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Börsipäev 20. veebruar

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  • Tänased tähtsamad sündmused - kell 15.30 teatatakse USA jaanuarikuu tarbijahinnaindeksi näidud. Tuumikosalt (ilma toidu ja kütuseta) oodatakse näitu +0.1% (eelmine kuu oli 0.0%) ning terviknäitajalt tõusu +0.3% (eelmine kuu oli -0.8%). Tegu veebruarikuu kolmanda reedega, seega täna ka optsioonireede.

    Eilne Dow Jones indeksi sulgumine tasemel 7465.95 tähistas indeksi jaoks viimase 6 aasta madalaimat sulgumishindu ning päevasiseselt käidi allpool ka novembrikuu põhjadest. 2002. aasta oktoobrikuu põhjad - 7197.49 punkti peal -, mis on Dow Jones tööstusindeksi viimase 11 aasta madalaim tase, on juba väga lähedale jõudnud, jäädes vaid 3.5% kaugusele.

    Hommik USAs taaskord negatiivne - S&P500 -0.9% @772.5 punkti (novembrikuu põhi oli 741 punkti, mis oli viimase 11.5 aasta madalaim tase), Nasdaq100 -0.6% @1164 ning nafta -2.6% @39.1 (eile lõppes märtsikuu leping ära, seega nüüdsest lähme aprillikuu lepingule üle).
  • Eile lahati CNBC eetris Obama $75 miljardilist plaani aidata kinnisvaralaenude tagastamisega hätta sattunud inimesi, mis sai üsna teravat vastukaja. Siin väike videoklipp
  • Täna jälle tennisepäev. 12:00 Eesti aja järgi Kanepi mäng Dubai poolfinaalis.
  • Kanepiga vast ei konkureeri, aga üsna huvitav diskussioon USA-s asjade lahendamisvõimaluste üle Mark Zandi, Nina Easton, Nouriel Roubini and Fred Mishkin


  • Mis võiks olla Kanepi rahvusvaheline nickname? Pot?
  • Kohvipaksult - optsioonireede ja langeme
    TA sõpradele on graafik sama mis eile

    PS! See pole soovitus ja kõik tehingud ainult omal vastutusel! :)
  • Muideks rajal oli ta ka vanim võisleja:)
  • nüüd tuleb ainult eht-eestlaslikult küsida, et mida paganat see Rehemaa seal tegi?

    :-)
  • Väga raske rada ja rasked ilmaolud peale selle, Rehemaale ei sobi.
  • marti837
    kas Rehemaale allamage paikeseloojangusse sobiks ?
    Mis S&P arvab sellest , et Rehemaale tana ei sobinud?
  • Noh, eks Rehemaal järgmistel võistlustel võimalus. Kui aga Veerpalu ja Mae suusad nurka viskavad, langeb küll Rehemaa õlgadele suur vastutus. Loodetavasti see tiivustab teda :)
  • Muuseas - meie kahevõistluse poisid valmistasid positiivse üllatuse üle paljude aastate. Täna loodetavasti peetakse hüppevõistlus ka ära, eks siis saab selle asja ka kokku võtta.
  • Rehemaa kohta siin vastus http://suusatamine.postimees.ee/?id=85167
  • tõeliselt eestlaslik, Veerpalu võitis kulla ja kõik irisevad Rehemaa kallal, et miks ni halvasti :(
  • Rehemaa läks määrdega alt.
    Laskumisel olid pakid all...
  • USA turg alustab optsioonireedet negatiivsetes meeleoludes. S&P500 -1.9% @ 765 punkti, Nasdaq100 -1.3% ning nafta -5.3% @ $38 barrelist.

    Saksamaa DAX -3.68%

    Prantsusmaa CAC 40 -3.09%

    Inglismaa FTSE 100 -2.65%

    Hispaania IBEX 35 -2.64%

    Venemaa MICEX -2.96%

    Poola WIG -3.12%

    Aasia turud:

    Jaapani Nikkei 225 -1.87%

    Hong Kongi Hang Seng -2.49%

    Hiina Shanghai A (kodumaine) +1.53%

    Hiina Shanghai B (välismaine) +3.86%

    Lõuna-Korea Kosdaq -4.56%

    Tai Set 50 -1.77%

    India Sensex 30 -2.21%

  • Searching for Hope
    By Rev Shark
    RealMoney.com Contributor
    2/20/2009 7:39 AM EST

    But what we call our despair is often only the painful eagerness of unfed hope.
    -- George Eliot

    The market is struggling tremendously as investors hope for something positive. The news flow is horrible, and nothing from any of the recent government bailout plans is increasing certainty or optimism. The major indices are close to breaking back down to levels last seen in 2002, and momentum to the downside has been building.

    The good news is that we are becoming so negative that the chances of some sort of sharp rally on good news are increasing. The only problem is that we don't have any good news right now. It is very likely that we will see some details about a new bank plan from Treasury Secretary Geithner soon, but given how much criticism he received for prematurely making the last announcement, he is likely to make sure that he has a comprehensive plan to present before making an appearance.

    A solid bank plan would most likely give the bulls some reason to buy, but you'd have to be a real optimist that it will be the catalyst for a lasting turn in this market. Nothing the government has done so far has been able to put a bottom in this market, and in fact, the market is increasingly weary and skeptical of each new program, such as the mortgage bailout, which has had an abysmal reaction from the market.

