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Börsipäev 30. jaanuar

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  • Tulemuste tabel on taaskord uuenenud ning asub siin. 

  • As of Dec. 31, GE had just $8 billion of tangible shareholder equity, excluding $96.7 billion of goodwill and other intangible assets. GE’s long-term debt, by comparison, was $523.8 billion.

    bloomberg GE reitingust
  • See võtab väga hästi kokku ameeriklaste huvi tänases seisus autode vastu:

    A neighbor of mine called me Thursday. His company sells to car dealerships, among others. It seems he was at what he called the largest trade show for car dealerships in the country last week. He told me they typically get anywhere from 15,000 to 20,000 folks attending this trade show. Would anyone care to hazard a guess as to how many attendees were there?

    He says about 1,100. And no, I didn't leave off a zero.
  • Koondamised jätkuvad: Morgan Stanley (MS) may cut 5% of staff.
  • Amazonilt tulid eile väga korralikud tulemused ning aktsia ca 15% plussis. Briefing vahendab analüüsimajade kommentaare järgmiselt:

    Friedman Billings: Firm raises their tgt to $63 from $45, noting AMZN reported 4Q results above expectations, though guidance for 1Q09 was mixed. Firm says while top-line growth decelerated significantly from 30.1% in Q3, relative to the -2% figure being reported for e-commerce as a whole, AMZN gained significant share in the qtr, though at some expense to gross margins, which contracted 50 bps YOY. Clearly, that kind of share gain, combined with the co's solid execution in a tough environment, warrants a significant premium to the mkt. Firm believes that rising unemployment and further reductions in consumer spending could become more of an issue at this valuation...

    Lazard: Firm says AMZN's margins were pressured by price discounting, as expected. Gross margin of 20.1% decreased by 52 bps y/y and was slightly below firm's estimate as AMZN continues to lower prices and subsidize shipping costs. The Q1 outlook implies limited visibility. While rev guidance is in line with firm's previous target, the outlook reflects some margin deterioration. Firm maintains a HOLD rating on AMZN, given the ongoing lack of visibility into consumer spending in '09 as well as the co's premium valuation to comparable Internet cos. Firm believes expectations embedded in the stock largely discount significant long-term margin expansion and free cash flow...

    Jeffries: Firm raises tgt to $60 from $54, noting revenues and EPS were both comfortably above consensus. AMZN's continued focus on value and user experience helped drive better than expected revenue growth and mkt share gains. Aggressive pricing is likely to continue to pressure margins near-term as reflected in 1Q09 guidance. Valuation and lack of short term visibility keep firm on the sidelines.

  • ECONX Q4 GDP- advanced -3.8% vs -5.5% consensus, prior -0.5%.
    Q4 Chain Deflator-Advanced -0.1% vs +0.4% consensus.
  • Inventories Boost GDP

    Inventories rose slightly in the fourth quarter. That compared to a large drop in the third quarter, so the contribution to GDP from inventories was a much stronger-than-expected 1.3%. That led to a smaller-than-expected drop in overall GDP of 3.8%, compared to an expected drop of about 5.5%. The other components were not as upbeat. Personal consumption expenditures (consumer spending) dropped at a 3.5% annual rate and sliced 2.5% off GDP. Nonresidential investment plunged at a 19% annual rate and residential investment (housing) dropped at a 28% annual rate. Government spending did manage a modest increase. Also a bit of a surprise, net exports added 0.1% to GDP rather than taking a bit off. Overall, the trends in the key components -- business investment, consumer spending, and housing -- remain poor. The inventory boost is not likely to continue into the first quarter, and net exports could well turn negative. That sets the stage for a similar decline at a rate of 3% to 4% for first quarter real GDP... The headline on this report is not as bad as feared, but the breakdown doesn't provide much encouragement.
  • USA aktsiaturud alustavad positiivse poole pealt. S&P500 +0.15%, Nasdaq +0.2% ning nafta +4%.

