LHV finantsportaal

Foorum Investeerimine

Börsipäev 11. jaanuar

Kommentaari jätmiseks loo konto või logi sisse

  • Ehkki USA tööturu raporti kohaselt loodi detsembris oodatust rohkem töökohti (292 tuhat vs prognoositud 200 tuhat), ei suutnud see rahustada terve nädala peamiselt Hiina majandusliku väljavaate pärast mures olnud investoreid, jättes S&P 500 reedel -1,1% punasesse ning nädala lõikes -6% kaotusseisu. Esialgse positiivse reaktsiooni ümber mänginud Wall Street tõmbas omakorda allapoole Euroopa aktsiaturge, kus Stoxx 600 sulgus reedel -1,5% madalamal.



    Nädalavahetusel avaldatud Hiina tarbijahinnaindeks vastas 0,1pp kiirenemisega 1,6% peale analüütikute ootustele, samal ajal aga jäi tootjahinnaindeksi langus toorainete odavnemise ja siseturu pehmenenud nõudluse tõttu viiendat kuud järjest -5,9% peale. Arvestades disinflatsioonilise surve püsimist (inflatsioon jääb valitsuse 2015.a eesmärgist ligi poole võrra väiksemaks) ning majandusnäitajate stabiliseerumist madalal tasemel, prognoosivad analüütikud Hiinas esimese poolaasta jooksul veel paari intressimäära langetamist, mis aitaks tagada struktuursete reformide jaoks stabiilsemat makrokeskkonda.

    Aktsiaturud alustasid Aasias uut nädalat negatiivsete meeleoludega, kui Hiinas kauples Shanghai Composite kirjutamise hetkel -4% punases, Hongkongi Hang Seng -2% kaotusega ning Austraalias langes S&P/ASX200 -1,2%. Jaapani börs oli pühade tõttu suletud. Finantsturgude volatiislsus hoiab omakorda surve all naftat, mis WTI näol on öösel odavnenud -1,8% 32,55 dollarile barreli eest ning Brent -2% võrra 32,89 dollarile. Musta kulla läinud nädala ligikaudu -10% langust ei suutnud pidurdada isegi reedene statistika, et aktiivsete naftapuurtornide arv vähenes Ühendriikides nädalaga 20 võrra 516ni, mis on Baker Hughes andmetel madalaim alates 2009.a aprillist.

    Kui pöörata pilgud käesoleva nädala majandusuudistele, siis võrdlemisi tagasihoidliku valiku juures jääb raskuskese pigem nädala teise poolde, mil selgub USA detsembrikuu jaemüügi statistika ning neljanda kvartali tulemuste hooaja avavad USA suurpangad ning Intel. Täna on aga laual Hispaania novembrikuu tööstustoodangu muutus ning USA tööturu tingimuste indeks.

    10.00 Hispaania tööstustoodang (november)
    15.15 Kanadas alustatud elamuehituste arv (detsember)
    17.00 USA tööturu tingimuste indeks (detsember)
    19.40 FEDi Lockhart esineb kõnega
  • USA pensionifondid ja investeerimisfondid hoiavad kõrget raha osakaalu, mis ühest küljest peegeldab turul valitsevat hirmu, samas võib selles näha mingis punktis ka võimalikku tuge

    Pensions, Mutual Funds Turn Back to Cash
    Large public retirement systems and open-end U.S. mutual funds have yanked nearly $200 billion from the market since mid-2014, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis of the most recent data available from Wilshire Trust Universe Comparison Service, Morningstar Inc. and the federal government.
    That leaves pension funds with the highest cash levels as a percentage of assets since 2004. For mutual funds, the percentage of assets held in cash was the highest for the end of any quarter since at least 2007.
  • Hispaania tööstustoodangu kasvutempo näitas novembris marginaalset kiirenemist, kerkides mullusega võrreldes ootuspärased 4,2% (oktoobris 4,1%).

  • Täna avastasin, et Tarkinvestor "ajutiselt" suletud. Kas juba ammu?
  • Lahe.
    Arch Coal -63.8% Premarket ; Co Filed for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Protection
  • stocker
    Lahe.
    Arch Coal -63.8% Premarket ; Co Filed for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Protection

    ega selles ju midagi üllatavat ei ole, üllatav oleks kui mõni söetootja selle tsükli ilma CH11 üle elaks :D
  • Järgmiseks on naftafirmad, kes suure laenu otsas istuvad.
  • Gapping up
    In reaction to strong earnings/guidance/SSS:
    SQNM +6%, IRMD +5.8%, HCA +5.2%, KONA +4.9%, (prelim Q4 restaurant sales above consensus) ACOR +4.6%, (reports prelim Q4/2015 AMPYRA sales and 2016 guidance), SCVL +4.5%, EBS +3.3%, NVRO +3.1%, FOLD +2.5%, (Provides Full-Year 2016 Strategic Outlook and Financial Guidance) EVHC +0.8%, ARAY +0.7%

