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Börsipäev 13. november

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  • General Electric (GE 35.17), Intel (INTC 20.58) and Office Depot (ODP 41.66) added to Citigroup's Recommended List

    CIBC upgrades RF Micro Devices (RFMD 6.87) to Sector Outperformer from Sector Performer and $9 tgt, as they expect '07 to be a year in which the co capitalizes on products introduced in '06 (P3 with Nokia) as well as ride a wave of product introductions in GPS, WLAN and GaN HPAs

    UBS downgrades SanDisk (SNDK 45.75) to Neutral from Buy and lowers tgt to $55 from $75

    Citigroup initiates UPS (UPS 75.56) with a Buy and an $85 tgt...

    Citigroup initiates Fedex (FDX 114.75) with a Buy and a $132 tgt

    Wachovia notes they met with ISIL, MCRL, IDTI, and LLTC in Silicon Valley late last week, as well as attended CY's analyst day. They say commentary was mostly cautious on the near-term outlook. Given the recent reduction in Q4 guidance for the group, the firm does not view this commentary as surprising. However, they do believe that sluggish order trends in the semiconductor space warrant a more conservative trading stance in the group. They expect to see better entry points in the coming months.

    Täna kirjutab WSJ päris huvitaval teemal:

    WSJ reports a new Rand Corp. study showing the falling costs of ethanol, wind power and other forms of renewable energy predicts such sources could furnish as much as 25% of the U.S.'s conventional energy by 2025 at little or no additional expense. A second renewable-energy report soon to be released by the National Academy of Sciences suggests wood chips may become a plentiful source of ethanol and electricity for industrial nations because their forested areas are expanding, led by the U.S. and China. Because use of renewable fuels to replace oil and cut emissions of carbon dioxide is an area on which Congress's coming Democratic leadership and the Bush administration agree, the studies are likely to hasten efforts to increase production incentives next year, either in a new energy bill or a farm bill. The Rand study concludes that because prices for gasoline, natural gas and coal are likely to remain high, their cost advantage over renewables will erode, furthered by the hope that ethanol from farm wastes will be available by 2020.

  • Lisaks arutleb WSJ HEARD ON THE STREET kolumnis energiaaktsiate üle. Täpsemalt raha voolust spekulatiivsetesse energiaaktsiatesse. Viimasel ajal on demokraatide võimuletuleku tõttu neist palju räägitud, kuid mulle meeldib pigem, et tähelepanu pooratakse Cameco-le (CCJ). Uraani-mängude vahel ei ole just palju valida. Artikkel ise siin(txt).

  • UPS-i üle hea meel, üks mu lemmikutest viimasel paaril kuul. Viimane kvartal pühade tõttu selgelt nende parim, kulusid tõmmatakse kokku ja marginaale üritatakse parandada. Kasvu tagab kiire laienemine ja Aasia tõus.
  • Täna kommenteerib Bank of America Best Buy situatsiooni. Kommentaar sisaldab ka väiteid WMT kohta, mis ei ole küll saladus, kuid arvestades läinudnädalast teadaannet WMT poolt elektroonikahindade alandamise kohta, siis kindlasti taas asjakohane. WMT surub tarnijaid ning nende varud on jäädavalt suured. Siit võib üht-teist ka CLX kohta välja lugeda.

    BBY Best Buy: Pressuring vendors to suspend minimum average pricing, unprecedented - BofA (52.31 ) -Update-

    BofA learned BBY is pressuring vendors to suspend minimum average pricing for several days prior to Thanksgiving, which is unprecedented. They question whether the high inventory position at the end of Q3, or aggressive pricing by WMT could be the reason behind this move. Firm believes prices on flat screen TVs are approaching the commoditization sweet spot for mass market retailers, indicative of the pressure on the Consumer Electronics retailers, including Circuit City (CC). They continue to believe, similar to firm's analysis this summer, inventories remain high. Higher industry wide inventories along with a slew of new competitors, including Home Depot (HD), Kohl's (KSS), Office Depot (ODP), Staples (SPLS) and even Kroger (KR) are driving accelerated price declines in electronics. Firm questions the ability of these other retailers to succeed in selling TVs, but firm is concerned that as they learn this lesson, the process could hurt current sales and margin opportunities. 

  • lissabonile väike lühikokkuvõte ka siis Citi arvamusest:

    ➤ Given our expectations for double-digit EPS growth for the next few years, andwith UPS trading at ~18x our '07 estimate (the low end of its historical range),we believe the stock has more upside over the next 12 months.

    ➤ UPS Supply Chain Solutions ("SCS") is slated to turn profitable in Q406,which we think should prove to be a positive catalyst for the stock, while alsomitigating investor concerns regarding SCS's recent lackluster performance.

    ➤ We believe that UPS is gearing up for a banner year in '07: to further boostreturns to shareholders, we expect UPS to use its robust free cash flow tocontinue aggressively repurchasing shares.

    ➤ After a challenging year in terms of acquisition integrations, we are upbeatabout 2007, and expect to see some meaningful traction for the Companyduring its landmark Centennial year

    .➤ We are initiating coverage with a Buy rating and 12-month target price of $85.

     

  • Shark on tasapisi turu suhtes negatiivsemaks muutumas. Väljavenitatud aktsiagraafikud muudavad aktsiate ostmise psühholoogiliselt keeruliseks.

    When Smaller Is Better in Trading

    By Rev Shark
    RealMoney.com Contributor
    11/13/2006 8:32 AM EST
    Click here for more stories by Rev Shark

    "A good idea is about ten percent of success; implementation, hard work and luck is ninety percent."

