Börsipäev 23. september
Kommentaari jätmiseks loo konto või logi sisse
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Kui eelnevad päevad on makro osas võrdlemisi vaeseks jäänud, siis tänane päevakava tõotab juba märksa põnevamaks kujuneda. Eurotsoonis on täna juba avaldatud septembri esmane PMI näit, mis peegeldas tootmis- ja teenustesektori laienemist teist kuud järjest, seda küll aeglasemalt kui oodati. Ostujuhtide indeks kerkis augusti 50.4-lt 50.8-le, jäädes 0.5 punktiga väiksemaks Bloombergi küsitletud analüütikute prognoosidest.
Õhtul kell 21.15 võtab Föderaalreserv kokku oma kohtumise, kus võidakse tunnistada paranevat väljavaadet majanduses ning korrata, et intressimäär jääb pikemaks ajaks rekordmadalale tasemele. Pingsalt jälgitakse võimalikke kommentaare, mis puudutavad tagasitõmbumist võla kokkuostmisel ja üleüldist väljumisstrateegiat.
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Kes kuulab hea meelega, mida Marc Faberil öelda on, siis Bloomberg on teinud eile temaga intervjuu, kus muuhulgas puudutakse ka tänast FOMC miitingut. Faber nendib, et ehkki Bernanke läks rahatrükkimisega valele teele, ei ole tal mõistlik praeguses olukorras võla rahastamist peatada, kuna see süvendaks majanduslangust.
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Morgan Stanley on täna hommikul tõstmas Marvell Entertainmenti (MRVL) hinnasihti $18.50 pealt $20 peale ning kinnitab oma 'overweight' soovitust. Ettevõtte suurklient Rimm (RIMM) annab üle 10% MRVLi tuludest ning RIMM on oma tulemused teatamas 24. septembri järelturul. Seega kui RIMMi numbrid on homme oodatust paremad, võiks ostuhuvi näha ka MRVL aktsias ning kui ootustele jäädaks alla, peaks ka MRVL langusega kaasa minema.
MS: "Raising Estimates – Reiterate Overweight: Our checks indicate that upside exists to the current quarter, and we believe MRVL’s multiple product cycles will continue to drive higher visibility relative to other semiconductor companies. Moreover, we also believe MRVL’s cost discipline will drive outsized earnings growth relative to other semiconductor companies."
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Palm on lisaemissiooni kaudu pakutavate aktsiate arvu tõstnud 16 miljoni pealt 20 miljoni peale. Hinnaks $16.25.
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Euroopa turud:
Saksamaa DAX +0.20%
Prantsusmaa CAC 40 +0.32%
Inglismaa FTSE 100 +0.51%
Hispaania IBEX 35 +0.28%
Rootsi OMX 30 +0.56%
Venemaa MICEX +1.64%
Poola WIG +0.73%Aasia turud:
Jaapani Nikkei 225 N/A (börs suletud)
Hong Kongi Hang Seng 0.49%
Hiina Shanghai A (kodumaine) -1.90%
Hiina Shanghai B (välismaine) -1.21%
Lõuna-Korea Kosdaq -1.49%
Tai Set 50 +0.86%
India Sensex 30 -0.99% -
Don't Think Too Hard About This Market
By Rev Shark
RealMoney.com Contributor
9/23/2009 8:25 AM EDT
Very often a change of self is needed more than a change of scene.
-- Arthur Christopher Benson
Nothing in this market has changed for a while, and that makes navigating it increasingly difficult. Market players have a strong tendency to always be looking for something to change so that they can trade it. When the market is going up, there is always a lot of talk about when it when it will top out; when it is going down, everyone is constantly looking for the bottom. Change is an easy thing to target when you are trading, so our default position is to always be looking for it.
Everything eventually does change, so it is our nature to always be looking ahead and anticipating how it will be different down the road. Unfortunately for those who like to forecast the future, it simply hasn't paid to think too much about the current market. We are in strong uptrend and there aren't any signs that it is about to end. In fact, the constant search for a market top is what helps to delay it, as it creates a steady source of underinvested bulls who keep on supporting things when they don't decline.
