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Börsipäev 26. detsember

Kommentaari jätmiseks loo konto või logi sisse

  • USA turg on täna avatud terve täispäev ning T+3 reegli järgi on täna viimane päev, et 2007. aasta numbri sees tehingu lõpuni käsitlemine kirja saada.

    Enamus neist Aasia ja Euroopa turgudest, mis täna avatud, on kenas plussis. Ilmselt oma roll on siin ka Buffetti poolt tehtaval $4.5 miljardi suurune investeering Marmon Holdingusse, millega omandatakse 60% ettevõttest. Arvestades, et 30. septembri seisuga oli Berkshire Hathaway'l ca $45 miljardit vaba raha, kulutati selle ostuga kõigest 10% sellest ning vaba raha on ka tulevaste ostude jaoks olemas. Marmon Holdings vastab Buffetti üldistele investeerimiskriteeriumidele, olles orienteeritud erinevatele nišidele, kus omatakse turul ühte domineerivaist positsioonidest. Hilisema 40% ettevõttest omandab Berkshire 2014. aastaks jupi kaupa hinnaga, mis sõltub ettevõtte poolt teenitavatest tulevastest kasumitest.
  • Kuigi hetkel on veel USA mõistes väga vara, on sealsed futuurid 0.1%-0.2% plussis.

    Saksamaa DAX N/A (börs suletud)

    Prantsusmaa CAC 40 N/A (börs suletud)

    Inglismaa FTSE 100 N/A (börs suletud)

    Hispaania IBEX N/A (börs suletud)

    Venemaa MICEX -0.79%

    Poola WIG N/A (börs suletud)

    Aasia turud:

    Jaapani Nikkei 225 +0.65%

    Hong Kongi Hang Seng N/A (börs suletud)

    Hiina Shanghai A (kodumaine) +0.62%

    Hiina Shanghai B (välismaine) +0.75%

    Lõuna-Korea Kosdaq -0.96%

    Tai Set -0.36%

    India Sensex +1.70%

  • Miinuses avaneb täna jaemüüja Target (TGT), kes hoiatas esmaspäeva õhtul, et võrreldavate poodide müügid jäävad sel aastal detsembris tagasihoidlikuks ning varasema vahemiku +3% kuni +5% asemel nähakse nüüd uue vahemikuna -1% kuni +1%... Seda arvesse võttes sel aastal Target 4. kvartalis eelmise aastaga võrreldes enam kasumikasvu ei näita.
  • Don't Take a Good Mood for a Good Market
    By Rev Shark
    RealMoney.com Contributor
    12/26/2007 7:59 AM EST

    A free-enterprise economy depends only on markets, and according to the most advanced mathematical macroeconomic theory, markets depend only on moods: specifically, the mood of the men in the pinstripes, also known as the Boys on the Street. -- Barbara Ehrenreich

    The local paper here in Anna Maria, Fla., attributed the strength in the market on Monday to the Singaporean investment in Merrill Lynch (MER) . There have been other media reports about how strong consumer spending is driving the market in the last few days.

    The truth of the matter is that market players simply decided that it was time that the market bounced. The technical conditions and the calendar supported an upside move and once it began it fed on itself.

    Nothing fundamental has changed in the past week. We still have problems in the credit market, a slowing economy and increased worries about inflation. We were simply enjoying a good mood.

    The question we ponder now is whether it will persist. There is a lot of pressure by large funds and institutions to hold the market up into the end of the year. Big investors want to report the best numbers they can and that means making sure that some of their big positions stay strong until the final bell on Dec. 31.

    In addition to seasonal pressure, the strong bounce over the last four days has plenty of skepticism around it, which may help to hold us up. There aren't many folks looking for the market to get back on track and start a steady new uptrend that lasts for weeks or months. Only the most optimistic believe that something magical has occurred and suddenly all is better.

    So we have a balancing act this morning. We don't want to underestimate the likelihood of some further upside momentum, but we definitely don't want to be the last ones to lock in gains. The way I play this is to make partial sales of strong positions into strength but to continue to look for new buys that may have room to run if the market stays strong. I want to play the game but my trust levels will be low until I see sufficient evidence that the buyers are not yet giving up.

    Some folks will dismiss the idea of caution when the market has moved up as strongly as it has the last few days. They assume the mood will continue and expect us to keep running. The problem is that if they are wrong the pullbacks can be very fast and vicious and can wipe out hard-won gains surprisingly fast.

