Börsipäev 19. mai
Kommentaari jätmiseks loo konto või logi sisse
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Tõstsime City Service-i soovituse LHV Pro all osta peale. Pressiteade ise siin ning kommenteerisime lühidalt ka hommikuuudistes. Üritame võimalikult kiiresti ka pikema analüüsi välja saada.
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6. juunil jõuab USAs poelettidele Palm'i (PALM) kauaoodatud nutitelefon Pre. Eksklusiivoperaatori Sprint sõnul hakkab Pre maksma vaid $200 koos kaheaastase lepinguga. Palju meediakajastust leidnud Pre ootuses on Palm'i aktsia tõusnud uutele tippudele, ületades eile $12 taseme. Samas võib kütust veel tõusuks jätkuda, sest short interest küündib 30%-ni.
Sprint (S) announced pricing and nationwide availability for the highly anticipated Palm (PALM) Pre phone, offered exclusively from Sprint. Palm Pre will be available nationwide on June 6 in Sprint stores, Best Buy, Radio Shack, select Wal-Mart stores and online at Sprint.com for $199.99 with a two-year service agreement and after a $100 mail-in rebate. -
Home Depot (HD) esimese kvartali tulemused ületasid nii käibe kui ka kasumi osas analüütikute ootusi. Siiski on eelturul aktsia kauplemas 2% võrra madalamal, sest sümpaatias konkurent Lowe's (LOW) headele tulemustele tõusis aktsia eile juba 6.6% võrra.
Reports Q1 (Apr) earnings of $0.35 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.06 better than the First Call consensus of $0.29; revenues fell 9.7% year/year to $16.18 bln vs the $15.86 bln consensus. Co reaffirms FY09 guidance; sees sales down 9% with negative comparable store sales in the high single digit area and EPS from continuing operations down 7%. -
Ehituslubade ja uute majade ehitamise number jääb konsensusele alla ning futuurid suunduvad madalamale.
April Housing Starts 458K vs 520K consensus, prior revised to 525K from 510K
April Building Permits 494K vs 530K consensus, prior revised to 511K from 516K -
Lühikeseksmüüjatele ka midagi - Worthington (WOR) lisati täna hommikul Goldman Sachsi Conviction Sell nimekirja. Tegemist on terase ja metallitöötlusettevõttega, mis on viimase kahe kuuga tõusnud ca 100%.
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Kui eelturul olid USA turgude futuurid päris korralikus roheluses, siis praeguseks on igasugune pluss käest ära antud ja avanetakse eilsete sulgumishindade juurest. Tänasest läheme üle ka nafta juulikuu lepingu hinnale, mis on samuti eilsega võrreldes nullis ning kaupleb $59.7 peal barrelist.
Saksamaa DAX +1.63%Prantsusmaa CAC 40 +0.51%
Inglismaa FTSE 100 +0.37%
Hispaania IBEX 35 +1.32%
Venemaa MICEX +1.82%
Poola WIG +1.24%
Aasia turud:
Jaapani Nikkei 225 +2.78%
Hong Kongi Hang Seng +3.06%
Hiina Shanghai A (kodumaine) +0.90%
Hiina Shanghai B (välismaine) +1.03%
Lõuna-Korea Kosdaq +1.61%
Tai Set 50 +3.48%
India Sensex 30 +0.12%
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Look for Longs, but Be Ready to Bail
By Rev Shark
RealMoney.com Contributor
5/19/2009 8:44 AM EDT
Experience is a hard teacher because she gives the test first, the lessons afterwards.
-- Vernon Sanders Law
A strong rally on Monday caught a lot of folks by surprise. Momentum slowed last week and dip-buyers lost their vigor; it looked like those factors might play out further as we groped for some support. Instead, the buyers jumped in at the open and stayed strong all day. The bears couldn't gain any traction and ended up being short-squeeze fodder as we ramped up strongly to conclude the day.
Now we face a couple of issues. Yesterday's big bounce came on very good breadth, which is a positive, but volume was quite light. We are also running into some overhead resistance now as we come back to the underside of the support that was in place before the big selloff we saw last Wednesday.
So do we now keep pushing higher and test the highs we saw a little over a week ago? The low volume and the nearby technical resistance make that problematic, but one of the hallmarks of the rally off the March low has been the shallowness of the dips. We have bounced back very quickly every time we have dipped and have continually produced performance anxiety among the underinvested longs.