The best way to deal with the present market is to just not think about the validity of the uptrend, but it is very hard to just sit and endlessly ride a market that seemingly ignores any negative. You can drive yourself crazy finding tons of very ugly bearish arguments about the market and the economy. There is no shortage of well reasoned highly sophisticated arguments about why we are doomed. They may even turn out to be right, but it just isn't being reflected in this market at present.
This market is acting not only like the bear market and economic recession are over, but that the pace of continued recovery will be very steady and robust. Every day there is news that seems at odds with that behavior. Just in the last few minutes I have see stories about how there is little hiring for the holiday season and how there is a glut of homes that have not yet been foreclosed on.
If all you did was read some of the news, you would never buy a stock. In fact, that is exactly the case for many investors, and that is why this market rise has been so stubborn. We just have a huge supply of skeptics out there that provide very strong support.
So the story remains the same -- nothing has changed. The market is in an uptrend, underlying support is very strong, the dip-buyers are ready, willing and able and no matter how many negative stories there are out there, the market just doesn't care right now.
While we might not want to blindly embrace the market, we sure don't want to underestimate its power. It is running over bears and shorts and has left a wake of frustrated bulls who haven't been bullish enough.
This morning we have some mild action and very little news on the wires. The Federal Open Market Committee issues its rate decision this afternoon at 2:15 p.m. EDT. No substantive changes are expected, but the news will give the market some excuses to jump around, so we'll be watching.
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Ülespoole avanevad:
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: XLNX +7.4%, FUL +5.5%, GIS +4.3%, STX +4.3% (also upgraded to Buy at Deutsche and upgraded to Overweight from Market Weight at Thomas Weisel), SOL +3.1% (also announces 14.4 mln ADS offering), AIR +1.9%... Select financial names showing strength: AIG +2.2% (Traders seek fortune in AIG, a stock once left for dead - WSJ), FRE +2.0%, DB +1.6%, BX +1.6%, C +1.7%... Select casino related names showing strength: MPEL +3.4%, MGM +2.9%, LVS +2.7%, WYNN +1.4%... Select European drug names trading higher: GSK +1.7%, AZN +1.1%, NVS +1.0%... Other news: ASTI +23.6% (announces that it has signed a multi-year direct supply agreement with TurtleEnergy), OPXA +10.4% (triggers milestone payment under recently announced stem cell agreement), BSDM +9.7% (continued strength from yesterday's 100%+surge higher), XTXI +9.0% (continued strength from yesterday's 15%+surge higher), FIX +8.6% (will replace Charlotte Russe Holding in the S&P SmallCap 600), SGMO +6.8% (announces that the FDA has reviewed and accepted an Investigational New Drug application), MPG +4.8% (continued momentum from past two day 50% jump), FRO +4.1% (still checking), ALTR +2.6% (up in sympathy with XLNX), ASIA +2.6% (light volume; to upgrade China mobile business intelligence systems to NG-BASS in Chongqing, Hubei, Jilin and Qinghai), HEV +2.4% (Fisker loan sparks EnerDel hopes - The Indianapolis Star), T +1.9% (Cramer makes positive comments on MadMoney), K +1.0% (up in sympathy with GIS)... Analyst comments: LUV +3.7% (upgraded to Buy at Argus), KMX +2.8% (raised to Neutral from Sell by Goldman- DJ), LOW +1.3% (upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at FBR Capital).
