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Börsipäev 28. veebruar

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  • Võrdlemisi tormiselt alanud USA sessioon rahunes üsna kiiresti ning ostjad oli taas platsis, et S&P 500 0,7%lisest langusest kiiresti plussi tirida. Sellegipoolest puudus jõud midagi rohkemat korda saata....ülesanne sai täidetud ning sealt edasi triiviti külgsuunas, mis takistas Dow Jones indeksil juba mitmendat korda sulgumast üle 13000 punkti. Positiivsemat momentumit toetas jaanuaris pooleliolnud kinnisvaratehingute 2,0%line kuine kasv (konsensus 1,0%) ning Dallas Fedi töötleva tööstuse küsitlus, osutudes parimaks alates 2010.a novembrist. Päevasisesele aktsiaturgude pöördele vaatamata liikus USA 10a võlakirjade intress allapoole ning nagu näha ei peegeldu sealt üldse viimase aja optimismi, mida näitavad aktsiaturud, kuid eks see ole mingil määral mõjutatud ka keskpanga ostudest.

    USA valitsuse 10a võlakirja tulusus


    Pöörates pilgu tänastele makrouudistele, siis suurimat tähelepanu võiks pälvida USA jaanuari kestvuskaupade tellimuste muutus (kell 15.30), S&P Case-Schilleri kinnisvarahinnaindeks (kell 16.00), USA tarbijausalduse veebruari indeks (kell 17.00) ja Richmond Fedi töötleva tööstuse küsitlus (kell 17.00).

    USA indeksite futuurid kauplevad hetkel 0,3% plusspoolel ning EUR/USD on samuti eilsest langusest taastunud, kaubeldes 1,3442 dollaril (+0,34%).
  • Panen siia ka eilse Dallas Fedi küsitluse indeksi, mis oodatud 15,8 punkti asemel oli 17,8 punkti ja selle raames näitas tugevat paranemist ka tööhõive komponent (kõrgeim tase alates 2006.a jaanuarist). Kokkuvõttes tõstab see neljapäevase ISM raporti väljavaadet ning ilmselt ka järgmise nädala tööjõuraporti osas paraneb kindlustunne (võttes lisaks arvesse viimase aja töötuabiraha taotluste trendi).
  • Demograafilistest trendidest, mis pikemas perspektiivis soosivad Indiat ning Euroopale esitavad kahtlemata suure väljakutse.
  • Italy 10 Year 3.75 bln bond auction results - Yield of 5.5 (from 6.08% prior) BTC 1.40 vs 1.42 prior; 5.5% lowest since Aug of 2011
    Italy 5 Year $2.5 bln Bond Auction Results: Yield 4.19% (5.39% prior) BTC: 1.41 vs 1.30 prior; 4.19% yield lowest since May of 2011
  • Apollo Group sees Q2 new degreed enrollment approx flat to low-single-digit growth year-over-year on a percentage basis; sees 2012 revs $4.1-4.3 bln vs $4.30 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate, lowers operating profit guidance range
  • ALIM announces 'positive' outcome to the European Decentralized Procedure for approval of Iluvien
  • January Durable Orders M/M -4.0% vs -1.4% Briefing.com consensus; Prior revised to +3.2% from +3.0%
    January Durable Orders ex-trans M/M -3.2% vs +0.2% Briefing.com consensus; Prior revised to +2.1% from +2.2%
  • Gapping down
    In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: PEIX -19.9%, TC -11.6%, (also downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank), APOL -8.1%, ARCI -5.6% (thinly traded), GTLS -5.2%, SWN -4.9%, SYKE -2.5% (light volume).

    Other news: DUF -7.2% (announces common stock offering of 4,500,000 shares), BIOF -7.1% (trading lower following PEIX results), FRC -5% (announces launch of secondary offering of 10.22 mln shares of common stock by selling shareholders), OKS -3.6% (OKS announced a public offering of 7.0 million of its common units), WCN -2.8% (announced it intends to issue 12 million shares of its common stock in a public offering), MAA -2% (announces public offering of 1.7 mln shares of common stock), LUFK -1.5% (announces public offering of 2.5 mln shares of common stock), SOHU -1.3% (lower following SINA results), CCL -1.2% (still checking, Reports were out yesterday indicating that select tours have been canceled following robbery).

    Analyst comments: ENOC -9.9% (downgraded to Hold at Needham, downgraded to Sell from Hold at Capstone).
  • Gapping up
    In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: ERT +17.8%, ZAGG +9.3%, PCLN +7.7%, KITD +5.4%, AZO +5.2%, HOV +4.7% (light volume), DPZ +4.2%, HGSI +4% (light volume), JAZZ +2.3%.

    A few financial related names ticking higher: ING +1.7%, BAC +0.9%, HBC +0.8%, C +0.8%.

    Select metals/mining stocks trading higher: AUY +1.8%, RIO +1.7%, SLV +1.4%, BBL +1.1%, GLD +0.7%.

    A few oil/gas related names showing modest strength: WFT +2.6%, ROYL +1.7%, STO +1.5%, DO +1.5%, EOG +0.9%.

    Select Semi related names trading higher: STM +5.9%, AIXG +4.7%, MU +2.1%.

    Other news: ALIM +47.2% (announces 'positive' outcome to the European Decentralized Procedure for approval of Iluvien), TAT +19.7% (announces non-binding letter of intent to sell oilfield services business for $164 mln), CTIC +10.6% (still checking), JASO +10.2% (announces preliminary unaudited shipment results for Q4 2011; says co is expecting shipments to be in the range of 390MW to 410MW exceeding provided shipment guidance of 310MW to 330MW), BDSI +8.1% (announced that it has reached agreement with the FDA on the development program for BEM), YHOO +1.3% (Third Point discloses 5.66% stake in amended 13D filing, up from 5.56% previously reported on 2/14 ), .

    Analyst comments: DIS +0.9% (initiated with an Outperform at Bernstein), PG +0.4% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill).
  • GNTX Gentex gapping higher on reports related to potential requirement for cars to have rearview mirrors

    http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/28/business/us-rule-set-for-cameras-at-cars-rear.html?_r=3&hp
  • Kass:
    I remain negative on for profit education, favorite short LOPE . This AM APOL cuts profit guidance and enrollment forecast.
  • December Case-Shiller 20-city Index -4.0% vs -3.6% Briefing.com consensus; Prior -3.7%
  • Intervjuu Buffettiga Berkshire'i Omaha aastakoosolekult. Link siin. Sisukas ja avameelne. Soovitan kuulata. Juttu tuleb nii USA kinnisvaraturust, aktsiatest, hinnatasemetest, Berkshire'i portfellist ja paljust muust.
  • February Consumer Confidence 70.8 vs 62.5 Briefing.com consensus; January 61.1

  • Ireland's Kenney says country will hold a referendum on fiscal compact
  • Apple to unveil quad-core iPad 3 with 4G LTE next week, according to sources - CNBC
  • Tundub, et täna on see päev, kus Dow Jones Industrial Average lõpetab päeva 13000 punktist kõrgemal ja Nasdaqile saab magnetiks 3000 punkti.

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