LHV finantsportaal

Foorum Investeerimine

Börsipäev 27. veebruar

Kommentaari jätmiseks loo konto või logi sisse

  • Päeva alustuseks selline uudis - Goldman Sachs langetab Swedbanki hinnasihti SEK48 pealt SEK18 peale. 8. august oli Goldmani hinnasiht 289... Täna poolteist aastat hiljem on sellest järgi jäänud 6.2%.
  • Kuid langetatakse tegelikult kogu Skandinaavia pangandussektori hinnasihte:

    Swedbank SEK 48 pealt SEK 18 peale. Soovitus jääb neutraalse/müü peale.
    Nordea SEK 77.4 pealt SEK 54 peale. Soovitus jääb neutraalse peale.
    Danske Bank DKK 59 pealt DDK 31 peale. Soovitus 'neutraalse' pealt 'müü' peale.
  • Omal ajal tahtsin Sebi ja Swedi osta. Mõtlesin, et kindel investeering.
  • Goldman ei jätnud ka Handelsbankenit (SHB.B) puutumata, alandades hinnasihti SEK 141 pealt SEK 132 peale, soovitus endiselt "neutraalne".
  • TeliaSonera (TLSN) - Credit Suisse downgrades to underperform from neutral and cuts target to SEK38 from SEK42. Cuts earnings estimates arguing that Baltic markets remain a key concern.
  • Huvitav, kas Telia on oma Baltikumi valuutade devalveerimise riski SEKi vastu ikka kenasti kinni pannud ja jääb nüüd SEKi kukkumise positiivsest mõjust ilma?
  • Eurozone Unemployment rate Jan 8.20%
  • Eurotsooni inflatsioon aeglustus jaanuaris aastasel baasil 1.1%-ni ning seda 1.6%-lt detsembris. Töötus kerkis 8.2%-ni (jaanuar 2008. ulatus see 7.3%-ni), mis oli Bloombergi küsitletud analüütikute prognoosist 0.1 protsendipunkti võrra kõrgem näit. Üsna tõenäoline, et majandusolukorra kiire halvenemine viimastel kuudel annab keskpangale järgmisel nädalal põhjuse tuua intressimäära rekordmadalale tasemele.
  • Eesti Pank sõlmis Riksbankiga ennetava likviidsuskokkuleppe
    12:05, 27. veebruar 2009
    NB! Lisatud keskpanga täiendav kommentaar.

    TALLINN, 27. veebruar, BNS - Eesti Pank ja Rootsi keskpank Riksbank sõlmisid reedel ennetava likviidsuse tagamise kokkuleppe mahus kuni 10 miljardit Rootsi krooni.

    Keskpank selgitas täiendavalt BNS-ile, et lepingu ettevalmistamisega alustati aasta tagasi, kuid rahvusvaheline finantskriis tegi sellesse protsessi pausi. Leping ei ole seotud maailma majanduskriisiga, kinnitas Eesti Pank.

    "Kuna Eestis tegutsevad pangad kuuluvad valdavalt Rootsi pangagruppidesse, siis võimaldab sõlmitud leping pakkuda vajadusel finantssektorile täiendavat likviidustuge koostöös Rootsi keskpangaga. Lepingu maht 10 miljardit Rootsi krooni põhineb hinnangulisel võimalikul likviidsusvajadusel," märkis keskpank.

    "Lepingu maht on kuni 10 miljardit Rootsi krooni Eesti kroonide vastu. Ennetav kokkulepe suurendab Eesti Panga võimekust likviidsuse tagamisel valuutakomitee süsteemis," märkis Eesti Pank.

    "Ennetav kokkulepe Riksbankiga on täiendav tagatis peale kõrge likviidsuse ja kapitalipuhvrite, mis Rootsi pankade Eestis asuvatel tütarettevõtetel ja filiaalidel juba praegu on. Riksbankiga täna sõlmitud leping annab tunnistust ka piiriülese koostöö tähtsusest lõimunud finantsturgudega maailmas," sõnas Eesti Panga president Andres Lipstok.

