Börsipäev 19. november
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Ülespoole momentumil hoiti eile hoog sees ja kuigi turud on lühiajaliselt üleostetud, siis miski ei takista neil selliseks jääda, eriti kui taganttuulena mõjub hooajalisus ning sekka visata kindlustunnet parandavad majandusnäitajad. S&P 500 sulgus 0,5%ga uuel rekordil, Euroopas lõpetas Stoxx 600 indeks päeva 0,6% kõrgemal.
Positiivset meeleolu aitasid Euroopas luua Saksamaa investorite ja analüütikute kindlustunde näitajad, mis osutusid arvatust palju paremaks. Ühendriikides aga kerkis majade ehitajate kindlustunde indeks novembris nelja punkti võrra 58 punkti peale (oodati 55 punkt), mis jäi vaid punkti jagu alla septembris saavutatud majandussurutise järgsele tipule ning viitab sellele, et järgnevatel kvartalitel peaks ehitustegevus elamuturul paranema.
Aasia turud kauplesid üsna väikeste muutuste juures. Eile kinnitas Jaapani peaminister Shinzo Abe, et kavatseb tuleva aasta oktoobrisse planeeritud müügimaksu tõstmise edasi lükata ning saata novembris parlament laiali, et detsembri valimistel näha enda otsuste taga rahva poolehoidu. Jaapani keskpank aga otsustas täna lõppenud istungil jätkata rahabaasi suurendamist aastas 80 triljoni jeeni võrra, mis oli ootuspärane samm arvestades alles hiljutist tõstmist.
Tänase börsipäeva olulisemad majandusuudised tulevad Ühendriikidest, kus raporteeritakse oktoobrikuu alustatud elamuehituste ja väljastatud ehituslubade arv. Nii Inglise kui USA keskpank avaldavad möödunud istungi protokolli.
11.30 Inglise keskpanga istungi protokoll
15.30 USA alustatud elamuehituste arv (oktoober)
15.30 USA väljastatud ehituslubade arv (oktoober)
21.00 USA FOMC oktoobri istungi protokoll -
Inglise keskpangas jagunesid hääled sarnaselt nagu varasemal korral, enamuse silmis valitseb erinevaid riske, mis võivad majanduse väljavaadet nõrgestada
BANK OF ENGLAND INTEREST-RATE VOTE 7-2; BOND-PURCHASE VOTE 9-0
BOE MAJORITY HAVE MATERIAL RANGE OF VIEWS ON RISKS TO OUTLOOK
BOE SEES `SMALL' CHANCE OF CPI EXPECATIONS DRIFTING LOWER
BOE: SOME MPC MAJORITY SAW RISK OF FASTER EROSION OF SLACK
BOE: SOME MPC MAJORITY SAW RISK GROWTH MIGHT SOFTEN FURTHER
BOE SAYS HOUSING ACTIVITY HAS SLOWED MORE THAN ANTICIPATED
BOE SEES RISK DOMESTIC SPENDING WON'T OFFSET WEAKER EXPORTS -
Euroopa Keskpanga bilansi update....möödunud nädalal langesid varad -1,58mld EUR
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Tesla aktsia kaupleb eelturul -2,6% madalamal @ $250,98, kuna Morgan Stanley langetas Model X 2015. aasta müügiprognoosi 5000 peale varasema 15 000 pealt. Selle tõttu langetati ka Tesla 2014. aasta EPSi prognoos $0,73 peale varasema $1,13 pealt ning 2015. aasta EPSi prognoos $2,45 peale varasema $4,39 pealt.