Allapoole avanevad:
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: FIF -3.4% (light volume), AZO -2.6%... Other news: NPD -15.7% (trading ex dividend), PHH -15.7% (announces $200 mln convertible senior note offering due 2014), DAC -9.3% (announces bank waivers and operations update), INCY -9.0% (announces proposed offering of $250 mln convertible senior notes; announces proposed public offering of 18 mln common shares), ATPG -8.4% (announces it has commenced a 5.3 mln common stock offering; enters into $78 million agreement to sell Gomez Pipelines), AVTR -7.3% (commenced an offering of 1,612,903 shares of common stock), PNNT -7.2% (announces public offering of 8,000,000 shares of its common stock), GDP -6.8% (announces $150 mln convertible notes offering), NXG -4.9% (announces C$100 mln bought deal financing), CPN -4.4% (announced a public secondary offering of 20,000,000 shares of its common stock by Harbinger Capital Partners Master Fund I, Ltd), OPEN -4.3% (prices a ~6.97 mln share common stock offering at $28/share), QGEN -3.7% (announces an offering of new Common Shares of up to 27.5 mln shares of newly issued common shares), FNFG -3.5% (announces $400 mln stock offering), IMA -3.3% (announces offering of $100 million of senior notes due 2016 through a private placement), AMR -3.0% (announces the private offering of $450,000,000 aggregate principal amount of its senior secured notes due 2012), LCC -2.5% (announces the sale of 26,315,790 shares of common stock), RBS -2.2% (still checking), CX -2.1% (prices 1.3 bln Ordinary Participation Certificate offering at $12.50/ADS; offering was increased from 1.2 bln CPOs), FSR -1.8% (filed for a $500 mln mixed shelf offering as well as a ~71.5 mln share common stock offering by selling shareholders), BRKR -1.7% (prices 13.0 mln common share offering at $9.85/share), AMR -1.7% (prices 48,484,849 common share offering at $8.25/share)... Analyst comments: HERO -4.7% (downgraded to Sell at Jesup & Lamont), HGG -4.0% (downgraded to Neutral at Janney), WLT -1.8% (downgraded to Market Perform at FBR Capital), SYK -1.7% (downgraded to Mkt Perform at Wells Fargo), PRU -1.5% (downgraded to Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley). -
Nagu Erko juba hommikul kirjutas, on täna Föderaalreservi intressimäära otsus. Infoks lihtsalt, et seni on USA aktsiaturud kõik selle aasta Fedi otsuse päevad lõpetanud plussis.
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Sector ETF strength & weakness through the first hour of trading
Leading Sector ETFs:
Semis- SMH +1.5%, IGW +1.5%, Livestock commods- COW +1%, Nat gas- UNG +1.5%, SPDRS cons stpls- XLP +.5%, Wind energy- FAN +.5%, iShares telecom- IYZ +.5%Lagging Sector ETFs:
RBOB gas futures- UGA -5%, Crude/WTI oil- USO -4.5%, OIL -4.5%, Heating oil futures- UHN -3.5%, Coal- KOL -3.5%, iSHares REITS- ICF -3%, Oil HLDRS_ OIH -3%, SPDRS metals/mining- XME -3%, Silver- SLV -2.5%, Commods- DBC -2%, Base metals- DBB -2%, Energy- XLE -2%, IYE -1.5%, Gold miners- GDX -1.5% -
Toornafta on kauplemas 4% madalamal @ 68.8 USD barreli kohta tänu varude raportile, kus mahud kasvasid igas segmendis:
Dept of Energy reports that crude oil inventories had a build of 2855K (consensus is a draw of 1400K); gasoline inventories had a build of 5409K (consensus is a build of 500K); distillate inventories had a build of 2961K (consensus is a build of 1450K). -
Turul täna müüki ka kergelt näha aga nii kui müügisurve kaob tiksutakse tavapäraselt väike käibega ülespoole. Nasdaq-i TRIN püsinud kogu päeva 0.6-0.9 vahemikus. Ja paistab, et siit juba jätkub tavapärane tempo. Up-up and away:)
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Toornafta hinna langus ja USD/EUR tugevnemine ei võta ka tugu mõtlema. Ühtlane ost, ost ja veelkord ost. Samas võtab kergelt mõtlema, kui nt: JPM kauplemas 2007 aasta tippude lähedal üle $46, mis indikeerib ka ühtlasi kauplemist üle 51 kordse kasumil ootuses.
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The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. (John Maynard Keynes)
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Vene ärikanali peal üks analüütik just ütles, et nende fond mängib täna languse peale. Põhjuseks, et nafta juba kukub, aga muu turg tahab mingit tõuget saada. Täna oli lisatud julgelt lühikesi positsioone.
Natuke oodata ja näeme, mis venelaste rahakotiga juhtub :) -
Bad Chamber, no candy for you today.
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Chambers*
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Selle jaoks oleks vaja mingit katalüsaatorit, et müüjad välja tuleks. Hetkel lihtsalt väikse käibega üles tiksumine. Bid on kogu aeg vastas nagu turg jookseks eest ära. Samas kui keegi suurema koguse turgu lükab tullakse kena spikega alla, mis küll kohe tagasi näritakse. Setup-e on loodud ilusaid, kuid need pole kordagi jätku saanud. Pulliturg, mis pulliturg.
