Börsipäev 14. november
Kommentaari jätmiseks loo konto või logi sisse
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Täna on tulemuste koha pealt väga tähtis päev jaemüüjate jaoks: Wal-Mart (WMT) ($0.60E), Home Depot (HD) ($0.75), Target (TGT) ($0.55E), TJ Maxx (TJX) ($0.46E) ja BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ) ($0.26E).
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Home Depot (HD) reports Q3 (Oct) earnings of $0.73 per share, $0.02 worse than the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.75; revenues rose 11.3% year/year to $23.09 bln vs the $23.31 bln consensus. Co issues FY07 guidance, sees FY07 revs up 12% YoY, or roughly $91.29 bln vs. $92.42 bln consensus; sees EPS up 4-5% YoY. The U.S. retail home improvement market has slowed significantly due to a slowing overall economy, declining home prices and equity extraction, and slowing housing turnover. "Our sales performance was softer than we anticipated, but I believe we are making the right decisions to strengthen our core retail business and build our HD Supply platform to ensure that we emerge even stronger when the housing cycle rebounds." The co's Board of Directors, through a subcommittee of its Audit Committee, continues to review the co's historical stock option practices, with the assistance of independent outside counsel. As previously disclosed, the staff of the Securities and Exchange Commission commenced an informal inquiry into the co's stock option practices, and the U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York also requested information on the subject. The co is continuing to cooperate with these agencies. While the co cannot predict the outcome of these matters, it does not believe that such matters will result in a material adverse impact on the co's financial position or results of operations.
Wal-Mart (WMT) prelim $0.62 vs $0.60 Reuters consensus; revs $83.54 mln vs $83.87 bln Reuters consensus, $84.48 bln First Call. USA SSS kvartalis tuli ca +1.5%.
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WMT sees Q4 $0.88-0.92 vs $0.92 Reuters consensus
WMT sees FY07 $2.85-2.89 vs $2.87 Reuters consensus -
TGT Target beats by $0.04 (57.76 )
Reports Q3 (Oct) earnings of $0.59 per share, $0.04 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.55; revenues rose 14.4% year/year to $13.57 bln vs the $13.59 bln consensus -
Futuurid on teinud päris kiire spaigi üles järgneva statistika peale:
Retail Sales ex-auto -0.4% vs -0.3% consensus
Retail Sales -0.2% vs -0.4% consensus
Core PPI -0.9% vs +0.1% consensus
PPI -1.6% vs -0.5% consensus -
TJX prelim $0.48 vs $0.46 Reuters consensus; revs $4.5 bln vs $4.51 bln Reuters consensus, $4.46 bln First Call
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mida tähendab spaik? langus?
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Pidasin silmas väikest tõusu futuuride hindades -spaik-spike-jõnks üles
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selge..;)
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Mis tootjahinnaindeksisse puutub, siis core PPI –0,9%-line langus viitab sellele, et inflatsioon hulgimüügi tasemel on ohjes. Seetõttu ka positiivne reaktsioon.
Shark kirjutab muuhulgas täna, kuidas lühikeseksmüüjad lootuses turu tippu tabada, on liiga vara end lühikeseks müünud ning nendepoolne katmine aitab tõusule järjest kaasa. Iga päevaga, millega turg edasi tõuseb, tuleb juurde aga uusi lühikeseksmüüjaid, kelle arvates graafikud on liiga välja venitatud.
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Resist the Urge to Call the Turn
By Rev Shark
RealMoney.com Contributor
11/14/2006 8:59 AM EST
Click here for more stories by Rev Shark
"When in doubt, predict that the present trend will continue."
-- Unknown
Few things are more frustrating and costly in trading than trying to anticipate a turn that doesn't come. But calling the top or the bottom is one of the most widely played games on Wall Street. The thinking is that you will generate big profits by catching a turn at the very moment it kicks in. Others will have to scramble to realign their positions but you're already be far ahead of the game.
There is something about predicting market turns that is extremely hard to resist for many on Wall Street. Many like to believe that they have some superior understanding into the market beast and therefore are in control. It is a great ego boast to nail a market turn. The big problem for most is that precise market calls almost always evolve into nursing a losing a prediction and hoping that sooner or later you will be proved right. While waiting for the poorly timed call to kick in, the losses and missed profits can be tremendous. However, because we know we are right but are just a little off with the timing, we stand tough and as the market becomes more extended we become more certain that the turn will kick in.
One of the ironic things about the inclination to predict turning points is that the process itself probably keeps the trend going longer than it otherwise would. The serial turn-callers find themselves constantly scrambling to cover and go long when their prediction proves wrong yet again. They keep fueling the very move they are sure will no longer persist.
Of course the trend will end one of these days and that fact means there will be a steady supply of those who will attempt to predict precisely when it occurs. They may miss out on lots of gains in the interim but you can bet they will be there when the long-awaited top finally does come. So respect that trend and expect it to last. Trying to figure when it ends is a tough game and even the best do a poor job of being precise with their timing.
We have a big drop in the PPI index this morning, an indication that inflationary pressures are quite low. Retail sales were down but not as much as expected. They were revised down last month but overall are mostly in line. The market is reacting favorably to this economic news in the early going, bonds are up and the dollar is dropping, which is boosting gold.
Overseas Japanannounced much better than expected GDP growth, which boosted the Nikkei but Europe was mixed and is now turning higher. We have a positive start underway once again this morning.
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Ülespoole avanevad:
Gapping up on strong earnings/guidance: GORX +22%, JDO +13%, DDS +9.6%, MAIL +9.2%, SKS +8%, DHI +8.6%, TOA +7.4%, IONA +6.6%, DKS +5.3% (also to acquire GGXY), NTY +4.9% (also Brean Murray upgrade), WMT +2.8%... Other News: NTPA +22% (to be acquired by MOT), EXFO +20% (positive initiations by CIBC and Roth), GGXY +18% (to be acquired by DKS), EFUT +14% (recent IPO extends momentum), CRGN +8.6% (BWS initiates with $8 tgt; also announces phase 2 trial launch), TIVO +5.6% (to expand internet based content), CWTR +4.4% (Cramer bullish on Mad Money), SCT +4.2% (Hannover Re raises profit forecast - Reuters), CTSH +3.9% (to be added to S&P 500), ESRX +3.8% (guides above consensus), HSOA +3.6%... Under $3: MOVI +16% (reports Q3), ENMD +6% (presents clinical data). -
Pro alla sai veel enne turu avanemist mõned kauplemisideed lisatud
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UPS UPS - - Relative Strength (77.07 +0.81) -Technical-
Stock shows Relative Strength off the opening as it trends higher and probes its Oct peak at 76.95 and the 200-day simple ma (76.34). Next level of interest is the July low/bearish gap b/w 70.22/77.92. -
USA kongressi valimised on nii mõndagi liikuma pannud. Seltsimees Bush kohtus USA autotöösturitega, et rääkida nafta alternatiividest ja sektori nõrkustest.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20061114/ap_on_bi_ge/bush_automakers
