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Börsipäev 18. mai

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  • Tänaseks pole USA eelturul majandusraportite avaldamist planeeritud - tähelepanu saavad aga Lowe'si (LOW) majandustulemused, kus oodatakse aktsiapõhiseks kasumiks $0.25 ning müügitulu suuruses $11.62 miljardit.
  • Australia ASX 100 -30.70 -0.99% 3,066.80 5/18 3:09pm
    Australia ASX All Ords -35.80 -0.95% 3,723.10 5/18 3:09pm
    Australia ASX Mid-cap 50 -18.00 -0.54% 3,292.40 5/18 3:09pm
    Hong Kong Hang Seng -212.09 -1.26% 16,578.61 5/18 1:08pm
    Hong Kong HSCC Red Chip -51.77 -1.46% 3,495.70 5/18 1:09pm
    Japan Nikkei 225 -258.29 -2.79% 9,006.73 5/18 12:45pm

    Hommik Aasias punane. Suurte jaekettide säilimine Usas on tähelepanuväärne. Näitab kohanemisvõimet.
  • Täna katkestati esmakordselt ajaloos kauplemine Bombay börsil põhjusel, et nii SENSEX kui Nifty jooxid ülemisse piiri. Kaubelda saadi vaid mõned sekundid. Põhjusex parempoolsete, Kongressipartei, võit valimistel, mis tõenäoliselt toob kaasa India majanduse laiema avamise väliskapitalile.
  • USA börsilt võib siis kauplemiseks täna vaadata näiteks India aktsiate börsilkaubeldavat fondi sümboliga IFN.
  • Paar sekundit avatud ja uuesti kinni, nüüd tasemel +17,24%.
  • Ühe korra avataxe täna India börsid veel, ülempiir on kolmandal korral +20%.
  • Citigroup annab Lennari (LEN) aktsiale varasema "hoia" soovituse asemel ostusoovituse ning tõstab hinnasihi $11 pealt $12-ni.

    At ~0.6x current P/BV, LEN trades at a ~50% discount to its peers. We expect that valuation gap to narrow in the coming months given the company’s improved near-term liquidity profile.

  • Lowe's (LOW) lööb kasumiootusi ja annab oodatust paremaid prognoose:

    Lowe's beats by $0.07, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS above consensus; guides FY10 EPS above consensus. Reports Q1 (Apr) earnings of $0.32 per share, $0.07 better than the First Call consensus of $0.25; revenues fell 1.5% year/year to $11.83 bln vs the $11.63 bln consensus. Co issues upside guidance for Q2, sees EPS of $0.51-0.55 vs. $0.50 consensus. Co issues upside guidance for FY10, sees EPS of $1.13-1.25 vs. $1.11 consensus. Total sales for Q2 are expected to range from a decline of 2% to an increase of 1%. The co expects comparable store sales to decline 4 to 8%. Total sales for FY10 are expected to range from a decline of 2% to an increase of 1%. The co expects comparable store sales to decline 4 to 8%. Comparable store sales for the first quarter declined 6.6%. Co says, "The economic pressures on consumers remain intense, and bigger ticket projects continue to be postponed as wary home improvement consumers watch the economic climate and housing market dynamics very closely. But, as spring arrived, we saw relative strength in smaller, outdoor projects. In recent weeks we have seen consumer confidence improve, housing turnover show signs of a bottom in certain markets, and home prices slow their decline. These are all positive signs for the stabilization and ultimate recovery of home improvement industry sales, but since many of these variables remain at or near historic lows, we will continue to plan conservatively and manage expenses appropriately. Lowe's remains focused on positioning the company for the future while maximizing opportunities presented today."
  • Goldman Sachs tõstab täna hommikul Bank of America (BAC) aktsiasoovitust ja lisab aktsia Conviction Buy Listi.

  • ... ja ühtlasi tõstetakse hinnasihti $15-ni, mis pigem jääb viimasel ajal antud sihtide keskele.
  • LOW on eelturul juba 11% plussis, mis mõjutab natuke ka XHB indeksi liikumist. Viimase jaoks on siiski olulisemad homme avaldatavad ehituslubade ja uute majade ehitamise numbrid.
  • Tänase börsipäeva tõeline hittlöök on olnud India kogu börsi tormiline 17%line päevane tõus. USA futuurid on LOW oodatust paremate numbrite ning ka erinevate analüütikute poolt aktsiatele antud upgrade'ide valguses avanemas korralikus 0.6% kuni 0.9%lises plussis. Nafta on tõusnud eelturul 3% võrra $58 peale barrelist.

    Saksamaa DAX +1.23%

    Prantsusmaa CAC 40 +0.79%

    Inglismaa FTSE 100 +1.22%

    Hispaania IBEX 35 +0.93%

    Venemaa MICEX -0.84%

    Poola WIG +1.00%

    Aasia turud:

    Jaapani Nikkei 225 -2.44%

    Hong Kongi Hang Seng +1.38%

    Hiina Shanghai A (kodumaine) +0.28%

    Hiina Shanghai B (välismaine) +0.83%

    Lõuna-Korea Kosdaq +0.27%

    Tai Set 50 +1.22%

    India Sensex 30 +17.34%

  • Will We Bounce Back?
    By Rev Shark
    RealMoney.com Contributor
    5/18/2009 8:54 AM EDT

    Become a student of change. It is the only thing that will remain constant.
    -- Anthony J. D'Angelo

    It seems like you can always say that the market is at an important juncture, but at this point, it is particularly important to see if we can find some support and bounce back after some poor action. Last week was the worst week since the March low, and now we will need to see if it's just a pause that refreshes before the uptrend continues or the beginning of a change in character.

