praegu 48 kasutajat, nii et peaks mahtuma!
  • Jah, huvi kujunes oodatust suuremaks, seega jõudis limiit kätte, tegeleme probleemiga, edaspidi ei tohiks lage ette tulla.
  • mida arvate ebay-st... kas jätkub langus koostöös turuga või suudab ta ennast millalgi tõusule rebida?
  • Selle kohta hea graafik Gary B. Smithi tänasest kogust:

  • kas neid gary b. smithi analüüse/graafikuid on ka kuskil saadaval nii internetist .. tasuta?
  • Gary B. Smith kirjutab Realmoney.com'is. Kuna tegemist on tasulise saidiga, siis vabalt neid graafikuid vist kahjuks ei leia.
  • Tänane futuurichat kujunes väga aktiivseks, tänud kõigile osalejatele. Üritan homme sellest ka kokkuvõtte LHV lehele üles panna.
  • Mnjah.. ootan huviga kokkuvõtet! Momentum, aitäh nõuande esst..Kahjuks loobusin proovimast sisse logida umbes kella 19 paiku ja lahkusin arvuti tagant veidiks ajaks. Tund aega sain järjest teateid, et limiit on täis ja lootusetus võttis võimust...ja andsin alla edasi proovimast.

    Enda viga loomulikult, sest oleksin pidanud lihtsalt varem kohal olema. Aga nagu öeldakse - vigadest tuleb õppida.
  • Kristjan, VIX tõusis täna korralikult, futuurid peaksid seega korralikult plussis olema?
  • VIX mõõdab volatiilsust ning selle tõusmine peaks turule tähendama eelkõige suurt liikumist, täna siis suurt languspäeva.
  • Milliselt lingilt saab VIX kohta infot (graafikuid) näha?
  • Pakuks välja järgmise lingi: http://www.vtoreport.com/sentiment/vixvxn.htm

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