    -- Guy Kawasaki

    For several months now it has been a good idea to be bullish. We have been trending strongly, have had only minor pullbacks and we are showing few signs of slowing down. If you've been bullish you have likely been successful.

    However, the longer this rally goes the more difficult it becomes to implement a bullish strategy. It is quite easy to look at the major indices, see this big uptrend over the last few months and think "Yes, I need to be heavily long and ride this move." Although the idea may be a good one it is becoming increasingly difficult to find ways to do it. A lot of leading stocks have already made very big moves and they don't offer easy entry points. The risk of buying is great even if you do believe that the market as a whole is going higher.

    Many bulls have a tendency to shrug off that sort of thinking as needlessly negative. After all, if a stock is still a "good value" and we have a good market why should we be overly concerned if they are technically extended? We see all the time how extended stocks become even more extended, and you'll miss out if you are overly conservative while those around you are riding the momentum train.

    Like many things in the market it comes down to a matter of style. The smaller, flexible trader will find it much easier to implement a bullish strategy in an extended market. It is much easier to chase technically extended stocks when you hold smaller positions because you can sell quickly and move to safety should things turn on you.

    For the larger, more methodical investor who doesn't have the time or inclination to watch stocks every minute, chasing extended stocks is more problematic. The difficulty is that it is much easier to find yourself suddenly trapped when the market turns and the losses can come very quickly when an extended, high-momentum stock suddenly corrects.

    Being a bull at this point is one thing but implementing that thinking is going to be increasingly difficult.

    However, that doesn't mean you should be negative; it simply means you need to stay selective and not let the bullish emotions of others drive you to enter positions that don't fit your parameters. You might have great confidence in a stock like Apple in a positive market but you still have to ask whether it offers a prudent entry point if you are trying to put some idle cash to work. Even if you are bullish about the market and believe that Apple is going to go higher over the next few years, that doesn't mean it has an attractive entry point right now.

    So stay bullish if you believe that is best but don't get sloppy with your implementation of that thinking. If you are right about the future of the market, success is likely to depend more on hard work, luck and implementation that your market thesis.

    We have a mixed start to the new week with little notable news on the wires. Some mergers and acquisitions are helping trading in Europe while Friday's softness in metals and mining is hurting Asia. Oil and gold are trading down again this morning.

    At the time of publication, De Porre had no positions in stock mentioned, although holdings can change at any time.
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    Turud avanevad suhteliselt nulli lähedalt.

    Allapoole avanevad:

    FVRL -29% (disappointing clinical data for FavID), BBC -16% (Amex tells co it is not in compliance with listing standards), JADE -12% (reports Q3, guides Q4 revs below consensus), ILMN -9% (to acquire SLXA), EMMS -7%, GI -6.4% (Western Refining lowers offer to acquire GI), ELNK -5.2% (announces convertible offering), ESV -4.2% (Morgan Stanley downgrade), CATY -3.2%, SWKS -2.4% (Thomas Weisel downgrade), BQI -2.3%, Copper/mining stocks are weak on spike in inventory, the highest levels since April 2004: RTP -4.6%, AAUK -3.5%, FCX -3.1%, BHP -3.1%, SLW -3%, GFI -2.7%, AUY -2.6%, RIO -2.5%, PD -2.2%, Under $3: MVIS -11% (prices offering).

    Ülespoole avanevad:

    SLXA +37% (to be acquired by ILMN), ISIS +32% (cholesterol drug shown to be effective), EFUT +14% (recent IPO extends momentum, +80% in 2 days), VDM +11% (moves up reporting date to tomorrow), ORCT +8%, DVAX +5.7% (announces clinical data), TRMP +5.4% (Cramer bullish on Mad Money), KNOT +5% (reports Q3), DNDN +4.7% (completes submission of Biologics License Application to FDA for Provenge), MA +4.3% (on Mad Money, Cramer says it could go to $150), ELTK +3.8% (reports Q3), RIV +3.5% (receives acquisition proposal), RFMD +3.4% (CIBC upgrade), LAB +3.3% (extends Friday's 11% move), UAUA +3.3% (co may go private -- Chicago Tribune), COMS +2.8%, HANS +2.7% (Canaccord Adams upgrade).
  • Ettevaatust lissabon, UPS-il on kombeks jõuludeni rallida ja siis peale aastavahetust satub depressiooni.
  • miks ma kuskilt VODAFONE ei leia? (või ei oska otsida)
  • LONDON, Nov 14 (Reuters) - Mobile phone giant Vodafone Group Plc (VOD.L: Quote, Profile, Research) topped forecasts for half-year core earnings on Tuesday and reaffirmed its full year forecasts.

    British-based Vodafone said EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation) for the first-half to Sept. 30 rose to 6.24 billion pounds ($11.94 billion) on revenues of 15.6 billion pounds.

    Analysts had on average expected the group to report EBITDA of 6.08 billion pounds, with forecasts ranging between 5.98 and 6.19 billion. The average forecast for revenue was 15.63 billion.

    The company reiterated full-year forecasts for organic mobile revenue growth of 5-6.5 percent and EBITDA margins one percentage point lower, but raised its outlook for free cash flow from continuing operations to 4.7-5.2 billion pounds due to the delayed settlement of some long-standing tax issues.

    http://today.reuters.com/news/articlebusiness.aspx?type=tnBusinessNews&storyID=nWLB3066&imageid=&cap=&from=business

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