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Börsipäev 17. jaanuar

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  • Prudential downgrades DirecTV (DTV 14.52) to Underweight from Overweight and $17 tgt, as they believe stricter requirements for new subscribers imposed in November are resulting in lower than expected subscriber net additions, especially from third-party dealers and Echostar (DISH) has rolled out stronger HD offerings that could appeal to high-end customers

    BofA downgrades Toll Brothers (TOL 37.74) to Sell from Neutral and a $33 tgt, as they cite weakening demand, particularly at higher price points and think the co may see more weakness than peers given its focus on the luxury segment of the market

    BofA downgrades Meritage Homes (MTH 64.41) to Sell from Neutral and $55 tgt, as they cite the risk of more significant slowing in the co's core markets

    UBS initiates ConocoPhillips (COP 60.76) with a Buy and $72 tgt, as they expect investors to gravitate toward the co given its steep discount valuation, strong exposure to robust OECD upstream margins, and considerable leverage to domestic refining fundamentals

    UBS initiates Amerada Hess (AHC 142.25) with a Buy and $170 tgt, as they believe the turnaround as the co's upstream operations isn't fully reflected in its valuation

    Citigroup downgrades SanDisk (SNDK 72.83) to Hold from Buy and $83 tgt, as they cite valuation

    Deutsche Bank downgrades Applied Materials (AMAT 20.15) to Hold from Buy, as they cite valuation and a 2006 orders and revenue profile that moderates declines in 2H06

    CIBC upgrades American Eagle Outfitters (AEOS 25.43) to Outperform from Sector Perform with a $34 tgt, as they cite renewed confidence in the co's merchandise assortments, its ability to comp positively despite tough comparisons this spring, and near- and longer-term growth in its intimates business

    CSFB upgrades UPS (UPS 74.67) to Outperform from Neutral with an $87 tgt based primarily on valuation opportunities, the recent alleviation of several overhangs on the stock, and their belief that the Street is undervaluing the company's 2007 earnings power

    CSFB downgrades Qualcomm (QCOM $48.64) to Neutral from Outperform as they see limited upside to their already optimistic forecasts for W.C.D.M.A adoption and handset growth, which they believe are now in line with mkt expectations

    Merrill Lynch downgrades Advanced Micro Devdices (AMD 34.13) to Sell from Neutral

    Deutsche Bank downgrades Qwest Communcations (Q $5.78) to Sell from Hold following the recent significant share price appreciation

    Lehman downgrades Caterpillar (CAT $62.33) to Equal Weight from Overweight as they believe the name has become fairly valued on 2007 (assumed) peak E.P.S

    Goldman Sachs upgrades Dow Jones (DJ 37.73) to In-Line from Underperform based on several incremental data points: 1) the recent management succession announcement, 2) signs of improved ad linage at The Wall Street Journal, 3) the first upward guidance revision in many quarters, 4) a positive and growing contribution from electronic publishing and 5) early signs of a positive advertiser response to the Weekend Journal

    UBS initiates XOM, CVX and MRO with Neutrals
  • Täna õhtul laekub tehnoloogiasektorist väga olulisi majandustulemusi.

    Intel (INTC). Pooljuhtide sektori võimsaima ettevõtte tulemused võivad homseks tooni anda kogu turule. Tulemuste osas pööratakse kindlasti tähelepanu käibe- (oodatakse $10,564 mld) ja kasuminumbritele (oodatav EPS $0,43) ning brutokasumi marginaalidele. Samuti oodatakse kindlasti vihjeid uue turunduskampaaniaga seotud täpsemate plaanide ja mõjude kohta tulevastele finantsnäitajatele.

    Yahoo (YHOO). Internetisektori ühe suurima tegija tulemused on teiseks oluliseks sündmuseks tänasel hilisõhtul. Käibeks oodatakse keskmiselt $1,073 mld ning kasumiks aktsia kohta $0,17. Koos Yahoo tulemustega tasub silm kindlasti peal hoida ka teistel otsingumootoritel (ANSW, INSP, MAMA, MIVA, BIDU) ja online reklaami (AQNT, MCHX, TFSM, VCLK) tegijatel. Samuti loomulikult tasub jälgida Google'it (GOOG), kes ise teatab tulemused 31. jaanuaril.

    Alljärgnevalt RBC Capital arvamus Yahoo'st enne tulemusi.
    YHOO Yahoo! tgt upped to $42 at RBC Capital (13. jan). RBC raises their tgt on YHOO to $42 from $37 and their Q4 EPS est to $0.18 (consensus $0.17) and raises their Q4 rev est to $1.1 bln (consensus $1.07 bln). The firm raises their projections for the co and factor in the appreciation in the value of its stake in Yahoo Japan, which is now worth $7.60 per YHOO share after applying a 35% illiquidity discount. The firm says 2006 guidance is still a question mark given the uncertainty of the timing of changes to the sponsored search platform. They say it is difficult for anyone to know if the growth in 4Q has been sparked by accentuated seasonality, raw secular trends, or both. If part of the 4Q upside has been due to seasonality,  the firm says that guidance may be conservative and valuation multiples could contract from the seasonal peak.

     

     
     
     

  • Intel tuli alla ootuste

    INTC prelim $0.40 vs $0.43 Reuters consensus; revs $10.2 bln vs $10.56 bln Reuters consensus

    INTC sees FY06 revs $41.1-42.3 bln vs $42.33 bln Reuters consensus

    INTC sees Q1 gross margin 59% plus or minus a couple of pts vs 60.1% street expectation

    AMD kukkus ka tulemuste peale kergelt
  • Intelilt suure ettevõtte kohta nii tugev langus (-7%), et 25 peal straddle oleks kasumis juba ... enamasti selliste ettevõtete straddle ideed ei toimi
  • Yahoo

    YHOO prelim $0.16 vs $0.17 Reuters consensus; revs $1.07 bln vs $1.07 bln Reuters consensus

    YHOO reports OIBDA $459 mln vs $452-482 mln company guidance

    YHOO sees FY06 revs $4.6-4.85 bln vs $4.80 bln Reuters consensus

    Google hetkeks 10 punkti jagu madalamal
  • Lisaks pani veel ka Yahoo! pange ....aktsia järelturul -9%
  • Paistab, et homme hommik tuleb rõõmsalt punane.
  • Ka AAPL järelturul juba -2% homsete tulemuste ootuses.
  • mis tähendab, et kogu turu optimism võib kaduma minna.
  • Kuigi eks see tulemuste aeg ole valdavalt ameerikamäed
  • Nojah, aga seda omavad vaid usa pärismaalased. Mis meil sellest kasu.
  • Ma ei tea kas ma näen õigesti, aga Yahoo andmetel tõusis SOV peale turu sulgemist 91,14%.
    Kõva sõna.
  • Vaatasin Yahoo Finance-st just maailma ja USA indeksite eilse päeva tulemusi ja sain kokku napilt 5 indeksit mis eile (täna) plussis olid - ülejäänud kümned indeksid üle maailma on kõik punases.

    Ma ei ole üldse kindel kas see ka midagi olulist näitab, aga loodan ikkagi et tuleb täna parem päev.
  • Minumeelest kuluski üks külm sahmakas ära. Vaata mida turud viimasel ajal teinud on.
  • Ooper, keegi õnnetu tegi peale turu sulgemist lihtsalt market orderiga tehingu. Hiljem oli juba ask tunduvalt allpool.

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