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Börsipäev 20. aprill

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  • USA oodatust parem kinnisvarastatistika ning ettevõtete majandustulemused on kandnud positiivse sentimendi täna ka Aasiasse, kus turud on üleval esimest korda viimase nelja päeva jooksul. Euroopa indeksite futuurid indikeerivad avanemist protsendi jagu kõrgemal ning USA futuurid kauplevad hetkel 0,3-0,6% plusspoolel.

    Tänasest makrokalendrist võiks esile tõsta Rootsi keskpanga kohtumist kell 10.30, mille raames oodatakse intresside tõstmist 25 baaspunkti võrra 1,75% peale. Kell 11.30 avalikustatakse Inglise keskpanga viimase kohtumise protokoll ja kell 17.00 USA märtsikuu olemasolevate majade müük.

    Oma kvartaalsed tulemused raporteerivad täna muuhulgas AT&T, Wells Fargo, Piper Jaffray (enne turgu) ja American Express, Apple, Qualcomm, Western Digital (pärast turgu).
  • Saksamaa märtsikuu tootjahinnaindeksid 0,4% vs oodatud 0,8% (M/M) ja aastasel baasil 6,2% vs oodatud 6,6%. Euro on tänase ja eilsega teinud tagasi kogu esmaspäevase languse, kaubeldes hetkel 0,6% kõrgemal $1,4420 tasemel.
  • JPMorgani hinnangul on turu tervis korras ja USA aktsiaturud pakuvad sellel aastal jätkuvalt huvitavaid investeerimisvõimalusi. JPMorgani strateegi Thomas Lee nägemust saab kuulata Bloombergile antud intervjuus siit.
  • Rootsi keskpank tõstis repomäära 1,75% peale, ühtlasi kergitati tänavune majanduskasvu prognoos 4,4% pealt 4,6% peale. 2012. aasta SKT kasvuks oodatakse 2,3%.
  • Inglismaa keskpank avaldas äsja aprilli kohtumise protokollid. Intressimäärad otsustati jätta muutmata häältega 6-3; stiimulprogrammi maht jäeti 200 miljardi GBP peale häältega 8-1. Protokoll on terves ulatuses loetav siit.
    Naelsterling sattus esmase reaktsiooni tulemusena surve alla, langedes päeva tippudest $1,6380 tasemelt avanemistaseme $1,6325 juurde.
  • USA dollar on täna tugeva surve all. Enim on USD vastu tõusnud toorainebloki valuutad: Austraalia dollaril uus kõikide aegade tipp $1,0623 tasemel. USDCAD kaupleb mitme aasta põhjas 0,9518 tasemel. NZDUSD on tõusnud täna üle 1% ja läheneb $0,8000 tasemele.
  • Tulemuste tabel ka uuendatud ning nähtav siin.
  • Hispaania müüs 2,49 miljardi euro väärtuses 10 aastaseid võlakirju yieldiga 5,47%, mis on veidi kõrgem võrreldes märtsikuu 5,162%-ga. Samas ületas nõudlus pakkumist 2,1x vs 1,81x eelmisel korra ning see on puhumas turgudele ja eurole tuult tiibadesse. ES futuur hetkel 0,9% kõrgemal ning EUR/USD +1% @ 1,4475 USD
  • The European Commission will today ignore pleas from the UK Prime Minister, Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy for the EU to reduce expenditure in line with painful national cuts to public spending.
    Instead of a freeze, or a cut, the EU will later today issue a request for an extra 4.9 per cent (£5.5 billion) in spending for 2012 to swell the Brussels budget to £117billion despite the austerity measures being imposed by member states domestically. Telegraph
  • Eurol uus 15 kuu tipp $1,4546 tasemel. Kreeka 10-aastase võlakirja tulusus, erinevus Saksamaa omaga ja Kreeka võla kindlustamine samuti uues tipus.
  • EUR/USDi uus tipp on märkimisväärne vaatepilt olukorras, kus üks eurotsooni liikmesriik on sunnitud ilmselt võlakohustusi restruktureerima (loe: valik halva ja veel halvema vahel).
  • Gapping up
    In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: VMW +12.5%, PII +9.7%, ALV +7.4%, ALB +4.3%, YHOO +4.2%, FCX +3.6%, WYNN +2.9%, JNPR +2.6% (also downgraded to Neutral at Ticonderoga), EMC +2.2%, RVBD +1.7%, T +1.3%.