    Swedbanki Balti panganduse juhi Erkki Raasuke ei soovinud lepingut kommenteerida, öeldes, et ei saa seda teha detaile teadmata.
  • kui oktoobris toodi üle 10 miljardi krooni eesti panka sisse, siis ei olnud mingit lepingut vaja?

    http://www.eestipank.info/dynamic/itp5/itp_report.jsp?startDay=1&startMonth=9&startYear=2008&endDay=1&endMonth=1&endYear=2009&className=EPSTAT5&step=8&reference=573&references=573%3AEEK%2C574%3AUSD%2C575%3AEUR&commtype=2&lang=et&submit=KUVA

    nüüd kui raha vaja kiirelt rootsi tagasi viia, siis annab rootsi keskpank abi?
  • muideks peale oktoobrit on rootsi kroon 30% odavnenud , seega keegi teeb sellest 10 miljardist sisuliselt 13 miljardit
  • SWEDA.SW: Moody's cuts rating to A1 from Aa3
  • Graafik, pigem tõid siis pangad oma kohustusliku likviidsuspuhvri Eesti Panka. Pangad ei pea 100% puhvrist EP hoidma.
  • arkok, seda ma olen EP märkustes juba lugenud, aga selgita mulle lollile inimesele, milleks on vaja 10 miljardilist likviidsuspuhvrit, kui meil on valuutakomitee ja iga kroon on vabalt konverteeritav mõlemas suunas.
  • see on panga valik, kus ta puhvrit hoiab, kas EP või EP poolt määratud instrumentides ju siis sel ajal valisid pangad vähem riskantseks seda EP hoida...ja ei ajanud ainult tootlust taga
  • Citigroupi kolmas bail-out siis avalik nüüd. US valitsus konvertis oma preffered stocki osaluse 36% common stock osaluseks.
    Verevalamine pangadusektoris jätkugu.
  • Citi läheneb jõudsalt $1-le, hetkel $1.20.
  • Q4 GDP-prelim -6.2% vs -5.4% consensus, prior -3.8%
  • Nominaalne GDP tuli tegelikkult ootusele vastav. Härrased LHVs, vaadake deflaatorit kah ning andke väike kommentaar.
  • USA alustab päeva uute 52 nädala põhjade jurues, tähtsamad indeksid ca 1.5% kuni 2% punases.

    Saksamaa DAX -3.71%

    Prantsusmaa CAC 40 -2.99%

    Inglismaa FTSE 100 -3.16%

    Hispaania IBEX 35 -3.23%

    Venemaa MICEX -2.42%

    Poola WIG -0.82%

    Aasia turud:

    Jaapani Nikkei 225 +1.48%

    Hong Kongi Hang Seng -0.65%

    Hiina Shanghai A (kodumaine) -1.80%

    Hiina Shanghai B (välismaine) -4.34%

    Lõuna-Korea Kosdaq +1.27%

    Tai Set 50 +0.13%

    India Sensex 30 -0.71%

  • Markets Point Lower on Citi News
    By Rev Shark
    RealMoney.com Contributor
    2/27/2009 8:07 AM EST

    It is not necessary to hope in order to understand, nor to succeed in order to persevere.
    -- Charles the Bold

    The economy and the stock market continue to look extremely grim. We have had a series of governmental initiatives in the last couple of weeks that have been unable to turn the steady collapse of the market.

    This morning we have news of a major government investment in Citigroup (C) . This has been widely expected for a while, but the terms appear to be more dilutive than expected and the stock is down sharply in premarket trading. In addition, other major banks including Bank of America (BAC) , Wells Fargo (WFC) and JPMorgan (JPM) are trading down in sympathy. It looks like quasi-nationalization is occurring, and the market has yet to effectively price it.

    In addition to the continued and steady negative news flow, the charts of the major indices are just barely holding on. The S&P 500 bounced off the November lows a couple days ago but after the intraday reversal yesterday and the poor news this morning, it looks like it will crack that level again. It is possible that we will find some footing here, but the conditions strongly suggest a further breakdown at this point.