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Oleks võinud muidugi arvata, et selle peale keegi vaevub veidikenegi reageerima, aga praegu oleks ilmselt see ka positiivne uudis, kui Cisco otsesõnu kasumihoiatuse annaks.
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Google (GOOG) on a spening spree - small cap ettevõtteil on nüüd, kellele end müüa:
Schmidt says expects Google to buy one small company a month as part of normal maneuvers. -
Morgan Stanley on äsja välja tulnud analüüsiga, kus kiidab Chesapeake Energy't (CHK) ja kinnitab oma 'overweight' soovitust ja $36list hinnasihti. Ettevõte meeldib jätkuvalt ka meile ning on LHV Maailma Pro soovitus. Minu vaieldamatu lemmiklause allolevas lõigus on viimane, millega ka ise kindlasti nõus olen.
Quick comment: We hosted an investor meeting today with CEO Aubrey McClendon. We walked away incrementally more positive as investors continue to gain confidence in i) the 2010 natural gas outlook, ii) CHKs funding strategy, and iii) management’s commitment to stay the course. CHK remains our preferred play on the recovery in natural gas fundamentals. Decreased spending and continued execution on the asset monetization program has improved financial flexibility, exposing shareholders to the potential upside from a recovery in prices in 2010. Despite recent outperformance, relative valuation remains unchallenging.
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Ma ei kujuta ettegi, mis võiks selleks katalüsaatoriks osutuda. Turg on selgelt tugevalt üleostetud ja siin kukkumisruumi oleks küll. Päris valusaks võib minna junki meestel. Samas võib siit väikse käibega bidides juba tavaliseks saanud rütmis 1200 punkti mõne aja pärast käes olla:)
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$40 bln, 5-year Note Auction Results: Yield 2.47% (Expected 2.4625%), Bid/Cover 2.40x (5-auction avg 2.22x); Indirect Bidders 44.8% (5-auction avg 43.1%)
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Fed says rates to stay "exceptionally low" for extended period
Fed says to gradually slow pace of purchases of agency and MBS debt, expects will be executed by end Q1 -
Ja Briefingu vahendusel siis pikem kokkuvõte ka:
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in August suggests that economic activity has picked up following its severe downturn. Conditions in financial markets have improved further, and activity in the housing sector has increased. Household spending seems to be stabilizing, but remains constrained by ongoing job losses, sluggish income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Businesses are still cutting back on fixed investment and staffing, though at a slower pace; they continue to make progress in bringing inventory stocks into better alignment with sales. Although economic activity is likely to remain weak for a time, the Committee anticipates that policy actions to stabilize financial markets and institutions, fiscal and monetary stimulus, and market forces will support a strengthening of economic growth and a gradual return to higher levels of resource utilization in a context of price stability. With substantial resource slack likely to continue to dampen cost pressures and with longer-term inflation expectations stable, the Committee expects that inflation will remain subdued for some time. In these circumstances, the Federal Reserve will continue to employ a wide range of tools to promote economic recovery and to preserve price stability. The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that economic conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period. To provide support to mortgage lending and housing markets and to improve overall conditions in private credit markets, the Federal Reserve will purchase a total of $1.25 trillion of agency mortgage-backed securities and up to $200 bln of agency debt. The Committee will gradually slow the pace of these purchases in order to promote a smooth transition in markets and anticipates that they will be executed by the end of the first quarter of 2010. As previously announced, the Federal Reserve's purchases of $300 bln of Treasury securities will be completed by the end of October 2009. The Committee will continue to evaluate the timing and overall amounts of its purchases of securities in light of the evolving economic outlook and conditions in financial markets. The Federal Reserve is monitoring the size and composition of its balance sheet and will make adjustments to its credit and liquidity programs as warranted... Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Charles L. Evans; Donald L. Kohn; Jeffrey M. Lacker; Dennis P. Lockhart; Daniel K. Tarullo; Kevin M. Warsh; and Janet L. Yellen. -
Ühesõnaga majandus õitseb nii mis kole, sellepärast ongi vaja olematuid intressimäärasid.