    M&A news: AFFX +48.6% (to be acquired by Thermo Fisher (TMO) for $14.00/share in cash; expected to be immediately accretive to TMO's adjusted EPS), APOL +8.2% (exploring strategic alternatives; also released earnings), BXLT +6% (to be acquired by Shire (SHPG) for ~$45.57/share), (acquires AbVitro fro ~$78 mln), JUNO +4.6% (acquires AbVitro for ~$78 mln), EBS +3.3% (receives IRS ruling for the planned spin-off of its biosciences business), SHPG +2.9% (to acquire BXLT for 45.57 per share), M +1.6% (Starboard sends letter to the Board encouraging them to pursue more real estate deals, according to the WSJ)

    Select metals/mining stocks trading higher: MT +8.4%, HMY +6.2%, GFI +3.9%, KGC +3.7%, AU +2.4%, RIO +1.7%, VALE +1.5%, GOLD +1%

    Other news: ATV +36.4% (announces share repurchase program of $2 mln), SCON +35.2% (reported its Conductus wire achieved a significant milestone for use in High Field Magnet applications), AVXL +21.1% (announces positive dose-response data for ANAVEX 2-73 in Alzheimer's disease patients), THLD +13.9% (Threshold Pharma and Merck KGaA (MKGAY) agree upon terms for the licensing back of all rights to evofosfamide to Threshold), SGYP +12.3% (announces positive phase 1b data with its second uroguanylin analog), VPCO +11.6% (withdrew previously announced offer to issue common stock and warrants in exchange for outstanding Units sold in the July 2015 offering), MNKD +6.1% (confirms Sanofi's (SNY) termination of the License and Collaboration Agreement), OCUL +5.6% (appoints Jonathan H. Talamo, M.D., as Chief Medical Officer), ZGNX +5.6% (Initiation of Phase 3 Program for ZX008 in Dravet Syndrome), ACRX +5.5% (provides anticipated 2016 milestones; reports initiation and completion of final Phase 3 trial in the U.S. for Zalviso, NDA Resubmission), ONTY +5.5% (announces the retirement of President and CEO Robert L. Kirkman, M.D. effective January 11), SGMO +4.6% (details its milestones and objectives for 2016), WLH +4.2% (commences $50 mln of 7.00% Senior Notes due 2022), RXDX +3.8% (details its strategic priorities for 2016), ILMN +3.5% (forms new company GRAIL for early detection blood-based screening; considered significant development in the war on cancer), SCMP +3.2% (granted a sole option to acquire an exclusive license to commercialize CPP-1X/sulindac combination product in North America from Cancer Prevention Pharma), IMGN +2.8% (provides anticipated milestones for 2016), CTIC +2.5% (reports positive progress of lead clinical programs; provides outlook for 2016), ARIA +2.4% (elects Alex Denner as Chairman), AA +2% (announces $1.5 bln long-term contract with GE Aviation (GE) for jet engine components; note AA reports earnings tonight), HMSY +1.4% (discloses it & the New York State Office of the Medicaid Inspector General entered into an amendment extending the term of existing third party liability contract), XONE +1.4% (enters into an At Market Issuance Sales Agreement with FBR and MLV & Co. to sell up to $50 mln in shares of its common stock), GPRO +1.4% (slight strength following Friday's weakness), NVS +1.3% (signs licensing agreement with Surface Oncology), MEG +1.3% (Nexstar Broadcasting (NXST) reiterates its commitment to acquire Media General, and to take all necessary actions to consummate a transaction)

    Analyst comments: GM +1.9% (upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse), AAPL +1.4% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Mizuho), WFC +1.1% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman)

    Gapping down
    In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance:
    QGEN -11.8%, VRTX -4.6%, GCO -4%, EXAS -3%

    Select China related names showing weakness with the Shanghai down over 5% last night: JD -2.2%, JMEI -1.7%, JKS -1.5%, CSIQ -0.9%, VIPS -0.9%, SFUN -0.9%, YY -0.7%, CTRP -0.6%

    Other news: ACI -64% (files Chapter 11 bankruptcy, agrees on terms of debt restructure deal with Senior lenders), ASTI -12.9% (files 48 mln share common stock offering by a selling stockholder), NURO -5.6% (files ~16.505 mln share common stock offering issuable upon conversion of outstanding shares of Series C Preferred Stock & upon exercise of certain outstanding warrants by selling securityholders), BCLI -2.9% (enters into collaborative agreement with Hadassah Medical Center in Jerusalem), CYTK -1.9% (presents analyses demonstrating predictive value of slow vital capacity for clinical outcomes in ALS)

    Analyst comments: UA -4.3% (downgraded to Underweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley), VFC -2.3% (downgraded to Underweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley), MJN -1.8% (downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan), WETF -1.4% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman), JPM -0.5% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman)

    Briefing.com
  • AA avab neljanda kvartali tulemuste hooaja ja teatab oodatust paremast kasumist aktsia kohta, aga käive jääb pisut alla prognoositu:
    Alcoa prelim Q4 $0.04 vs $0.01 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; revs $5.25 bln vs $5.28 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate


    AA kauplemas 2,5% plusspoolel, @8,20

Teemade nimekirja