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Börsipäev 31. oktoober

Kommentaari jätmiseks loo konto või logi sisse

  • Tere hommikust börsipäeva foorumlased.

    Jaapani keskpank alandas esimest korda viimase 7 aasta jooksul oma niigi madalaid intressimäärasid, liigutades need 0.5% pealt 0.3%le. Hääled jagunesid 4-4, kuid kuna eesistuja rollis olnud Shirakawa pooldas intressimäärade langetamist, võeti otsus vastu.

  • Nii ühe kui ka kolme kuu ning üleöö LIBOR on jätkanud oma langemist, indikeerides LEHi pankrotijärgsete aegade stabiliseerumist finantsturgudel.

    3-kuu LIBOR aastasel graafikul:

  • Neil, kes pole seda veel teinud, soovitan veel tänasel selle aasta viimasel pensionifondi vahetamise päeval kas liituda või vahetada oma varasem pensionifond LHV oma vastu! Tallinna kesklinnas Cityplazas, Tartu mnt 2 Investeerimiskeskuse kontorist läbiastumine ei võta sugugi kaua aega.
  • Väga huvitav, kas Tallinna börsil on pikemad juhtmed kui teistel OMX-s? Tehakse eilset tõusu? Ja kõige kummalisem on ARC1T - millest selline lennukus?
  • Kapitali omav Pärsia Lahe regioon kasutab jätkuvalt finantskriisi käigus tekkivaid võimalusi. Täna tuli teade, et Barclay kavatseb tõsta $11.8 miljardit ning investorite hulka kuuluvad nii Abu Dhabi kui ka Qatari sovereign wealth fondid. Lähis-Ida investorid teenivad ostetavate võlakirjade ja eelisaktsiate pealt intressi kuni 14% aastas.

    Bloomberg on teinud seleest ka pikema loo, mida saab lugeda siit. 

  • Saksamaa DAX +1.67%

    Prantsusmaa CAC 40 -1.26%

    Inglismaa FTSE 100 -0.86%

    Hispaania IBEX 35 +0.72%

    Venemaa MICEX -0.31%

    Poola WIG +0.31%

    Aasia turud:

    Jaapani Nikkei 225 -5.01%

    Hong Kongi Hang Seng -2.52%

    Hiina Shanghai A (kodumaine) -1.98%

    Hiina Shanghai B (välismaine) -0.77%

    Lõuna-Korea Kosdaq +4.05%

    Tai Set 50 +2.57%

    India Sensex 30 +8.22%

  • Step Back and Form a Plan of Attack
    By Rev Shark
    RealMoney.com Contributor
    10/31/2008 8:38 AM EDT

    Hold on, man. We don't go anywhere with "scary," "spooky," "haunted" or "forbidden" in the title.
    -- From Scooby-Doo

    Halloween seems like a particularly good day on which to wrap up one of the scariest and spookiest months in market history. Going into the last day of the month, the S&P 500 is down about 18.2% and the Nasdaq is off 18.8%. That is after a bounce of better than 12% in the last three days. While there have been worse months, there aren't many, and this once has been particularly notable for the huge swings.

    As investors, we need to take a step back and try to formulate an approach for dealing with this great drama. It has been an absolutely brutal market, and it's going to continue to be quite challenging as we deal with the worst economic and banking problems since the Great Depression.

    The most important thing to keep in mind is that "staying the course" and doing nothing has been a great way to bury yourself in red ink. The buy-and-hold approach means that, in many cases, you need nearly a 100% return just to return your account to where it was a year ago. If you have sat idly and listened to the traditional Wall Street advice, you have been tricked, and now you have a lot of work to do to get back on track.

    The way to navigate this market in the months ahead is to stay flexible and focus on using disciplined money management. If you have a lot of positions right now, forget your cost basis and pretend you bought them all this morning. Using that price, set some stops and develop a plan on how you will handle the stock. The key is to forget what has happened in the past and focus on the best way to handle the stock going forward. Don't let losses go further and make sure to take some gains.

    Once you have a disciplined approach in place, the market will feel a bit less frightening. You will have a better control over your destiny and won't just sit there as the market dances around crazily.

