Börsipäev 12. oktoober
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Kerges pühade meeleolus ja ilma olulisema makrota päev jättis olulisemad indeksid eile kitsasse koridori liikuma ning sessioon lõppes kokkuvõttes nii S&P500, Dow Jones’i kui Nasdaqi puhul nullis. Aasia turud on hommikul liikumas valdavalt miinuspoolel eesotsas Jaapaniga, kus tugevnenud jeen rõhub eksportijaid ning Hongkongiga, kus osad finantsid on saamas müüki kõrgema kohustusliku reservmäära pärast. Euro on dollari suhtes jätkamas langust, kaubeldes 1,383 tasemel, mis omakorda survestab USA futuure - hetkel -0,6% punases.
Euroopas võiks makrost suuremat huvi pakkuda Suurbritannia septembrikuu inflatsiooninäit ning USA-s FOMC eelmise kohtumise protokoll, kus tähelepanu all on arutelu võimaliku kvantitatiivse lõdvendamise osas. Pärast turgu raporteerib oma majandustulemused Intel.
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Saksamaal avaldati hommikul tarbijahinnaindeksid, mis vastasid täielikult ootustele: -0,1% (M/M) ja 1,3% (Y/Y).
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Google to map inflation using web data. Ehk siis esialgu igapäevane netis leiduvate hindade põhjal arvutatav hinnaindeks pluss palju muid huvitavaid arendusvõimalusi.
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Müüjad jätkavad võimsat domineerimist S&P500 ettevõtete insaiderite statistikas, kui läinud nädalal oli müüjate-ostjate suhe 1169-1....veidi parem eelneva nädala näitajast, milleks oli 2341-1. Mitmendat nädalat järjest on müüjate nimekirja eesotsas olnud Oracle'i töötajad, kes 24. septembril lõppenud nädala jooksul müüsid 223 mln, 1. oktoobril lõppenud nädalal 135 mln ja 8. oktoobril lõppenud nädalal 163 mln dollari eest ettevõtte aktsiaid, kuid müüjate seas leidub teisigi momo aktsiaid nagu Salesforce, Google, Autozone. Täpsemalt saab nimekirjaga turvuda Zerohedge vahendusel
- October 8: 1,169-1
- October 1: 2,341-1
- September 24: 1,411-1
- September 17: 290-1
- September 10: 650-1
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Marc Faber on oma viimases GBD raportis ootamas oktoobris-novembris tugevamat korrektsiooni, kuna üle 50 päeva keskmise kauplevate aktsiate kõrge osakaalu järgi on turud lühiajaliselt üleostetud. Lisaks muudab teda ettevaatlikuks ajalooline statistika, mille kohaselt on tugevale septembrile järgnenud terav langus. Täna avaldatud Bloombergi artiklis tsiteeritakse Faberit hiljutisel esinemisel, kus ta viskab õhku teesi, et dollari lühikeseks müümine ei pruugi kõige targem idee olla ning intressid võivad kerkima hakata arvatust varem. Link
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Suurbritannia inflatsiooni aastane muutus püsis septembris muutumatuna, kuid sellegipoolest üle protsendipunkti võrra keskpanga targetist kõrgemal.
British annual consumer price inflation stood at 3.1% in September, unchanged from August, the Office for National Statistics reported Tuesday. On a monthly basis , prices were flat in September, the agency said. The figures were in line with market expectations.
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Dollar on täna korralikult taastumas: EUR/USD -0,7% (1,3780); AUD/USD -0,65% (0,9775); GBP/USD -0,43% (1,5815); USD/CHF +0,74% (0,9720); USD/JPY -0,07% (82,03); NZD/USD -0,47% (0,7483). Dollari indeks +0,50% (78,07).
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Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: SYNA -7.3%, GPN -6.7% (also downgraded to Hold from Buy at Signal Hill), PKX -4.2%, CIEN -2.5% (also proposed offering of $175 mln in convertible senior notes due 2018), FAST -2.3%.
Select financial related names showing weakness: IRE -1.7%, LYG -1.5%, IBN -1.3%, STD -1.3% (trading ex dividend), DB -1.2% (initiated with Sell at Canaccord Genuity), RDN -1.0%, MTG -0.9%.
Select metals/mining stocks trading lower: GBG -4.0%, EXK -2.6%, SVM -2.2%, AXU -2.1%, NG -1.9%, BBL -1.9%, BHP -1.8%, X -1.3%, EGO -1.0%.
Select oil/gas related names showing weakness: ACGY -4.6%, E -2.3%, STO -2.0%, TOT -1.7%, RDS.A -1.4%, REP -1.3%, BP -1.0%.
Other news: TXIC -17.8% (discloses NASDAQ has determined to reject co's Plan and request for continued listing; unable to provide a timetable by which the investigation will be concluded), COCO -10.0% (announces resignation of President & COO), ARMH -2.8% (still checking), UN -2.7% (weakness attributed to European Commission extending its review of Unilever's acquisition of SLE unit).
Analyst comments: RBCN -2.1% (initiated with a Sell at Sterne Agee), FHN -2.0% (downgraded to Sell at Compass Point), YRCW -1.5% (initiated with a Underperform at Morgan Keegan), WAC -1.5% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Sterne Agee), VZ -1.5% (downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at Bernstein).
Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: VLNC +5.0%, TQNT +3.4%, JCI +3.3% (ticking higher).
M&A news: ACTI +41.6% (confirms it is to be acquired by ASSA ABLOY, parent co of HID Global, for $3.25/share), KG +39.9% (King Pharma to be acquired by Pfizer for $14.25 per share).
Other news: CCME +10.5% (still checking), AVP +8.6% (trading higher on article out overnight that L'Oreal may make offer for the company), MXL +7.0% (announced that its low-power TV tuner ICs have been selected by Hitachi Media Electronics for its line-up of multi-tuner television solution), OMX +6.6% (early strength being attributed to analyst comments saying the co could attract PE interest), SATC +4.0% (selected for 63 MW power plant in Puerto Rico), GERN +3.9% (continued strength), MYL +3.5% (ticking higher on KG news ), NKE +3.1% (CNBC reports that NKE is to become the new official apparel maker for the NFL), SYT +3.0% (traded higher overseas), CHK +2.6% (Cramer makes positive comments on MadMoney), FNF +2.0% (Bloomberg TV reports BAC to issue foreclosure warranties for Fidelity National), UA +1.8% (up in sympathy with NKE), MYGN +1.3% (Myriad Genetics's PROLARIS test accurately predicts survival with prostate cancer), JKS +0.9% (announces 130 MW solar module supply agreement with a leading global PV company), BMRN +0.8% (Cramer makes positive comments on MadMoney).
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S&P 500 futuur hetkel kauplemas -0,3% madalamal, nafta -0,23% (82,80 USD) ja kuld -0,16% (1352.3 USD).
Euroopa turud:
Saksamaa DAX -0,09%
Prantsusmaa CAC 40 -0,59%
Suurbritannia FTSE100 -0,20%
Hispaania IBEX 35 -0,39%
Rootsi OMX 30 -0,28%
Venemaa MICEX -0,32%
Poola WIG +0,06%Aasia turud:
Jaapani Nikkei 225 -2,09%
Hong Kongi Hang Seng -0,37%
Hiina Shanghai A (kodumaine) +1,23%
Hiina Shanghai B (välismaine) +0,16%
Lõuna-Korea Kosdaq -0,55%
Austraalia S&P/ASX 200 -1,69%
Tai Set 50 -0,17%
India Sensex 30 -0,67% -
Goldman Sachs on tõstnud kullahinna prognoose. Varasem 12-kuu prognoos $1365 untsist on asendatud $1650ga.
Uus GSi poolt kullale antud 3-kuu siht on $1400, 6-kuu siht $1525 ja 12-kuu siht $1650. -
mis GS EUR/USD prognoos on 3, 6 ja 12 kuu perioodis? :)
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12 kuud peaks olema 1,55 kui mälu ei peta :)
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ehk siis GS prognoos kuld EURis 9% vs 22% USDis?
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Nike: As rumored, Nike has won a 5 yr deal to be the exclusive onfield apparel maker for the NFL - CNBC
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Fed's Hoenig says Fed should allow balance sheet to shrink gradually; should discontinue reinvesting rolloffs - CNBC
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Headlines crossing that Germany's Weber saying ECB rates could be lifted before emergency measures end and bond purchases should be phased out permanently; very bullish for the euro
Weber tavaliselt hawkish ECB liige, kuid temagi poolt väga julge väljaütlemine -
Briefingu vahendusel:
INTC calls are outpacing puts by more than 2-to-1 today ahead of earnings after the close. So far today ~70K totals calls have traded vs ~32K puts. Most notable volume is seen in the INTC Oct 20 calls with 25.7K contracts trading vs. open int of 150.2K, pushing implied vol up around 7 points to ~54% and the INTC Nov 20 calls with 15.8K contracts trading vs. open int of 41.8K, pushing implied vol up around 1 points to ~29% -
EUR/USD vastu Weberi kommentaaride peale tõusu läinud.
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$32 bln 3-year Note Auction Results: Yield 0.569% (expected 0.562%); Bid/Cover 2.95X (Prior 3.21x, 12-auction avg 3.11x); Indirect Bidders 29.0% (Prior 42.4%, 12-auction avg 49.4%)
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Ja taas FOMC raporti järgi hakkas USD nõrgenema, mille peale spurtis turg päev tippudesse.
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Citigroup (C): Files Form 424B2 Updating Q3 Sale by Dept of Treasury
Pursuant to an Equity Distribution Agreement dated April 26, 2010 among the United States Department of the Treasury, Morgan Stanley and Citigroup, the Selling Stockholder (Dept of Treasury) sold, through Morgan Stanley as sales agent, an aggregate of 1,500,000,000 shares of Citigroup common stock, par value $0.01 per share, during the third calendar quarter, for aggregate sales proceeds of $5,863,489,587. The Equity Distribution Agreement was filed as an exhibit to a Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on April 26, 2010. Citigroup did not receive any proceeds from the sale of Common Stock by the Selling Stockholder.
Keskmine $3.90 -
Intel prelim $0.52 vs $0.50 Thomson Reuters consensus; revs $11.1 bln vs $10.99 bln Thomson Reuters consensus
Intel sees Q4 revs $11.0-11.8 bln vs $11.32 bln Thomson Reuters consensus
aktsia oli hetk tagasi järelturul üle 20 dollari kauplemas, nüüd aga 19,9 USD ja +1,7%