    M&A news: DPL +8.7% (to be acquired by AES for $30 per share in cash).

    Tech related names trading notably higher following earnings/guidance from multiple names in the sector: STM +7%, INTC +6.4% (upgraded to Outperform from Mkt Perform at FBR Capital), ALU +5.6%, AMAT +3.4%, SI +3.3%, ARMH +2.4%, NVDA +2.2%, BRCM +2.1%, DELL +2%, APKT +1.9%, CTXS +1.8%, FFIV +1.8%, QQQ +1.8%, AMD +1.8%, HPQ +1.8%, RHT +1.7%, MSFT +1.6%, QCOM +1.1% (upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Exane BNP Paribas).

    Select financial related names showing strength: ING +4.5%, STD +3.1%, DB +3%, UBS +2.4%, HBC +1.5%, CS +1.4%.

    Metals/mining stocks trading higher: AAU +3.7% (announces the adoption of shareholder rights plan), MT +2.6%, BHP +2.1% (BHP Billiton Quarterly production report; approved major projects total investment value of $9.8 bln), RIO +2%, SLW +1.9%, BBL +1.8%, GOLD +1.5%, SLV +0.9%, GLD +0.5%.

    Select oil/gas related names showing strength: TOT +3.2%, BP +3.2%, RDS.A +3.1%, E +2.5%, STO +2.3%.

    A few European drug names ticking higher: SNY +3.5%, NVS +2.4%, AZN +1.4%.

    Casino names seeing modest strength following WYNN results: LVS +2.2%, MGM +2.3%.

    Other news: ONCY +13.3% (ticking higher, reports 'positive' data from translational clinical trial investigating REOLYSIN in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer).
  • Gapping down
    In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: CREE -4.7% (also downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Merriman, downgraded to Sell at Kaufman Bros, downgraded to Hold from Buy at Wunderlich), LUFK -4% (ticking lower), USG -3.3% (light volume), FIX -3.3%, TRS -2.8% (also announces sale of 4,000,000 shares of common stock by stockholder), URI -2.4%, ISRG -2.3%, TXT -2.1%, WFC -1.6%, THG -1.4% (ticking lower), IBM -1%.

    Other news: TIV -8.3% (announces $5.035 mln private placement of common stock), TRGP -3.1% (announced that it will commence a secondary offering of 5,650,000 shares of its common stock).

    Analyst Comments: WR -1.5% (downgraded to Sell at Goldman).
  • Watch Intel for a Reversal

    By Rev Shark
    RealMoney.com Contributor
    4/20/2011 9:03 AM EDT

    "I will celebrate, but I know new goals and objectives will come, and I am ready to take them."

    -- Ronaldo

    The market is celebrating a very strong earnings report from Intel (INTC - commentary - Trade Now) this morning. There were concerns that PC demand was soft, but that was offset by low inventory levels and strong corporate demand. Intel is lifting all technology boats this morning with names such as Microsoft (MSFT - commentary - Trade Now), Hewlett-Packard (HPQ - commentary - Trade Now) and Cisco (CSCO - commentary - Trade Now) all gapping up in the early going.

    There were some other favorable reports last night from VMware (VMW - commentary - Trade Now), Yahoo! (YHOO - commentary - Trade Now) and Juniper Networks (JNPR - commentary - Trade Now), but it's the Intel report that is the main driver. IBM (IBM - commentary - Trade Now) is slightly soft on its report, although it exceeded expectations, so the market still has some sell-the-news inclination.

    The big question for us this morning is whether Intel is going to shift the market tide. We have been struggling to avoid falling into a downtrend, especially following S&P's cut of its outlook of U.S. debt. We managed a decent oversold bounce late Monday and yesterday, but we are now approaching some resistance once again with the gap-up open this morning.

    If the bears are going to make a stand, they should be fairly quick to try to fade the strength this morning. Keep in mind that Intel has a history of reversing to the downside after posting a strong report. A year ago and in the June 2010 quarter, Intel put up some superb numbers, but in a fairly short time, the stock gave back the gap-up move on the report and traded lower.

    Semiconductor leadership is often regarded as suspect, as it so often seems to occur at a very late stage. The bulls need to overcome that and expand the buying to some other sectors to put this market back on an uptrend track.

