LHV finantsportaal

Foorum Investeerimine

Börsipäev 28. juuni

Kommentaari jätmiseks loo konto või logi sisse

  • Viimase 24h jooksul avalikustatud makro on olnud oodatust parem, mis on andnud ostjatele taas veidi julgust juurde. Ühtlasi levivad kuuldused Hiina võimalikest stiimulmeetmetest ja eks ka täna algava kahepäevase Euroopa Liidu tippkohtumise raames loodetakse näha vähemalt mõnda julgustavat pealkirja. Stoxx 600 indeks kerkis 1,4% ja S&P 500 indeks +0,9%.

    Euroopa statistikast pälvis tähelepanu Hispaania maikuu jaemüük, mis kukkus „vaid“ -4,9% võrreldes aastatagusega, olles aprillis langenud YoY -10%. Itaalias aga näitas ettevõtete kindlustunde indeks juunis üllatuslikult hoopis paranemist 2,3 punkti võrra 88,9 punktile (tegemist on siiski madalaima näitajaga alates 2009a oktoobrist).

    USAs kasvas mais pooleliolnud kinnisvaratehingute arv 15% võrreldes aastataguse perioodiga ja 5,9% võrreldes aprilliga. Eelkõige peaks see viitama olemasolevate majade müügi edasisele paranemisele järgnevatel kuudel nagu allolevalt jooniselt võib täheldada. Kestvuskaupade tellimused tugevnesid mais 1,1%, mis oli parem 0,5% ootusest, kuid jättes välja volatiilsema iseloomuga transporditellimused, siis kerkis näitaja kuu baasil 0,4% ning osutus hoopis kehvemaks prognoositud 0,7% kasvust.

    Pooleliolevad kinnisvaratehinhud (valge, indeks) ja olemasolevate majade müük (oranž, miljonit ühikut SAAR)


    Täna ja ka homme saab kahtlemata suurimat tähelepanu ELi tippkohtumine, mille osas ootused väga kõrged pole ja see võimaldab poliitikutel julgeid ja konkreetseid samme astumata tegeleda diskuteerimise ja lubaduste jagamisega. Makrost võiks huvipakkuv olla Saksamaa tööturustatistika, USA töötuabiraha taotluste number ja esimese kvartali SKP kolmas revideeritud näit.

    10.55 Saksamaa tööturu statistika (juuni)
    11.30 Suurbritannia esimese kvartali lõplik SKP
    12.00 Euroopa Komisjoni majandussentimendi indeks (juuni)
    ??.?? Itaalia võlakirjaoksjon (kuni 5,5 mld EUR)
    15.30 USA eelmise nädala esmaste töötuabiraha taotluste arv
    15.30 USA Ikv SKP revideeritud näit
    18.00 USA Kansas City Fedi töötleva tööstuse küsitlus (juuni)

    USA indeksite futuurid kauplevad hetkel 0,1% plussis, Euroopa on avanemas nulli lähedal.
  • The Guardianis on artikkel sellest, kuidas Barclays (BARC) sai 290 mln GBP suuruse trahvi Libori ja euribori intressimäärade manipuleerimise eest.
    The boss of Barclays, Bob Diamond, is under mounting pressure after the bank was hit with fines of £290m for its "serious, widespread" role in trying to manipulate the price of crucial interest rates that affect the cost of borrowing for millions of customers around the world.

    There were calls for Diamond to step down after the Financial Services Authority slapped a £59.5m fine on the bank – the largest ever levied by the City regulator - forcing him and other top executives to forgo any bonuses for 2012.

    The FSA – and authorities in the US which hit Barclays with penalties of £230m – described repeated breaches of rules dating back to 2005. They involved "a significant number of employees", including senior managers, and called into question the integrity of the markets.

    The FSA published embarrassing email exchanges in which Barclays staff were offered bottles of Bollinger champagne as payment for favours or their names printed in "golden letters". The emails demonstrated how traders manipulated the price of key interest rates in an attempt to make greater profits.

    The regulators, including the US department of justice and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, said Barclays had also taken steps to fix the rates as the bank was concerned about its public image during the 2008 financial crisis.