With earnings season mostly over, negative seasonality kicking in and a decrease in the governmental propping up of the economy, it would seem a logical time for the market to consolidate the big gain from March, but market players continue to find individual stocks that they want to pursue. It looks like the focus on individual stocks is offsetting the negative macro arguments that may be made.
As I stated yesterday -- a bit prematurely, it turned out -- I'm not overly trusting of the strength. The low volume and the overhead resistance are issues. Still, the rally is obviously squeezing bears and causing some underinvested longs to start chasing things once again. As we saw over the past few weeks, fighting momentum is not a good way to make money, but we can fall fast when it does cool.
My game plan is to join the folks who are pursuing strength in individual stocks but to keep time frames short, stops tight and to look for an opportunity to be more aggressive with some index shorts. The opportunities in individual stocks are offsetting the negatives in the bigger picture for now. That will change at some point, but for now that's the way to make money.
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Ülespoole avanevad:
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: HIMX +20.8%, IRE +15.2%, KLIC +13.8%, TRID +9.5% (also upgraded to Hold at Needham), EJ +8.5%, SKS +7.8%, DKS +6.2%, BJGP +6.0% (light volume), SOLF +5.5%... Select financial names showing strength: C +7.1%, DB +6.4%, HBC +5.5%, BAC +3.8%, FIG +3.6%, AIB +3.4%, AXA +2.9%, RBS +2.8%, BBT +2.7%, BCS +2.6% (Lehman says businesses sold to Barclays likely undervalued - WSJ), STT +2.1% (upgraded to Top Pick from Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts), HIG +2.0%, BK +1.9%, USB +1.8%... Select metals/mining stocks trading higher: AAUK +6.0%, MT +4.0%, BHP +3.0%, GOLD +2.7%, RTP +2.6%... Select shipping names showing strength: DRYS +3.7%, EGLE +3.6%, FRO +2.9%, PRGN +2.5%, EXM +1.5%... Select Indian related names showing continued strength: IBN +6.7%, REDF +5.9%, TTM +3.6%... Other news: HEB +14.0% (still checking), IMMU +7.3% (results from their Phase I/II study of veltuzumab with non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, all doses and subtypes of NHL, the overall response rate was 41% with 21% of patients having a complete response), BEAT +6.7% (announces that Highmark Medicare Services posts reimbursement rate for CPT code 93229, Mobile Cardiovascular Telemetry Services), ALU +5.2% (still checking for anything specific), VE +4.5% (wins Merseyside contract with a value of GBP640 mln), CGV +4.4% (still checking), NOK +4.4% (still checking), GXDX +3.9% (will replace Provident Bankshares in the S&P SmallCap 600), SMG +1.8% (Cramer makes positive comments on MadMoney), HPQ +1.0% (Hewlett-Packard and Microsoft expand alliance in unified communications and collaboration)... Analyst comments: THC +16.4% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman- Reuters), SHW +1.0% (upgraded to Overweight at JPMorgan and Cramer makes positive comments on MadMoney).
Allapoole avanevad:
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: APP -23.0% (also downgraded to Hold at Lazard Capital Mkts), JASO -11.4%, VOD -6.0%, HD -4.4%, MDT -1.9% (light volume)... Other news: FFBC -12.3% (light volume; announces $100 mln common share offering), NVGN -12.6% (pulling back from yesterday's 80%+ surge hugher), PSEC -12.1% (announces commencement of public offering of 5,000,000 shares of common stock), MXB -10.1% (files for mixed securities shelf offering), ENP -9.5% (announces 2.4 mln common share offering), PVA -6.9% (prices public offering of 3.5 mln shares of common stock at $19/share), IVZ -6.7% (filed for a mixed shelf offering for an indeterminate amount; co also announced a $400 mln common stock offering), MXWL -6.5% (announces $17.6 mln common stock financing), RBC -5.9% (prices 3.75 mln common shares at $36.25/share), MHO -5.2% (announces a 4 mln share common stock offering), INFY -5.0% (pulling back after yesterday's ~10% jump higher), LOW -2.0% (down in sympathy with HD), BEC -1.6% (announces common stock offering; expects to raise proceeds of ~$235 mln, or $250 mln if over-allotment option is exercised in full), UN -1.3% (still checking), WYE -0.9% (US DOJ, 16 states join suits against Wyeth on Protonix pricing - DJ)... Analyst comments: WOR -3.2% (added to Conviction Sell list at Goldman- Reuters).