    Saksamaa DAX -0.94%

    Prantsusmaa CAC 40 -0.89%

    Inglismaa FTSE 100 -0.42%

    Hispaania IBEX 35 -0.68%

    Venemaa MICEX +2.68%

    Poola WIG -0.78%

    Aasia turud:

    Jaapani Nikkei 225 -3.12%

    Hong Kongi Hang Seng +0.94%

    Hiina Shanghai A (kodumaine) N/A (börs suletud)

    Hiina Shanghai B (välismaine) N/A (börs suletud)

    Lõuna-Korea Kosdaq +0.25%

    Tai Set 50 +0.70%

    India Sensex 30 +2.04%

  • Kas ka foorumi lepingus ei lölda ,et laim ,sõim, pole lubatud?
  • tarts, oleks tervitatav, kui saaksid oma mõtteid selgemalt väljendada. Et oleks aru saada, millega seoses tekste postitatakse.
  • Losing Streak Is Intact
    By Rev Shark
    RealMoney.com Contributor
    1/30/2009 9:18 AM EST

    Winning is a habit. Unfortunately, so is losing.
    -- Vince Lombardi

    If you want to be successful in the stock market, there is one very basic thing you need to do: Respect the primary trend. When the major trend is down, you stay heavily in cash. When we are trending up, you stay mostly invested in stocks.

    It is a pretty simple concept and it isn't even that hard to implement, but the vast majority of investors have a very hard time doing it. Part of the problem is that traditional Wall Street constantly encourages us to look for turning points, especially in bear markets. However, many investors just have an extremely difficult time being patient and waiting for trend to turn. They keep wanting to do something and they lose track of the big picture.

    It is painfully obvious that this market is in the middle of a big, ugly losing streak right now. The bulls score some points here and there, like on the "bad bank" bailout news, but they are not winning any major games. Nonetheless, we keep hearing from folks who want to guess when these bulls are going to turn into a Super Bowl team. How about seeing if they can put a few wins together first? Once the bulls can show us that they know how to consistently put some points on the board, maybe we can look for them to continue to do so.

    One of the most dangerous and widely held beliefs about the market is that we should "buy low and sell high." Who can argue with that? Obviously if you do that you will make a mint. The big problem is that most investors are clueless when it comes to identifying "low." They can identify when a stock is lower -- because they are losing money -- but very few are accurate when it comes to identifying THE low, and that is where the danger comes.

    We need to refrain from buying stocks that are low, instead buying stocks that are going up. Stocks that are low most often are going even lower, and it's an act of hubris to think you will know when they have gone low enough.

    So keep Coach Lombardi in mind as you consider this market. Winning and losing are habits, and we want to bet on habits continuing until we are shown otherwise. Unfortunately, this market is looking like the Detroit Lions -- while it may actually score some points, we'd be foolish to bet on a winning streak.

    The GDP numbers were a bit better than expected, and Amazon (AMZN) put up a great report, but the buyers are cautious as the overall news flow continues to be quite negative. I'm looking for dip-buyers to give it a try, but I'm not sure they will have much juice. I'm flipping some gold stocks this morning into strength, but I continue to like that group for some trades.
    -----------------------------
    Ülespoole avanevad:

    In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: ENTU +19.0% (light volume), YRCW +18.8%, ARAY +16.1% (also upgraded to Buy at Piper), CYBS +13.9%, AMZN +13.2%, SPWRA +12.1%, MIPS +8.7% (light volume), QSII +7.5%, DRIV +6.8%, SXE +5.6% (light volume), ARBA +5.1%, NCMI +5.0%, SPG +3.5%, VAR +3.5%, CB +2.8%, CVX +2.7%, PAR +2.4%, XOM +1.7%... M&A news: WSTF +14.6% (announces merger agreement with select staffing, will be acquired for $1.25)... Select stem cell names trading higher with the Science Daily reporting that stem cell transplant reverses early-stage multiple sclerosis: ASTM +21.2%, STEM +6.3%, GERN +3.8% (filed for a ~263k share common stock offering by selling shareholders)... Select solar names trading higher following SPWRA results: ESLR +5.5%, STP +4.0%, JASO +3.4%, FSLR +3.0%, SOL +2.0%, LDK +1.3%... Select financials showing strength: BCS +9.0%, RBS +8.7%, LYG +5.2% (looks to offload Lex car leasing co - Daily Telegraph), DB +2.9%, UBS +2.1%, HBC +2.0%... Select metals/mining names showing strength: NG +6.4%, HL +4.9%, SLW +3.3%, AUY +3.0%, RTP +2.2% (reaches agreement to sell potash assets and Brazilian iron ore operation), GLD +1.5%... Other news: NEOG +8.1% (Datascope's place in the S&P SmallCap 600 will be taken by Neogen after the close of trading on February 2, 2009), SAY +7.4% (India's Spice joins race for Satyam - Reuters.com), HEW +6.5% (will replace Puget Energy in the S&P MidCap 400 after the close of trading on February 6, 2009), AMLN +6.1% and SQNM +3.8% (still checking), WLL +1.4% (announced that its public offering of 8 mln shares of common stock was priced at $29.00 per share to the public)... Analyst comments: BSX +4.7% (upgraded to Outperform at Wachovia and upgraded to Overweight at Weisel), TRA +3.3% (upgraded to Buy at Goldman - DJ).

    Allapoole avanevad:

    In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: DDUP -17.1% (also cut to Sell from Outperform at Calyon), AVID -16.3%, COLM -12.7%, PKI -11.1% (also downgraded to Market Weight at Weisel), HLIT -8.4%, JNPR -7.8% (also downgraded to Neutral at Piper), EMN -7.6%, ALVR -7.4% (light volume), WMS -6.5%, INFA -6.5%, BRCM -5.7%, CX -4.8%, HMC -3.5%, PG -3.4%, MXIM -3.3%, DLLR -1.6% (light volume)... Other news: ALXA -13.2% (Endo Pharmaceuticals and Alexza Pharmaceuticals conclude research collaboration), PWE -7.4% (announced underwriters have agreed to purchase from Penn West and sell to the public 17,731,000 Trust Units), RCL -5.4% (continued weakness form this week's 20%+ drop), CAT -1.7% (announces additional layoffs at three Illinois facilities)... Analyst comments: UA -8.9% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Piper Jaffray and downgraded to Sell at Citigroup), X -3.9% (downgraded to Sell at Goldman - DJ), TROW -2.8% (downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JP Morgan), ALL -2.6% (downgraded to Underweight at JPMorgan), NUE -2.4% (downgraded to Neutral at Goldman - DJ), SEPR -2.3% (downgraded to Sell at Piper), VE -1.4% (downgraded to Sell at Citigroup), NFLX -1.3% (downgraded to Sell at Stifel Nicolaus).
  • January Chicago PMI 33.3 vs 34.9 consensus, prior 35.1
  • January University of Michigan Sentiment- final 61.2 vs 61.9 consensus, prelim 61.9
  • Deutsche Bank lisas hommikul lühiajaliste ostusoovituste nimekirja Visa (V) ning Goldman Sachs oma conviction buy listi MasterCardi (MA). Visa kaupleb rahaga läbi korrigeerides 15x F09 kasumit (fiskaalaasta lõppeb septembriga) ning Mastercard 12x 09 kalendrikasumit. Mõlemal ettevõttel tugev bilansileht ning pärast 40% kuni 60%list eelmise suve tippudest langemist võib siinseilt tasemeilt väärtust näha küll.

  • President Obama and VP Biden begin their speech on the economy
  • CNBC commentator says "bad bank" solution has been put on hold according to sources
    Ja turg tuleb kolinal alla.

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