    BARC kaupleb hetkel 1,4% miinuspoolel 190,6 penni peal.
  • Hispaania 10-aastase võlakirja tulusus tagasi 7% peal:

  • Saksamaa töötuse määr oli juunis 6,8% vs 6,7% mais (korrigieeriti madalamale 6,8% pealt). Töötute arv kasvas 7000 võrra, kui ootuseks oli 3000.
  • There are headlines about Germany already leaking that nothing at all will be accomplished at this EU Summit. No treaty talk. No banking union or anything like that

    eur/usd 100bps kukkumine.
  • UK esimese kvartali lõplikud näidud -0,3% (Q/Q), jäädes esialgse näidu suhtes muutumatuks, ja aastasel baasil -0,1% (vs eelmine näit -0,2%). Üldise riskisentimendi languse taustal on GBPUSD langenud kahe nädala põhjadesse $1,5525 tasemeni.
  • Itaalia võlakirjaoksjoni tulemused

    Sells EUR2.5 bln 4.75% Jun 2017 BTPs; Avg yield 5.840% vs 5.660% prior; BTC 1.541x vs 1.35x prior
    Sells EUR2.93 bln 4.75% Sep 2022 BTPs; Avg yield 6.190% vs 6.030% prior; BTC 1.283x vs 1.1.40x prior


    10a yield



  • NYTimes reporting that JPMorgan Chase 'London Whale' trading loss could reach as much as $9 bln (36.77)


  • Seda spekuleeriti varem, siis oli väiksem number, kuid mitte "oluliselt" erinev, võrreldes kahega.
    In late May, it was speculated that the losses could rise to about $7B vs the initially reported $2B.

  • Hoopis põnevam vile tuleb Needhamilt. Polegi paha, võrreldes teiste majadega.
    Riverbed Technology Needham Initiates RVBD with Strong Buy, price target: $25

  • *WSJ: German Fin Min Says Berlin Willing to Negotiate on Euro Bonds
    WSJ: German Fin Min Calls For European Budget Czar As Precondition For Euro-Zone Bonds
  • stocker
    Hoopis põnevam vile tuleb Needhamilt. Polegi paha, võrreldes teiste majadega.
    Riverbed Technology Needham Initiates RVBD with Strong Buy, price target: $25



    Eilne
  • Eileõhtune, ehk siis nagu tänane. Kui selle suudaks vaid põnevaks mõelda :)
  • stocker
    Hoopis põnevam vile tuleb Needhamilt. Polegi paha, võrreldes teiste majadega.
    Riverbed Technology Needham Initiates RVBD with Strong Buy, price target: $25



    Eile oli Jefferies ug ja müüdi, äkki täna siis ostetakse?
  • nii lihtne seda turgu ongi liigutada. Futuurid ja EUR/USD taas alla

    Reuters reporting German finance ministry spokesman says Schaeuble did not say germany will move sooner than expected towards shared liability for debt

  • Eilne oli lihtsalt valuation. Jeff oli $17 kandist UP. Tegi väikse korrigeerimise, $14 ja Hold.
  • krookus
    stocker
    Hoopis põnevam vile tuleb Needhamilt. Polegi paha, võrreldes teiste majadega.
    Riverbed Technology Needham Initiates RVBD with Strong Buy, price target: $25



    Eile oli Jefferies ug ja müüdi, äkki täna siis ostetakse?


    See on põhjus ostmiseks vä?
    Jefferies Raised RVBD to Hold from Underperform, price target: $14


  • Njah ,eksisin ,ei vaatand täpsemalt . Jäi meelde ,et eile oli midagi.
  • Gapping up
    In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: FLOW +14.4%, USU +12.4%, CLGX +3.4%, GBX +2.7% (ticking higher), WEN +0.7%, PAYX +0.2%.

    M&A news: LNCR +0.4% (continued strength following yesterday's M&A speculation).

    Other news: SURG +20.2% (announces FDA clearance of VersaVIT vitrectomy system), HMPR +18.4% (plans to raise an additional ~$30 million to $45 million in capital by issuing from ~42.8 mln to ~64.3 mln common shares in rights offering during Q3), LIVE +9.9% (still checking), AOL +4.4% (announces the commencement of a $400 million modified dutch auction tender offer for its common stock), ELLI +1.8% (Elli Mae prices follow-on offering of 3,101,638 shares of its common stock at $17.00 per share), EGAS +1.4% (announces pricing of secondary offering of 700,000 common shares by CEO Richard Osborne), WTW +1.4% (modestly rebounding from yesterday's decline following ARNA news), ARNA +1% (continued strength following yesterday's FDA approval), AZN +0.9% (still checking).

