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Börsipäev 18. juuni

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  • Täna on tegu kuu kolmanda reedega ning seega optsioonireedega. Küll juhiks aga tähelepanu, et S&P500 indeksi liikumist jälgiv SPY kaupleb täna kvartaalse dividendiõiguse järgselt ehk SPY hind peaks ca $0.55 langema puhtalt dividendide väljamaksmise pärast.

    Majandusraportite poole pealt USAst täna midagi olulist tulemas ei ole. Indeksite futuurid on praegusel hommikusel tunnil kauplemas eilsete sulgumistasemete juures.
  • Medvedev lubab Venemaast luua välisinvestorite unistuse. Saame näha... - aga link pooletunnisele intervjuule on siin.

  • Majandusraportite puudusel on täna ilmselt taas palju tähelepanu suundumas jalgapllimaailmale. Natukene pärast USA börsi avanemist algav USA meeskonna jalgpallimäng tõotab võrreldes tavapärasega ameeriklastest investorite väiksemat huvi aktsiaturgude vastu.
  • Euroopa turud:

    Saksamaa DAX -0,03%
    Pantsusmaa CAC 40 -0,18%
    Suurbritannia FTSE100 +0,24%
    Hispaania IBEX 35 +1,09%
    Rootsi OMX 30 +0,21%
    Venemaa MICEX +0,33%
    Poola WIG +0,01%

    Aasia turud:
    Jaapani Nikkei 225 -0,04%
    Hong Kongi Hang Seng +0,74%
    Hiina Shanghai A (kodumaine) -1,83%
    Hiina Shanghai B (välismaine) -2,70%
    Lõuna-Korea Kosdaq +0,01%
    Tai Set 50 +0,21%
    India Sensex 30 -0,26%

  • A Precarious Situation
    By Rev Shark
    RealMoney.com Contributor
    6/18/2010 8:20 AM EDT

    If you can find a path with no obstacles, it probably doesn't lead anywhere.
    -- Frank A. Clark

    The key to profitable trading is to find an edge and to exploit it. That may mean embracing momentum, buying panic or finding good values as the market begins to recognize them.

    It sounds fairly simple, but the problem is that there are times when the market just doesn't provide us with much of an edge. We find ourselves in such a situation now.

    The action has been quite positive, especially the big gain on Tuesday, which drove the S&P 500 through some significant technical support around 1108. It was an important hurdle for the bulls, but the manner in which they accomplished it was not very impressive. Volume has been light the whole time, and we have an unusual amount of spiky, computer-driven action in the closing hour that makes things feel random and arbitrary.

    In addition to holding slightly above a key technical level, the bulls also have also done quite well with this sort of weak foundation for the past 14 months or so. We have had a number of rallies that have started just like the action over the past week or so. In July 2009 and in March 2010, we had low-volume rallies that just kept going and gave us impressive runs of positive days. There was never any big volume, but the market just ran over any bear who tried to anticipate a top.

    The character of the market since May 1 has been quite different, due primarily to a spate of negative economic and fundamental news. The gulf oil spill, European sovereign debt, China bubble worries and weak jobs and retail numbers have changed sentiment to some degree and have provided a headwind.

    This week the market has been able to shrug off all the worries and we've held up well. But there is still quite a bit of uncertainty, and there's a danger that the next major headline could easily spook the market.

    So it is a tricky environment where it is hard to have a high level of confidence. The bulls are doing well and holding up, but it a precarious perch and it won't take much for us to quickly roll over again.

    The best way to deal with it is to be nimble and flexible. Make sure you stay very vigilant and kept a close watch on positions. The bulls are enjoying an ever-so-slight advantage at this point, and conditions are good for them to continue to run us up some more, but a misstep could send us back down very easily.
    -----------------------------------
    Briefing.com vahendusel:
    Ülespoole avanevad:

    In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: CVA +6.8% (reaffirms FY10 guidance, increases buyback authorization and declares $1.50 special dividend), SMOD +6.2%.

    Select European financial related names showing strength: AIB +3.9%, BBVA +3.8%, STD +1.7%, RBS +1.2%.

    Select metals/mining stocks seeing strength with gold futures making new all time highs in premarket trading: GG +2.9%, HL +2.5%, GRS +2.5%, ABX +2.5%, AUY +1.8%, KGC +1.7%, EGO +1.4%, PAAS +1.2%, BBL +1.2%, GDX +1.2%, SLV +1.1%, IAG +1.1%, HMY +0.8%, GLD +0.8%, RTP +0.6%, GOLD +0.5%, AU +0.5%.

    A few oil/gas related names showing strength: RIG +6.3%, BP +3.0% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Societe Generale), APC +1.6%.

    Other news: NMTI +25.0% (rebounding from yesterday's 75% plunge), AMLN +7.5% (announced it will present data for its BYETTA on June 27), WAG +5.9% and CVS +4.7% (Walgreens and CVS announce new PBM network pharmacy agreement), TPC +2.6% (awarded three contracts totaling $467 mln ), NLY +2.3% (declares Q2 dividend of $0.68/share, up from $0.65/share).

    Analyst comments: WMB +2.5% (added to Conviction Buy List at Goldman), TSO +1.2% (upgraded to Sector Perform from Underperform at RBC Capital), AAPL +0.5% (initiated with an Outperform at Cowen).

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