    I suspect that many market players were caught by surprise this morning. Expectations for Intel were low, especially after the Texas Instruments (TXN - commentary - Trade Now) report and recent comments about slowing PC sales, which were used to justify a downgrade of Microsoft. Whether Intel is a sign that the market is too pessimistic about chip demand we have yet to see. The semiconductor sector is generally not aggressively chased on news.
  • Majade müük veidi parem ning sarnaselt eilsele statistikale revideeriti ülespoole ka eelmise kuu näitajat.

    March Exisiting Home Sales 5.10 mln vs 5.00 mln Briefing.com consensus; prior revised to 4.92 mln from 4.88 mln
  • Amazon (AMZN) lubab aasta lõpus Kindle (elektrooniline seade raamatute lugemiseks) kasutajatel laenutada raamatuid ka raamatukogudest.
    Tänane Reuters kirjutab, et AMZN võimaldab Kindle kasutajatel laenutada e-raamatuid 11 tuhandest erinevast raamatukogust üle terve USA. See on ettevõtte poolt järjekordne samm meelitada oma kliente kasutama pigem Kindlet kui Apple`i iPadi või Barnes&Noble`i Nooki.
  • Täna õhtul hoiab turuosaliste meeli ärevil kindlasti Apple (AAPL), mis peaks peale turu sulgumist teatama oma teise kvartali tulemused. Business Insider on välja toonud lühikese ülevaate analüütikute prognoosidest ja ootustest ning olgu ka öeldud, et AAPL-i aktsiat soovitab osta 48 analüütikud, ainult neli on Hoia peal ja müüa ei sooviat mitte ükski.
  • Hiljuti börsile tulnud autorendiga tegelev Zipcar (ZIP) peab ennast valmis panema armutuks võitluseks selle sektori vägevatega nagu on maailma suurim autorendifirma Hertz (HTZ).
    Tänane WSJ kirjutab, et Hertz on tulnud välja oma nö auto-jagamise programmiga Connect ning sihib sellega eelkõige New Yorki, mis on samuti Zipcari sihtturg. Hertzil on küll hoolega vaja pingutada, et jõuda ZIP-le järele, kuna esimese programmis on hetkel ainult 30 000 liiget, aga ZIP-l on juba üle poole miljoni liikme ehk Zipsteri.
  • Chipotle Mexican Grill prelim $1.46 vs $1.43 Thomson Reuters consensus; revs $509.4 mln vs $494.64 mln Thomson Reuters consensus

    CMG tulemused küll oodatust paremad,aga turu jaoks siiski mitte piisavalt head ja aktsia järelturul kauplemas 3% miinuspoolel.
  • Qualcomm prelim $0.86 vs $0.80 Thomson Reuters consensus; revs $3.88 bln vs $3.62 bln Thomson Reuters consensus
    Qualcomm raises FY11 guidance to $3.05-3.13 vs $3.04 Thomson Reuters consensus; revs $14.1-14.7 mln vs $13.93 bln Thomson Reuters consensus

    QCOM oodatust paremad tulemused ja tõstab ka käesoleva aasta prognoose. Aktsia järelturul ligi 9% plussis.
  • F5 Networks beats by $0.03, reports revs in-line; guides Q3 EPS above consensus, revs in-line ,
    Co issues mixed guidance for Q3, sees EPS of $0.89-0.91, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $0.89 Thomson Reuters consensus; sees Q3 revs of $287-292 mln vs. $289.70 mln Thomson Reuters consensus.

    FFIV üsna ootustele vastavad tulemused, tõstab kolmanda kvartali prognoose. Aktsia kauplemas järelturul ligi 16% plusspoolel ($ 107,40)
  • Apple prelim $6.40 vs $5.37 Thomson Reuters consensus; revs $24.67 mln vs $23.38 bln Thomson Reuters consensus
    Apple sees Q3 EPS of about $5.03 vs $5.25 Thomson Reuters consensus; sees revs of about $23 bln vs $23.83 bln Thomson Reuters consensus


    AAPL jätkamas traditsiooni ning taas väljas oodatust paremate tulemustega, aga kolmanda kvartali prognoos konsensusest nõrgem. Esialgu ei tundu see kedagi häirivat,sest aktsia kaupleb 3,5% plusspoolel.

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