    We don't need to spend a lot of time trying to understand what is going on out there. It is obvious that we are undergoing a tremendous economic upheaval, and we can't base an investment strategy on hope that it will come to an end in the next few days or weeks. We have to persevere and simply let this play out. The absolute best thing we can do is protect our capital.

    I am greatly frustrated when I see people write about how they are sure a great market reversal is coming soon and that this meltdown is a fantastic opportunity. They ignore the fact that there has been no sign of a change in the trend. They latch on to minor details to try to convince us that their predictions will be correct.

    It is fascinating how difficult it is for so many market players to simply respect and defer to the action that is right in front of them. If a powerful force that we can't possibly influence personally is acting in a certain manner, it just doesn't do any good to argue with it. Sure, it might change its mind and reverse, but it isn't going to happen because of anything we think or do.

    The market is an irrational beast, and as I've often said, it will almost always trend one way or the other far more than we think is reasonable. Trusting it to change its behavior is a very easy way to lose money.

    The banks are accelerating to the downside as I write. This may finally be the market recognition of the fact that the common stock in many of these banks are close to worthless as more ownership shifts to the government. It isn't nationalization, but it is starting to feel like it.

    The good news is that we are getting the bad news out there. It is going to an eventful day. Just don't forget that capital preservation is your No. 1 job.
    -----------------------------
    Ülespoole avanevad:

    In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: MGI +21.5%, BCSI +14.1%, BARE +13.2%, INT +9.8%, UHS +7.4%, OUTD +5.5%, DTSI +5.4% (upgraded to Buy at Kaufman Bros), HGSI +4.6% (also upgraded to Accumulate at ThinkEquity), ANAD +4.4%, MGLN +4.2% (light volume), WCRX +4.1% (light volume), DELL +1.2%... M&A news: CVTX +2.5% (Astellas Pharma announced that its indirect subsidiary, Sturgeon Acquisition, has commenced a cash tender offer for all outstanding shares of common stock of CV Therapeutics at a price of $16.00 per share)... Select gold related names showing strength: AUY +2.4%, GG +2.1%, EGO +2.0%, KGC +1.9%, ABX +1.9%, AEM +1.7% (upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Raymond James)... Other news: PBT +15.1% (Cramer makes positive comments on MadMoney), MIC +11.7% (modestly rebounding following yesterday's 40%+drop), CEPH +5.0% (launches takeover for Australian biotech Arana Therapeutics), TWC +3.6% (announces $10.27 special dividend and reverse split as part of separation from Time Warner)... Analyst comments: CHS +6.4% (upgraded to Outperform at Friedman Billings), ANSS +2.2% (light volume; upgraded to Buy at Jefferies).

    Allapoole avanevad:

    In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: ERES -21.2%, CTV -16.5%, JRCC -16.4%, DECK -13.5%, OVTI -12.0%, ADSK -9.7% (also downgraded to Hold at KeyBanc), RWT -8.0%, CVA -6.7%, KSS -5.5%, GPS -4.8%, SWN -1.9%... Select financial related names trading sharply lower: C -39.4% ( exchange preferred securities for common, increasing tangible common equity to as much as $81 bln; suspends dividends; announces it will have a majority of new independent directors as soon as feasible), BAC -18.2%, LYG -18.0% (talks not expected to advance Friday; talks with UK govt on insuring assets to resume Monday, according to source - WSJ), PFG -17.5% (hearing added to Conviction Sell List at tier 1 firm), LNC -14.0% (S&P lowers ratings on U.S. Life Insurer Groups because of stressed assets), RBS -13.8%, CIT -12.7%, AIB -12.6%, WFC -12.2%, ING -10.5%, HIG -9.6% (S&P lowers ratings on U.S. Life Insurer Groups because of stressed assets), USB -8.9%, MET -8.3% (S&P lowers ratings on U.S. Life Insurer Groups because of stressed assets), SLM -7.9% (target lowered to $10 at Credit Suisse and downgraded to Equal Weight at Barclays), PRU -7.8%, PNC -6.7%, COF -6.0%, STT -5.8%, JPM -5.5%, XL -4.8% (announces tender offer for Series C preference ordinary shares), HCBK -4.7%, UBS -4.6% (Changes at UBS may not be over - NY Post), HBC -4.4%, STD -3.8%, GS -3.6%, BBT -3.2%... Select drug related names under continued pressure: BMY -4.6%, AZN -4.6% (FDA asks AstraZeneca for more data on Seroquel XR - DJ), MRK -3.8%, SNY -2.4%, ABT -1.7%, GSK -1.6%... Select metals/mining names showing weakness: FCX -5.3%, BHP -4.6%, BBL -3.6%, MT -3.6%, RIO -3.4%... Select oil/gas related names trading lower with weakness in crude: PBR -4.5%, BTU -3.8%, SLB -3.1%, PTR -2.8%, BP -2.1%, XOM -2.0%, CVX -1.9%, RDS.A -1.5%, COP -1.2%, TOT -1.0%... Other news: SNTA -72.6% (suspends Elesclomol SYMMETRYSM Trial in metastatic melanoma; also downgraded to Hold at Lazard Capital, downgraded to Sector Perform at RBC, downgraded to Mkt Perform at Rodman & Renshaw and downgraded to Underperform at Wachovia), SOMX -62.1% (receives complete response letter from the FDA for Silenor and downgraded to Hold at Natixis), PKG -12.2% (reduces quarterly dividend to $0.15/share from $0.30/share; also downgraded to Hold at Deutsche Securities), MGM -10.1% (discloses that it requests to borrow $842 mln from $4.5 bln credit pact), GM -8.4% (State Of Hesse's Koch implies help for Opel investors, according to report - DJ), HK -6.6% (announces public offering of 22 mln shares of common stock), DRYS -6.5% (still checking), CME -3.1% (in talks to launch derivatives clearer in London - FT)... Analyst comments: PAYX -9.4% (downgraded to Sell at Goldman - Reuters), FII -7.0% (downgraded to Conviction List Sell from Neutral at Goldman- Reuters), SNDA -6.1% (downgraded to Underperform at Credit Suisse), ADBE -6.0% (downgraded to Market Perform at Wachovia), CLF -5.5% (downgraded to Hold at KeyBanc Capital Mkts), RTP -3.2% (cut to Sell from Neutral by Goldman Sachs- DJ).
  • Kas mitte kõik rootsi pangad ei kuulu ühele perekonnale ?
  • Mis on Eesti, Läti ja Leedu CDSide tickerid Bloombergis või kuidas ned leida?
  • Fed's Plosser says must ensure credit policies don't hamper ability to conduct further monetary policy - Reuters
  • Fed's Rosengren says economy to shrink 'significantly' in 1H 2009 - DJ
  • momentum, mina olen neid vaadanud muidu Bloombergi terminalist - trükkides sisse lihtsalt CDS Estonia, valides sealt government/state ning 5-year EUR CDS... Ma ei teagi praegu, kas seda oleks võimalik ka www.bloomberg.com lehelt leida või mitte...
  • Fed's Plosser says Fed still open to buying long term treasury bonds - Reuters

    Ja juba varem välja tulnud uudis GE-lt:
    General Electric to cut qtrly dividend to $0.10 from $0.31- CNBC
    S&P kohe kommiga ka väljas:
    General Electric: S&PBulletin says GE ratings, outlook unchanged after dividend cut
  • Citigroup (C): S&P revises Citigroup outlook to negative, downgrades hybrids

    C aktsiat on hetkel kaubeldud 1.486 miljardit, ühtlasi vist kõikide aegade suurim käive.
  • SPX and Dow set to close at their lowest levels since 1997... currently SPX -16.7 at 737.14 and Dow -100.91 at 7076.15

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