    Keep in mind what has happened continuously in the market for over a year. As soon as there is some crisis and it looks like the market is going to accelerate further to the downside, we get some sort of rescue plan and we spike back up. That holds us for a while and then we start to erode again and the next crisis develops.

    These big whipsaws can present for some good trading if your timing is good and you are very quick to act, but it sure is not a market in which to build position trades. There can be no doubt that we are in the jaws of one of the worst bear markets in our lifetimes. Protect that capital above all else. We will have good opportunities at some point but trying to bottom-fish this market is going to be a very tough way to make money.
    -----------------------------
    Ülespoole avanevad:

    In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: MXWL +24.4% (also upgraded to Buy at Roth), CAB +17.6%, LOPE +14.8%, RRGB +14.7%, PUK +12.7% (light volume), CECO +11.9%, WOOF +10.4% (light volume), CROX +7.4%, INTU +6.2%, TSRA +6.1%, KND +4.3%, MYL +2.2%... Select gold/silver related names showing strength with higher spot prices: SLW +9.3%, NG +9.1%, AUY +6.1%, AEM +4.8%, AU +4.2%, KGC +3.3%, GFI +3.3%, GG +3.2%, NEM +3.0% (tgt upped to $50 from $43 at Credit Suisse following Q4 earnings), PAAS +2.7%, SLV +2.6%, GOLD +2.0%, GLD +1.8%... Other news: SOAP +22.0% (engages Morgan Stanley advisor to assist in exploring strategic alternatives)... Analyst comments: THRX +3.1% (initiated with Buy at ThinkEquity).

    Allapoole avanevad:

    In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: WMGI -19.4%, CQB -13.4% (also downgraded to Hold from Buy at BB&T Capital Mkts), VLCM -9.3%, UNTD -6.2% (light volume), RIO -5.6% (also downgraded to Neutral at JPMorgan), LOW -4.1%, TSCM -3.4%, CVTX -3.3% (also board rejects Astellas unsolicited proposal)... Select financial names showing weakness: ING -13.9%, C -12.4% (Citigroup to sell a portion of stake in Redecard - WSJ), AXA -12.3%, UBS -11.0% (UBS shares dive after U.S. widens tax-dodge probe - Reuters), FITB -7.4%, RF -7.6%, BAC -7.4% (BofA's Lewis subpoenaed over Merrill; Thain talks - WSJ), RBS -6.8%, HIG -6.2%, PNC -6.0%, IBN -5.3%, WFC -5.2%, STI -4.5%, PRU -4.3%, MET -3.9%, XL -3.7%, USB -3.5%, JPM -3.4%, GS -3.3%, MS -2.9%, ABB -2.5%, STD -2.2%... Select oil/gas names trading lower with weakness in crude: REP -4.9%, RDS.A -2.6%, BP -2.3%, TOT -1.9%, E -1.8%, COP -1.8%, XOM -1.1%... Select metals/mining names showing weakness: AAUK -13.7% (Anglo American to suspend dividend, cut 19,000 jobs - WSJ), RTP -4.3% (Rio Tinto's independent directors test leading UK investors' appetite for rights issue - Times of London), FCX -3.8%, MT -3.7%... Select drybulk shipping names trading lower: EXM -13.5%, DRYS -8.4%, DSX -7.4%, EGLE -5.7%... Select solar names ticking lower in early trade: LDK -8.4% (downgraded to Sell at ThinkEquity), JASO -7.3%, SOLF -6.8%, ESLR -5.1%, SOL -3.5%, FSLR -2.4%... Other news: WCG -25.2% (says it is working with the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services to address issues raised by the agency), HD -3.0% (trading lower in sympathy with LOW)... Analyst comments: GT -6.7% (downgraded to Sell at Goldman - Reuters), XRX -5.0% (downgraded to Equal Weight at Barclays), ZRAN -4.7% (downgraded to Underweight at JPMorgan), ADBE -1.7% (downgraded to Neutral at Credit Suisse; tgt lowered to $17).
  • Täna avab Apranga Group esimese Pull and Bear poe Tallinna Rotermanni keskuses :)

    pullid ja karud, kiirustage!
  • Karu staff peaks hetkel küll popim olema.
  • Loogiline tundub, et sell-off (eriti finants, BAC, C, WFC etc) jätkub kuni closeni.. isegi nii loogiline, et see lihtsalt ei saa juhtuda ja tuleb mingi freakish rally out of the blue.
  • Njah, haige turg ikkagi.

    PS Esmaspäevaks ei julge ikkagi midagi panustada, turg tahab kindlasti mingit uudist BAC ja C kohta näha. Aga mis uudis see on..
  • Oot oot mis uudis see üldse on kui -25% ja siis +25%. Rally out of blue. Kui languseks pole põhjust peale pankade riigikontrolli siis polegi muud põhjust vaja et seda ei tule.
  • tahtsin SRS ka päeva algul shortida, aga ei õnnestunud millegipärast...:S
  • PÄEVA ALGUL OLI Süsteemi viga,ei saanud lühikesi
  • Citibank sai reedel viagrat peale turgu, nagu ikka uudised tulevad hiljem.
  • mis päeva algul, kuni päeva lõpuni ei saanud :S

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