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:D
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jim,
natuke kibestunud? -
Nasdaq viimase 12 kuu tippudel, S&P 500 11.5 kuu tippudel ning Dow Jones Industrial Average 11 kuu tippudel 9 910 punkti peal, lähenedes jõudsalt 10 000 punkti piirile... Turg tõuseb nii kaua, kuni ta tõuseb. Seni on lihtsalt nii, et 'all news is good news'
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Keegi sai vist kurjaks:)
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FED-i MBS tagasiostmise programmi pikendamine on väikene ohu märk ning hilisem teade, et kokkuostetavat hulka vähendatakse on hetkel kenasti turul ka näha
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SideKick,
Kas kuidagi nii saaks, et sa iga minu (ja teiste, kes ei olnud investeeritud Eesti aktsiatesse) iga lause peale ei tuleks välja jutuga "I told you! I TOLD YOU! On sitt tunne jah? Nananana, ma olen investeerimiskunn". Eks? Sul oli õigus, mul mitte, kõik teavad seda juba. Kibestunud? Jah, muidugi, täpselt sama palju kui 3-5 korda päevas, kui mingi võimalus turul kasutamata jääb. Ilgelt pissed off olen alati, ausõna. Täna näiteks olin ilgelt pissed off, et ma kõike TLAB ära ei shortinud, mida eelturul miskipärast close juurest pakuti. Ropendasin ka natuke kõva häälega, loodetavasti naabrid ei kuulnud.
BTW, kui kibestunud sa oled, et sa aastal 1986 MSFT ei ostnud? Või KERX 10 sendiga märtsis? -
kuidas need Eesti aktsiad äkki sisse said, kui me rääkisime USA majandusest ja FEDi tegemistest?
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Nüüd hakkab huvitavaks minema, siit minumeelest suurem võimalus päev punases lõpetada. Vt. EUR/USD
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Eem, millest sa siis üldse räägid, USA aktsiatesse investeerimise peale pole ma isegi mõelnud mitte. Ja mida rohkem raha turul, seda lihtsam mu tegevus kauplejana on, niiet bring it on. See ei tähenda, et ma ei võiks mõningate asjade suhtes skeptiline olla, eksju?
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Sinu esimene kommentaar oli täis sarkasmi USA majanduse ja/või FED suunal. Aga mina olen kuulnud ütlust, et don't fight the FED. Sinu kommentaarist jääb kuidagi mulje, et sa pead ennast FEDi vanadest targemaks. Paranda mind, kui ma valesti aru sain.
muide, nanananaaa jaoks Eestis on veel vara. Kui Merko 50 ja OEG 10 euri, siis... :) -
No aga kas tundub loogiline, et kui majanduses on kõik sigavinge ja kõik halb ammu möödas, siis peab endiselt 0-intresse "for extended period" säilitama? Või see viitab, et kõige hullem on küll möödas, aga natuke upakil on see värk siiski, nii et peab supportima madalate intressidega?
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millal OEG 10 jõuab?
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Homme jõuaks, aga krdi OMX tüübid ei tõsta limiiti :(
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Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in August suggests that economic activity has picked up following its severe downturn. Conditions in financial markets have improved further, and activity in the housing sector has increased. Household spending seems to be stabilizing, but remains constrained by ongoing job losses, sluggish income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit.
Milline lõik siin täpselt kirjeldab, et majandus on sigavinge?
Muide, FEDi poliitika peamine eesmärk on, et massidel ei läheks eluolu liiga halvaks (ja vahepeal ka liiga heaks). Ja kui selleks on vaja tekitada natuke inflatsiooni, siis so be it. Neid ei huvita börsikunnid, kes tahavad võileiva hinna eest võibolla aktsiaid osta. -
Ma arvan, et nüüd tuleb korrektsioon :)
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Umbes nii suur: http://pilt.delfi.ee/show_original/4327029/
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Börsile saab alati ettepaneku teha limiidi muutmiseks kui see on põhjendatud.
USA turg on jim-i kommentaari arvestamas :-) bull market tingimustes tuleb taoliste teadete puhul kannatlik olla ning mitte vaielda. -
SideKick, loe uuesti, seda madalate intresside säilitamist pikemaks ajaks võibki mõista kui seda, et majandus vajab endiselt turgutamist.
