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Börsipäev 15. august

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  • Nädal Aasias on alanud positiivse noodiga, kui USA indeksite tagasihoidlik reedene tõus ning oodatust väiksem Jaapani SKT langust süstisid investoritesse optimismi. Vast kõige häirivam makrouudis oli reedel Michigani tarbijasentimendi indeks, mis kukkus madalaiamale tasemele alates 1980. aasta maist. Kui varasemate näitajate põhjal võis eeldada vähemalt majanduse külgsuunas triivimist, siis sentimendi püsimine augustikuu tasemel annaks põhjust arvata, et USA SKT on taas kahanema hakanud.


    Selles valguses püsib investorite tähelepanu makrol, mis annaks lisaindikatsioone globaalse majanduse tervisest. Selleks võiks eelkõige olla tänane NY Fedi töötleva tööstuse küsitlus (15.30), neljapäevane Philli Fedi küsitlus ja töötuabiraha taotluste arv.

    USA indeksite futuurid kauplevad hetkel 0,7% plussis, Euroopa on avanemas aga 1% jagu kõrgemal.
  • Leedu börs täna suletud - Taevaminemispüha.
  • Motorola Mobility (MMI): Google to Acquire Motorola Mobility for $40.00/share in cash or $12.5 bln
  • August NY Empire Manufacturing Index -7.7 vs -0.4 Briefing.com consensus
  • Gapping down
    In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: SORL -7.4% (light volume), EL -5.8%, LOW -4.7%,.

    M&A news: GOOG -3% (Motorola Mobility to be acquired by Google for $40/share in cash).

    A few European financial related names showing weakness: CS -2.4%, UBS -1.3%, .

    Other news: IDCC -22.6% (trading 20% lower following GOOG/MMI news), CBOU -3.2% (filed for a 5.15 mln share common stock offering by selling shareholders), HD -0.8% (ticking lower with LOW).

    Analyst comments: BRCD -2.3% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman), JNPR -2.2% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman), LXK -1.2% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman), PC -0.5% (downgraded to Underperform from Outperform at Credit Agricole).
  • Gapping up
    In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: ZAGG +13.4%, SYY +2.5%, (ticking higher).

    M&A news: MMI +60% (Motorola Mobility to be acquired by Google for $40/share in cash), RAH +8.1% (ConAgra emphasizes $94 per share all-cash proposal to acquire RAH; urges co to reconsider rejected offer), OXPS +2.2% (optionsXpress and Schwab receive necessary regulatory approvals).

    Select metals/mining stocks trading higher: BHP +2.4%, AA +2%, BBL +1.9%, MT +1.2%, RIO +0.9%, VALE +0.9%, .

    A few handset/mibility names are getting boost following MMI/GOOG news: RIMM +6.7%, NOK +5%, S +3.4%,

    Other news:ASTI +67.1% (Ascent Solar and TFG Radiant Group announced they have signed a more than $275 mln plus royalties long-term, multi-faceted, strategic partnership), BAC +2.6% (to sell its international credit card businesses), BIDU +1.2% (Cramer reiterates positive view on MadMoney), PFE +1.1% (prevailed in its patent infringement action against Teva).

    Analyst comments: VMW +2.3% (upgraded to Buy at Collins Stewart, upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse ), ZION +2% (upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital), GM +1.5% (upgraded to Buy at Ticonderoga), V +1.2% (added to Conviction Buy List at Goldman), IBM +0.8% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman).
  • It's a New Trading Day
    By Rev Shark
    RealMoney.com Contributor
    8/15/2011 8:44 AM EDT

    The secret to a rich life is to have more beginnings than endings. -- Dave Weinbaum

    After the historic level of volatility last week, indications are for a slow start to the new week. Many European markets are closed for the Assumption of Mary holiday, there aren't any major news headlines and we are at the peak time for summer vacations. Of course, the wild swings last week helped to scare some folks completely away from the market as well, which is reflected in extremely high levels of withdrawals from stock equity funds.

    Although things are calm at the moment, many market players are feeling unsettled as confidence levels have been drained by the wild swings. No one has been able to predict what is going to happen in this market lately and that is going to continue to be the case. There is no reason to think that we have suddenly put aside all the issues that caused the chaos in the first place and the potential for some wild swings remains extremely high.

    My approach lately has been to try not to anticipate a bottom, but to cherry pick a few trades as opportunities develop. The big intraday swings are very good for day trading, if you are so inclined, but offer free good chart setups and don't give longer-term investors much comfort. I find maintaining a very short-term timeframe is the way to go until an upward trend develops again.

    As I reflected on the action this weekend and worked on my strategy for the days ahead, the one thing that struck me as more important than anything was maintaining the right mental attitude. I need to make sure to treat each day as if it is a new beginning and I don't let the baggage of the recent market action weigh me down.

    When the market goes through a tough period like we have had lately it is very easy to become discouraged. You focus on your losses and are tempted to throw in the towel rather than do battle with the irrational and unpredictable action of the market.

    I've often written that bad markets will wear you out rather than scare you out and that is the biggest danger many of use face. If the market struggles again and we have some more down days, it is going to be very tough for some folks to maintain a positive attitude.

    One thing I try to do mentally each day is to mark to market, or treat any position I'm holding as if I bought it that day and forgot about any unrealized gains of losses I may have. That allows me to be much more objective in making a decision about whether or not I want to continue to hold the stock.

    Looking at the market with fresh eyes and emotions each day can be very liberating, especially after we have gone through a tough period. In fact, I strongly advise all investors to clear the decks every once in a while. Sell everything except for your core, very long-term holdings and then contemplate the market. You will be stunned at how liberating it can be and how different you will see things.

    Our job right now is to forget last week and to look at the week ahead with an open mind and a high level of optimism. We can make of it whatever we want to as long as we remember that the market will allow us to start fresh any time we want. Futures perked up slightly, but it continues to be very quiet out there. We'll see if the calming action attracts some buyers. The longer we stay steady the better off it will be for the bulls, but it won't take much to rattle this market again after the stunning moves of last week.

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