    Analyst comments: OREX +7.7% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan), XOMA +4% (initiated with a Buy at ROTH Capital), RVBD +1.9% (initiated with a Strong Buy at Needham), DRIV +1.9% (ticking higher, upgraded to Buy from Underperform at BofA/Merrill).
  • Gapping down
    In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: FDO -7.6%, CW -7%, HTCH -3.5%, (thinly traded), MSM -2% (light volume), MLHR -0.6%, (light volume, also raises quarterly dividend).

    Financial related names showing weakness: RBS -12.3%, BCS -12% (Barclays PLC to settle with US and UK regulators over allegations of Libor manipulation and pay $453 mln, according to reports), LYG -8.2%, DB -4.9%, ING -3.6%, JPM -3.3% (NYTimes reporting that JPMorgan Chase 'London Whale' trading loss could reach as much as $9 bln), NBG -3.2%, HBC -2.6%, MS -1.9%, C -1.8%, CS -1.7%, BAC -1.7%, SAN -1.3%, .

    Select metals/mining stocks trading lower: RIO -2.5%, MT -2%, GLD -0.4%, SLV -0.2%.

    Select oil/gas related names showing modest weakness: WFT -1.6%, STO -1.4%, TOT -1.4%, RDS.A -0.7%, BP -0.5%.

    Other news: ANTH -52.7% (updates Phase 3 plans following results from the Phase 2b PEARL-SC dose ranging study of Blisibimod), PEIX -30.2% (signs agreements to increase ownership in plants to 67% and improve terms of plant debt, announces proposed offering of common stock and warrants), SNTA -26.2% (announces results from interim analysis of Phase 2b/3 GALAXY trial: Improvements in PFS, response rate, and survival events observed in all adenocarcinoma patients), HUSA -4.7% (announces operational update on Cachirre #1 Well), ETP -4.2% (commenced a public offering of 13,500,000 common units representing limited partner interests), SPLK -3.6% (files registration statement for proposed follow-on offering), STX -2.2% and WDC -1.6% (weakness following HTCH guidance/comments), DG -2.1% and DLTR -1.8% (trading lower following FDO results), BV -0.9% (files registration statement for proposed follow-on offering), ACI -0.8% (Moody's downgrades Arch Coal's CFR to B2 from B1; outlook stable).

    Analyst comments: EBAY -3.8% (Hearing early weakness being attributed to cautious comments on sales expectations from ITG), MTL -2.9% (Mechel Steel downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman), CX -1.1% (initiated with Underperform at Imperial Capital), CBE -0.6% (downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo).
  • Continuing Claims falls to 3. 296mln from 3.311mln
    Q1 GDP- Third Estimate +1.9% vs +1.9% Briefing.com consensus; Second Estimate +1.9%
    Q1 GDP Deflator- Third Estimate +2% vs +1.7% Briefing.com consensus; Second estimate +1.7%
    Initial Claims 386K vs 385K Briefing.com consensus; Prior revised to 392K from 387K
  • Eile avaldati taaskord USA naftavarude raport, mis kahanesid 133 000 barreli võrra. Tegu on olulisemalt väiksema langusega kui oodatud 1,3 miljonit barrelit ning allolevalt jooniselt on näha, et autosõiduhooaeg pole varudele veel olulist mõju avaldanud nagu ajalooliselt kombeks. Samas on bensiinivarud viimase viie aasta põhjade lähedal.
  • Einhorni nimi on hirmutamas järjekordse ettevõtte investoreid:
    LULU lululemon athletica: Weakness being attributed to rumor that Einhorn is short

    Teatavasti kukkus mais samasuguse kuulujutu peale HLF üle 20%.
    LULU hetkel kauplemas 6,7% madalamal.

  • JPMorgan Chase: CNBC reporting that JPM more confident that they can contain losses to $4-6 bln; says they are 'more or less 70% out of the trade'

    JPMorgan Chase: CNBC reporting the pain of the 'London Whale' trade is 'largely over'


    JPM on selle peale ka natuke taastunud, kuid kaupleb ikka üle 4% miinuspoolel.
  • UBS LULU kaitsmas:

    lululemon athletica: Hearing UBS defending shares; sell off attributed to rumor of Einhorn entering a short in the position