    A lot of folks had bid the bear market adieu, but some questions are arising now about the economic recovery. Most of the market move was driven by government intervention in an attempt to prop things up. We also had low expectations for earnings, which helped quite a bit. Now that both government initiatives and earnings reports are slowing, we will be able to see if there is some real economic improvement to drive things.

    One thing that is very important at this point is to let the market be our guide. While the technical picture is definitely deteriorating, we don't want to completely foreclose the possibility that the dip buyers will make a stand and help to get the market back on track.

    The primary characteristics of the recent uptrend have been very shallow dips, persistent buying on weakness and vigorous momentum buying of secondary and small-cap stocks. The momentum started to slow at the beginning of last week, and the dip buying faltered on Wednesday through Friday.

    We have now seen a little technical damage but not a lot, and there's still plenty of support on the charts. We do have seasonality starting to work against us, but there are a lot of folks who missed out on the March lows, and they are anxious not to miss out on the next move. They are the key to underlying support. The problem is that plans to buy a market pullback always seem more questionable once we actually do start to pull back. The idea that the market has regained its health and is just resting takes on some danger when things start to crack.

    At this point, we need to monitor the technical action very carefully, keep stops tight and see if we start finding some support. We should have some stabs to the upside, and we'll see if market players are more inclined to use strength for selling or are willing to chase. Increased caution is the key now.

    We have a huge move in India following the election, oil is up, and futures are improving a bit. But it is Monday morning action, and we'll see how things settle after the open.
    -----------------------------
    Ülespoole avanevad:

    In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: DDS +25.0%, RDY +12.4%, LOW +8.9%, PWRD +8.8%, SPPI +6.0%... M&A news: KONA +91.8% (Miller Road Capital files amended 13D and submits offer to acquire all shares for cash in a transaction valued at $4.60/share ), IDMI +52.9% (Takeda to acquire IDM Pharma for $2.64/share in cash), LGTY +32.8% (American Software to increase tender offer price for Logility to $7.02 per share)... Select Indian related names trading higher following strength overseas after Prime Minister Singh's Congress Party won elections: IBN +27.6%, EPI +21.9%, HDB 21.7%, INP +21.6%, WIT +15.0%, SLT +14.4%, IFN +13.5%, INFY +12.0%, TTM +11.8%, CTSH +7.8%... Select financial stocks showing strength: BKUNA +24.7% (WSJ reports for the private-equity industry, the future of the co might be the most closely watched deal of the year), BCS +6.2%, LYG +6.0% (Lloyds TSB up in Europe on Chairman's resignation and capital raising - DJ), ING +4.9%, HBC +4.6%, BAC +3.9% (added to Conviction Buy list at Goldman- CNBC), UBS +3.5%, USB +3.3%, MS +3.1% (upgraded to Mkt Outperform at JMP Securities), DB +3.0%, C +2.9% (bond sale shows strength - WSJ), RBS +2.7%, COF +2.3%, JPM +1.9%, GS +1.6% (upgraded to Mkt Perform at JMP Securities)... Select drug and infectious disease related names trading higher: BCRX +11.3%, NVAX +8.1%, HEB +4.5% (comments on market activity; no material events that would explain the high volume market activity)... Other news: USU +8.9% (announces trade case settlement with AREVA), HD +5.3% (up in sympathy with LOW), SAP +3.5% (SAP Exec says Asia economic, market conditions have hit bottom - WSJ), CIEN +3.0% (Cramer makes positive comments on MadMoney), WMT +0.9% (Wal-Mart is revamping the electronics departments in its stores - WSJ)... Analyst comments: MGM +7.2% (upgraded to Overweight at JPMorgan), STM +7.0% (raised to Buy from Neutral at Goldman- DJ), M +5.8% (added to Americas Conviction Buy List-Reuters), MRVL +4.1% (upgraded to Outperform at Credit Suisse; estimates and tgt raised to $14).

    Allapoole avanevad:

    In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: STT -0.7% (also announced that it has commenced its common stock offering and an offering of non-guaranteed senior notes in the near term)... Other news: E -2.2% (will acquire 27.5% of Quicksilver's Alliance leasehold interests for $280 mln in cash)... Analyst comments: AYE -5.0% (cut to Neutral from Buy by Goldman- DJ), AN -4.4% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman- Reuters), WX -4.1% (downgraded to Underperform at Jefferies), NOC -2.5% (downgraded to Sell at Goldman - Reuters), TPP -1.4% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman- Reuters), AYE -1.1% (downgraded to Market Perform at Wachovia).
  • Kui eelmise nädala lõpus tundusid müüjad olevat väikeses ülekaalus, siis täna tehti väga veenev ja ühtlane tugev tõus. Selliseks kannapöördeks ei olnud ilmselt paljud valmis - nagu ikka, turgudel on kombeks üllatada.

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