Börsipäev 20. juuni
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FEDi istungi järgsetele rallidele on üsna tavapärane, et järgmine päev toob kasumivõtu. Eile oli sessiooni esimeses pooles konsolideerumist näha, kuid ostjad väga kaugele ei kadunud ning pakkusid päeva teises pooles uuesti tuge, mis viis S&P 500 lõpuks 0,1% kõrgemale. Loiu sentimendi juures osutus märkimisväärseks kulla käitumine, mille hind untsi kohta hüppas 3,3% kõrgemale 1320,4 dollarile, sooritades suurima tõusu alates septembrist. Euroopas aitas FEDi järelkaja tõsta Stoxx 600 indeksit 0,6%.
Majandusuudiste fookus langes eile Ühendriikidele, kus selgus, et möödunud nädala töötu abiraha taotlused kahanesid kuue tuhande võrra 312 tuhande peale, mis oli veidi parem kui analüütikute prognoositud 313 tuhat.
Sarnaselt NY piirkonnale näib juunis olevat kasvanud aktiivsus ka Philadelphia piirkonna töötleva tööstuse tehastes, kui FEDi küsitluse kohaselt paranes indeks 2,4 punkti 17,8 punktile (oodati 14,0). Sellest suurema hüppe tegid uute tellimuste indeks, mis tõusis 6,3 punkti 16,8 punktile ja tööhõive indeks, mis kerkis 4,1 punkti 11,9 punktile.
Tänane päev tõotab majandusuudiste osas kujuneda suhteliselt vaikseks, kui Euroopas tulevad avaldamisele Itaalia tööstustoodangu ja tehaste tellimuste aprilli muutus ning õhtupoole peaks eurotsooni tarbijate kindlustunde indeks näitama juunis edasist paranemist ning jõudma sellega kõrgeimale tasemele alates 2007.a.
11.00 Itaalia tööstustoodang ja tellimused (aprill)
17.00 Eurotsooni tarbijate kindlustunde indeks (juuni)
USA ja Euroopa indeksite futuurid kauplevad hetkel ilma olulise muutuseta. -
Mõned analüütikute otsused Euroopa firmade puhul:
DNB Added to Citi Focus List Europe
Vallourec Removed From Least Preferred Oils at BofAML
Premier Oil Removed From Most Preferred Oils at BofAML
Saipem Added to Least Preferred Oils at BofAML
Saipem PT Raised to Eu21 vs Eu16.5 at UBS; Kept at Neutral (Close 20,79)
Luxottica PT Raised 6% to Eu47 at BofAML; Kept at Buy (Close 41,74)
Afren Added to Most Preferred Oils at BofAML
Rolls-Royce Raised to Hold vs Sell at SocGen; PT 950 to 1090 (Close 1092)
Kering Resumed Overweight at Morgan Stanley, PT Eu189 (Close 163,9)
Man Group Raised to Neutral at Citigroup After Numeric Deal; PT increased to 102p from 88p
BNP Cut to Underperform at Jefferies
Nexans Faces Pricing Risk, Prysmian Deal Unlikely: Credit Suisse
• Nexans is European cable co. most at risk of pricing pressure, Credit Suisse says in note after presenting at CRU Cable and Wire conference.
• Cuts Nexans to underperform vs neutral, reduces 2014-2016 Ebit forecasts avg. 4%.
• Estimates 47% of Nexans’ sales are from commoditized cables: CS
• Prysmian/Nexans merger unlikely in near term due to current valuation, completion issues, Prysmian’s current focus on Westlink contract
• Reiterates neutral Prysmian
TMK Cut to Neutral vs Buy at UBS
Overweight DS Smith, JPMorgan Says Ahead of FY; PT 360 to 367 (Close 310)
• FY2014 result will indicate D S Smith’s success in taking market share in a recovering European market for FMCG and industrial packaging, JPMorgan says.
• Earnings likely to be bolstered by further synergies from acquisition of SCA Packaging: JPM
• Forecasts operating profit of GBP307.7m in FY2014, up 23% Y/y: JPM
• FY due June 26
Overweight Rolls-Royce, Sustained Rally Likely, JPMorgan Says
• Expects share price to rally (perhaps significantly over next 18 months), however co. needs to become more transparent to help achieve this, JPMorgan Says.
• Rolls-Royce says no material acquisitions are planned, which should reassure investors for foreseeable future: JPM
Overweight Imagination, JPMorgan Says Ahead of FY (Close 228)
• JPMorgan expects Imagination to meet midpoint of guided range on licensing, reiterates overweight, PT 210p.
• Likely to meet royalty unit guidance as co. has indicated worst of cuts in royalty units already seen: JPM
• Guidance unlikely to be very bullish, however will likely indicate royalty to begin improving in 2H15 as new wins at Mediatek, others begin to impact: JPM
• Stock likely to react positively if co. meets FY14 estimates though estimates need to start going up for a more secular stock run: JPM
• FY due June 24 -
Itaalia tehaste müügikasv aeglustus aprillis aasta baasil 2,6% pealt 2,2% peale, tellimuste kasvutempo kiirenes aga 2,8% pealt 6,2%ni.