  • Turg peaks rutem kinni minema, muidu kukub VRTX päris nulli välja. :)
  • Merkel on väidetavalt tänaõhtuse pressikonverentsi ära tühistanud ja tundub, et selle teate peale ka turg ülespoole liikus... ilmselt loodetakse siis, et millegi kallal töö nüüd tõsiselt käib ja ei taheta detaile avalikustada enne seda, kui plaan lõplikult koos. Aga need on nüüd küll puhtalt spekulatsioonid ja ausalt öeldes isegi veidi üllatav selline tugev ülespoole reaktsioon.
  • WLT reaffirms FY12 production guidance; sees Q2 met coal sales volume of 2.8 MMT up from 2.4 in Q1

    WLT kinnitab oma 2012. aasta prognoosi, mis peaks aktsiale positiivset mõju avaldama, seda enam, et kivisöe sektor on olnud väga tugeva müügisurve all.
  • Smith & Wesson sees Q1 $0.16-0.19 vs $0.12 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; sees revs $125-130 mln vs $112.55 mln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate
    Smith & Wesson sees FY13 $0.60-0.65 vs $0.50 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; sees revs $485-505 mln vs $465.98 mln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate

    SWHC on väga tugevate tulemuste ja prognoosiga väljas- aktsia hetkel 12% kõrgemal kauplemas (+ $ 7,88)


    Read more: http://www.briefing.com/InPlayEq/InPlay/InPlayDual.htm#ixzz1z7XSqnr9
  • to ymeramees: Sest ma arvan, et kardeti/oodati uut kasumihoiatust
  • Nike prelim $1.17 vs $1.37 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; revs $6.5 bln vs $6.51 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate
    NKE-l just väga häid uudiseid investoritele pole. Aktsia kauplemas 11% miinuspoolel, $ 87 taseme kandis.



  • Production guidance, kasum võib sellest hoolimata pekkis olla :)
  • Research In Motion prelim ($0.37) vs ($0.08) Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; revs $2.81 bln vs $3.04 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate

    Research In Motion BlackBerry 10 smartphone launch now scheduled for Q1 of calendar 2013

    RIMM-lt kole kahjum, mis ei tohiks küll erilise üllatusena tulla.

    The Company expects the next several quarters to continue to be very challenging for its business based on the increasing competitive environment, lower handset volumes, potential financial and other impacts from the delay of BlackBerry 10, pressure to reduce RIM's monthly infrastructure access fees, and the Company's plans to continue to aggressively drive sales of BlackBerry 7 handheld devices
  • ymeramees
    Production guidance, kasum võib sellest hoolimata pekkis olla :)


    Võib. Sellegipoolest arvan ma, et seda võetakse positiivse märgina :)
  • However, revenues and income will be adversely affected by lower second quarter pricing across the industry and we anticipate approximately flat sequential quarterly costs per ton."

    Production guido on inline eelnevaga. Nonevento.
  • ymeramees
    However, revenues and income will be adversely affected by lower second quarter pricing across the industry and we anticipate approximately flat sequential quarterly costs per ton."

    Production guido on inline eelnevaga. Nonevento.


    Olukorra olulisele paranemisele sektoris see paraku tõesti ei viita.
  • pigem on sektoris küsimus, kes pankrotti läheb...
  • Ford tiksumas allapoole artikli peale, kus öeldakse, et nõrk Euroopa on firma majandustulemustele veskikiviks kaelas:

    The Ford Motor Company’s chief financial officer said Thursday that the automaker’s international losses would triple in the second quarter, primarily because of much weaker European sales. The executive, Robert Shanks, also disclosed that Ford would consider closing an assembly plant in Europe should demand keep falling.

    Ford Says Overseas Losses Will Triple in 2nd Quarter
  • Nelli Janson
    Research In Motion prelim ($0.37) vs ($0.08) Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; revs $2.81 bln vs $3.04 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate

    Research In Motion BlackBerry 10 smartphone launch now scheduled for Q1 of calendar 2013

    RIMM-lt kole kahjum, mis ei tohiks küll erilise üllatusena tulla.

    The Company expects the next several quarters to continue to be very challenging for its business based on the increasing competitive environment, lower handset volumes, potential financial and other impacts from the delay of BlackBerry 10, pressure to reduce RIM's monthly infrastructure access fees, and the Company's plans to continue to aggressively drive sales of BlackBerry 7 handheld devices


    RIMM avanes kauplemiseks 17% allpool- $ 7,60
  • Ja RIMM nädala algusega võrreldes veerandijagu odavam. Miks ei üllata :)
  • Aina toredamaks läheb.

    EU President Van Rompuy: Euro leaders open bailout funds for gov't meeting conditions, agree to open funds without austerity programs - EU Summit press conference

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