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USA aktsiaturud on päeva lõpus näitamas lõpuks ometi ka suuremat müügihuvi ning seega tänasest võiks saada esimene Fedi-päev 2009. aastal, mil päev miinuses lõpetatakse.
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just nii, majandus vajab endiselt turgutamist, kuid see pole enam ka vabalanguses. aga praegust olukorda pole mitte kudiagi võimalik kirjeldada "sigavinge"
usun, et USAs on suurem korrektsioon ees - S&P indeks -10%. traderid räägivad, et aktsiad käituvad ülespoole halvasti ja downgraded mõjuvad pärsi tugevalt. Eestis ma öelda ei oska, ETList vabanev raha võib kas otse börsile tormata või äkki mõneks ajaks kõrvale jääda. ei tea. -
Eilses börsipäevas sai küll USA eluasemeostude maksualanduste $8000liste stiimulpakettide lõppemisest novembris pisut räägitud, kuid jimi, SideKicki ja Föderaalreservi intressimäärade otsuse valguses tahaksin selle siia uuesti üles panna.
Rosenberg kommenteeris cash-for-clunkers programmi-järgset autoturu ärakukkumist eile. Nagu oodata võiski, toodi ostjad tulevikust ettepoole ära. Kuid mis veelgi olulisem - nii Rosenberg kui ka Doug Kass avaldavad muret selle üle, mis saab housingu nõudlusega USAs, kui novembris peaks ära kukkuma maja ostmise valitsusepoolne tax credit stiimul, mis ulatub täna ca $8000ni. Ehk nägime ise, kuidas autoostu stiimul nõudlust turul tekitas ja pärast stiimuli lõppemist nõudlus justkui kuristikku langes viimase 30 aasta madalaimatele tasemetele. Ja täna on ka new home ja existing home sales graafikud oma nina alt ülespoole keeranud - kas võime näha sama efekti nüüd ka kinnisvaraturul? Ehk need, kes üldse mõtlevad kinnisvara soetamise peale USAs järgmise 6-12 kuu jooksul, on nüüd selle otsuse enne selle aasta novembrikuu lõppu ära tegemas ja sellisel juhul järgneb pärast seda kinnisvaras lühikene vaikelu? Igaljuhul tasub mõelda selle üle - paranemised new home sales ja existing home sales graafikutel võivad olla sarnaselt autoturuga 'kunstlikult' tekitatud.
Kriitikud tooksid õigustatult muidugi välja, et autoostmise stiimul $4500 moodustas ca $25 000lisest autohinnast ca 15% kuni 20% ning et eluaseme ostmise $8000line stiimul moodustab keskmisest eluaseme hinnast vaid ca 5% ning pole seetõttu niivõrd oluline ostuotsuse tegemisel. Tõsi, võib-olla nii ka on. Kuid mingi ostjate ettepoole tõmbamise efekt sel siiski minu arvates on - mitte küll nii suur nagu autoturul, kuid kes eluaseme ostmise peale ikkagi mõtleb, ei jäta ju niisama $8000 lauale vedelema.
Rosenberg: "Edmunds.com just reported that U.S. motor vehicle sales so far in September are running at an 8.8 million annual rate — a 28-year low and a 38% plunge from the incentive-induced 14.1 million tally in August. If this is what autos do, imagine what housing does once the $8,000 first-time homebuyer tax credit expires (if it does) at the end of November (not to mention what the Fed does in terms of extending its mortgage purchase program beyond the December expiry too — it has had a hand in financing 80% of all new mortgage issuance. But look at the good news — at least we will be able to see what the economy can do without the walker. "
Kass: "Following my meeting with a distributor of dental products, I just completed a meeting with a large distributor of lighting products. Business is bouncing slightly off very low levels. Not surprisingly, replacement is holding sales up. Nonresidential, according to my source, is quite weak. New residential is not as bad but still crappy. My contact is extremely concerned about what happens to housing demand in November when/if the tax credit for housing is terminated. " -
juured, 2015
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Eile õhtul veel:
Electronic Arts: MSFT has no plans to buy ERTS, says MSFT spokesperson-- Bloomberg; ERTS drops 50 cents in after hours trading in reaction to headline (19.83 +1.31)