    Trading is very likely to be volatile and a bit thin so we have our work cut out for us. Good luck and go get 'em.
    ------------------------
    Ülespoole avanevad:

    Select solar stocks seeing strength: SOLF +8.6%, CSIQ + 5.8%, DSTI + 4.9%, AKNS +4.2%, ESLR + 3.3%, LDK + 2.7%, CSUN +2.4%, JASO + 1.9%, HOKU +1.9%, SPWR + 1.7%... Other news: ULBI +7.5% (receives $40 mln follow-on order), SMI +5.2% (Semi Manufacturing and IBM sign licensing agreement), FCEL +3.4% (rebounding somewhat following Monday's 20% drop; still checking for any news), ITRN +3.4% (re-authorizes repurchase of up to $9 mln of ordinary shares), AGU +1.9% (still checking), AMZN +1.1% (says 2007 holiday season was 'best ever'), CAAS +1.0% (announces plan to acquire 36.5% of Henglong Automotive Parts Co)... Analyst upgrades: PAR +3.9% (initiated with Outperform at Credit Suisse and hearing initiated with Neutral at tier-1 firm), CWCO +3.7% (upgraded to Buy at Brean Murray).

    Allapoole avanevad:

    In reaction to weak earnings/guidance: TGT -2.8% (cuts Dec same-store sales expectations)... Select retail seeing weakness with reports of lower holiday sales results in general: LIZ -3.0%, CC -1.0%... Other news: MA -1.9% (reports seasonally adjusted retail sales for holiday, says overall holiday season retail sales up 3.6% - Bloomberg), PBR -1.6% (still checking), LXP -1.6% (declares special cash dividend of $2.10 per share), MER -1.2% (CIBC says MER may report $4-7 bln writedown in Q4, CIBC previously estimated $6 bln - Bloomberg), RIMM -1.1% (still checking)... Analyst downgrades: YRCW -1.6% and JBHT -1.0% (Longbow cuts estimates for select truckers), TRP -1.0% (hearing downgraded to Neutral at tier-1 firm).
  • Päikeseenergia sektor on viimasel ajal ikka oi-oi kui kuumaks teemaks kujunenud ning pole vist kuigi paljusid enam, kes tulevasest potentsiaalist ei räägiks. Asja varjupool vähemasti investoritele peitub aga selles, et sektori esindajad on kujunenud ka aktiivseteks kauplemis- ja momentumraha objektideks, muutes liikumised olulisemalt volatiilsemaks.

    Dan Fitzpatrick on RM-i all ühe graafiku ja kommentaariga väljas:

    LDK Solar has had quite a ride over the past month, almost tripling in price from the November low, only to get chopped in half over the past week. But this last pullback to $45 established a bright-line support level. That's where the bulls made their stand, and as long as they can hold that line, the stock might work as a long position. But if that support level breaks down, I'd turn the lights off on this stock. 

  • AAPL > 200$, andis oodata. tõmbas kenasti kuubikud ka kaasa :)
  • Sellistest subjektiivsetest allikatest on kuulda, et üldiselt pühade müük millegi erilisega ei suutnud inimesi paeluda. Kuid nagu juba Musta Reede järjekorrad eelkõige elektroonikapoe Best Buy (BBY) uste taga andsid alust arvamaks, et tehnoloogia on selle jõulu-aja mood, siis esmased kommentaarid tunduvad seda ka kinnitavat. Väidetavalt olid pikad sabad jõulude eel just Apple’i uste taga… ning üldiselt jaemüüjad ei suutnud kliente oma poodidesse piisaval määral meelitada.

    Teisi häid kommentaare on saanud sellised ettevõtted nagu J. Crew (JCG), Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF), Guess (GES), Nokia (NOK), Williams-Sonoma (WSM) ja Saks (SKS).
  • Wall Street Journali kodulehel lehvib täna rõõmsalt Eesti lipp, millele klikkides on võimalik vaadata videointervjuud dokumentaalfilmi The Singing Revolution loojatega. Link.

  • siin on filmi treiler www.singingrevolution.com
  • Filmist veel niipalju, et eelmine aasta sai seda Eestis ka mõndades kohtades vaadta. Ilus film oli, oskab keegi öelda, millal osta saaks seda Eestist?

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