    The great difficulty in this market right now is that the volatility makes building longer-term positions very hard. We are seeing swings of 5% or more intraday with some very odd action in the final hour. That can be OK for ultra-short-term daytraders, but it is tough for someone who is trying to apply logic.

    The good news for the market is that we are now heading into the seasonally strong November-to-January period. We have some indications of bottoming action in the indices, and if volatility can slow down, it will be a good setup for more upside.

    The bad news is that the macroeconomic news continues to be horrible. We have had so many negatives, it's tough for this market to price it all in. The chances for negative surprises remain high and the government is quickly using up all the tools in its bag of tricks to fix things. We need to start seeing credit markets act better, lower interest rates, better sentiment and economic stabilization. The troubling thing is that economic growth is very likely to slow sharply and unemployment is likely to jump in the fourth quarter. That need not kill the market if it is anticipated and priced in, but that is by no means a certainly.

    Good luck and go get 'em.
    -----------------------------
    Ülespoole avanevad:

    In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: AIRT +16.5%, AKAM +13.4%, DIVX +6.3%, SSD +5.6%, BOOM +5.5%, KBR +3.0%, MNST +3.0%, AOC +2.4% (also upgraded to Mkt Perform at FBR), DGII +2.2% (also upgraded to Market Outperform at Boenning & Scattergood), THOR +1.3%, SWN +1.1%, CHK +1.0%... Select airlines ticking higher with crude lower: CEA +4.4%, CAL +3.3%, DAL +3.0%... Other news: NXG +9.0% (discovers significant extensions to mineralized zones at the Fosterville Gold mine), GLBL +6.3% (modestly rebounding after yesterday's 25%+drop), SJM +3.5% (will replace Terex in the S&P 500)... Analyst comments: PDGI +8.9% and PPO +1.8% (upgraded to Outperform at Baird).

    Allapoole avanevad:

    In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: PWAV -38.9% (also downgraded to Neutral at Baird), BARE -24.3% (also downgraded to Hold at Wedbush Morgan), CTV -19.8% (also downgraded to Neutral at JPMorgan and downgraded to Neutral at Baird), CNXT -15.7%, GFIG -15.6%, ERTS -14.2%, VISN -12.1%, MORN -11.0% (downgraded to Market Perform at Keefe Bruyette), KLAC -6.3%, JAVA -5.1%, NYX -4.1%, BKC -4.0%, VIGN -2.8% (light volume), MEE -2.0%... M&A news: BRCD -6.9% and FDRY -1.9% (FDRY provides additional information regarding agreement in principle with Brocade; if definitive agreement is reached stockholder meeting will be further delayed with a closing of the transaction in the second half of December 2008 )... Select financials trading lower: BCS -10.4%, AXA -8.5%, HBC -7.5% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman-DJ), ING -5.0%, GS -1.9%, WFC -1.9%, BAC -1.8%, C -1.5%... Select oil/gas related names showing weakness with crude lower: TOT -4.9%, NOV -4.6%, RDS.A -3.6%, RIG -3.3%, BP -2.7%, XOM -1.9%... Select metals/mining stocks showing weakness with lower spot prices: MT -9.4%, RIO -5.7% (to reduce output on slowing global demand - DJ), GG -3.7%, GOLD -3.5%, NEM -3.4%, BBL -3.3%, RTP -3.2%, GLD -1.6%... Other news: BT -25.1% (shares plunge most in at least 22 years on missed targets - Bloomberg.com), MTL -8.0% (still checking), GM -6.8% (GM, Chrysler merger on hold as aid hopes fade: Sources - Reuters), VOD -6.1% (still checking for anything specific)... Analyst comments: PFG -12.8% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at UBS), EXPE -4.1% (downgraded to Hold at Citigroup), AIG -1.8% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS), ORCL -1.7% (downgraded to Market Perform at JMP).
  • Tulemuste tabel ka tänahommikuste teatajatega Halloweenil uuendatud. Link siin. 

  • Turud on hakanud vaikselt erisuunaliselt liikuma. Enam ei ole need ajad kui kõik olid eranditult kukkumisega nõus. Mõed on hakanud vastu vaidlema

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