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Pärast seda, kui General Electric suurendas oma pakkumist, tõstis ka Saksamaa tööstusettevõte Siemens koos Jaapani ettevõttega Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Alstomi energiaüksuse ülevõtmispakkumist. Siemens ja Mitsubishi Heavy tõstsid oma pakkumises raha osakaalu 8,2 mld euro peale varasema 7 mld euro pealt, hinnates Prantsusmaa ettevõtte energiaüksuse väärtuseks €14,6 mld (ehk €400 mln rohkem kui varem). Võrdluseks, General Electricu pakkumine ulatub 12,4 mld euroni.
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Porsche prognoosib sellel aastal Hiina turul madalates kahekohalistes protsentides müügi kasvu. Seda vaatamata sellele, et maikuus vähenes autotootja müük Hiina turul 1,3% Y/Y, ulatudes 3 164 sõidukini. Aasta esimese viie kuu jooksul on Porsche müük Hiinas kasvanud 9,5% Y/Y, ulatudes 16 465 sõidukini. Võrdluseks, 2013. aasta 12-kuu jooksul kasvas Porsche müük Hiinas 20%, ulatudes 37 425 sõidukini. Hetkel on automüüjal Hiinas 68 edasimüüjat, kuid selle aasta lõpuks plaanitakse arv kasvatada 85 peale (ja järgmisel aastal 100 peale).
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Tänased analüüsimajade reitingumuutused ja kommentaarid USA ettevõtete kohta:
* 3D Systems Corp : Jefferies cuts target price to $67 from $102; rating buy
* Abraxas Petroleum : Canaccord Genuity raises target price to $6 from $5.75; buy
* Aimco : JP Morgan raises target price to $32 from $31; rating neutral
* Allstate Corp : RBC raises target price to $64 from $63; rating outperform
* American Eagle Outfitters : Stephens starts with equal-weight
* Arrowhead Research : Jefferies raises price target to $30 from $29; rating buy
* Autonation Inc : Goldman Sachs raises to buy from neutral
* Avalonbay Communities : JP Morgan raises target price to $158 from $153; overweight
* Baker Hughes Inc : Drexel Hamilton starts with buy
* BlackBerry : CIBC raises target price to $6.25 from $5
* BlackBerry : BMO raises target price to $9 from $8; rating market perform
* BlackBerry : UBS raises target price to $9 from $8.50; rating neutral
* BlackBerry : Nomura raises target price to $10 from $9; rating neutral
* BlackBerry : Raymond James raises target price to $10 from $9.50; market perform
* BlackBerry : RBC raises target price to $12 from $11; rating sector perform
* BlackBerry : SocGen raises target price to $8 from $6; rating sell
* Coach Inc : Keybanc cuts price target to $46 from $55; rating buy
* Coach Inc : Canaccord Genuity cuts target price to $35 from $42; rating hold
* Coach Inc : Barclays cuts target price to $34 from $45; rating equal weight
* Coach Inc : Nomura cuts target price to $45 from $50; rating buy
* Coach Inc : Topeka Capital cuts target price to $34 from $46; rating hold
* Coach Inc : Sterne cuts target price to $33 from $41; rating neutral
* Coach Inc : HSBC cuts to neutral from overweight
* Coach Inc : ISI Group cuts target price to $35; rating neutral
* Coach Inc : BMO cuts to market perform from outperform
* Coach Inc : Cowen and Company cuts price target to $35 from $42; market perform
* Coach Inc : William Blair cuts to market perform rating
* Coach Inc : Citigroup cuts target price to $36 from $50; rating neutral
* Coach Inc : JP Morgan cuts target price to $39 from $49; rating overweight
* Coach Inc : Stifel cuts target price to $47 from $65; rating buy
* Coach Inc : UBS cuts target price to $35 from $45; rating neutral
* Michael Kors Holdings : JP Morgan raises target to $104 from $100; overweight
* Micron Technology : RBC raises target price to $38 from $34; rating outperform
* Midcoast Energy Partners : Barclays raises target to $23 from $22; equal weight
* Molson Coors Brewing : Morgan Stanley raises to equal weight rating
* Oracle Corp : Susquehanna raises target price to $47 from $45; rating positive
* Oracle Corp : Citigroup cuts to neutral from buy
* Parker Hannifin : Credit Suisse cuts target to $144 from $148;rating outperform
* Smith & Wesson : Cowen and Company raises target to $20.50 from $17; outperform
* Smith & Wesson : Northland cuts target price to $20 from $21; rating outperform
* Tibco Software : Wedbush raises target price to $20 from $19; rating neutral
* Tibco Software : Deutsche Bank raises target price to $19 from $17; rating hold
* Veeco Instruments : Berenberg cuts target price to $41 from $46; rating buy
* Veracyte Inc : Piper Jaffray starts with overweight; target $21
* Voxeljet : Jefferies raises target price to $15 from $13.50; rating hold
* Walgreen Co : SunTrust Robinson raises target price to $87 from $82; rating buy
* Weatherford International : Drexel Hamilton starts with hold - -
Citron on väljas positiivse kommentaariga BlackBerry (BBRY) kohta öeldes,et nende hinnangul on aktsia väärt vähemalt $20.
Analüüsi BBRY kohta saab lugeda siin.
Aktsia kaupleb hetkel 4% plusspoolel, $9,45 juures.