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Gapping up/down: LITB +9%, LOW +4% and TGT +3% after earnings, Brazil names rebounding, POT +2% after upgrade; VIPS -5% after earnings, BBRY -6% after dg, TSLA -3% after est cut at MS
Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: LITB +8.9%, SGYP +7.4%, DL +5.2%, LZB +4.3%, LOW +3.9%, PETM +3.6%, JACK +3.5%, MNK +3.5%, SPLS +2.7%, TGT +2.6%, MTSI +1.4%
Select Brazil related names showing strength: ABGB +5.9%, EBR +4.4%, ABEV +3.1%, GOL +3.1%, CPL +2.5%, BBD +2%, VIV +1.7%, GGB +1.5%, TSU +1.5%, .
Other news: AGIO +9.8% (announced early Phase 1 data showing clinical acivity of AG-120 as a single agent in advanced acute myeloid leukemia), OMER +6.5% (announced positive data using OMS721), NBG +4.9% (cont move higher following strong Greece mkts overnight), PERY +4.3% (CalSTRS, Legion Partners call on PERY board to form an independent committee to evaluate strategic alternatives), SUNE +3.7% (cont strength pre-mkt after yday's 29% move), ENPH +2.8% (Co and SolarWorld enter global strategic partnership), CEL +2.5% (still checking, but announced that a purported class action was filed against the co and another cellular operator ), VA +2.5% (cont momentum post IPO), AMRN +2.3% (light volume), PLKI +1.6% (Red Mountain Capital disclosed a 5.1% stake in a 13-D Filing; Continue to engage in dialogue with mgmt), LNBB +1.4% (seeing reports that co is working with Sandler O'Neil to explore a sale), CRAY +1.1% (announced that Cloudera Enterprise is now pre-integrated into Cray's new big data analytics appliance)
Analyst comments: JAH +4.4% (initiated with a Buy at BTIG Research), ASML +2.3% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Evercore ISI), POT +1.8% (upgraded to Outperform from Mkt Perform at Raymond James), MOS +1.6% (upgraded to Positive from Neutral at Susquehanna)
Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: EJ -9.4%, LEJU -8.9%, VIPS -5.3%, XUE -4.9%, BBSI -3.5%, KE -1.8%
Select metals/mining stocks trading lower: RIO -1.8%, HMY -1.7%, IAG -1.7%, AU -1.6%, BHP -1.5%, VALE -0.5%
Other news: CLF -10.9% (to pursue exit options for its Eastern Canadian operations), CLVS -7% (reported Interim data from rociletinib (CO-1686) Phase 1/2 study), RSH -3.5% (seeing reports that Monach has ended negotiations to take over a $140 mln loan), KKR -2.5% (may be considering PETM bid, according to reports), HMC -2.1% (related to Takata air bag recall), SDRL -2% (still checking), TTM -1.3% (related to Takata air bag recall), TRP -1.1% (Keystone Pipeline bill did not get 60 votes needed in Senate), FOLD -0.8% (prices 13,850,000 shares of its common stock at $6.50 per share)
Analyst comments: BBRY -5.7% (downgraded to Underweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley), TSLA -3% (Hearing Morgan Stanley cutting FY15 EPS below consensus), MOV -1.4% (downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at Barrington Research), DNR -0.5% (downgraded to Hold at Wunderlich)
Allikas: Briefing.com -
USA ehituslubade arv oodatust tugevam, alustatud elamuehitused jäid pisust nõrgemaks kui oodati
October Building Permits 1080K vs 1040K Briefing.com consensus; Prior 1031K
October Housing Starts 1009K vs 1025K Briefing.com consensus; prior revised to 1038K from 1017K -
FED pisut murelik inflatsiooniootuste languse pärast
MANY FED OFFICIALS SAW LIMITED IMPACT FROM GLOBAL SLOWDOWN
FED OFFICIALS SAW NEED TO WATCH FOR INFLATION EXPECTATIONS DROP
FOMC OPTED NOT TO MENTION FINANCIAL MARKET TURMOIL AFTER DEBATE
FOMC MINUTES: SOME WANTED TO REMOVE CONSIDERABLE TIME FROM LANGUAGE -
Keurig Green Mtn prelim $0.90 vs $0.77 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; revs $1.2 bln vs $1.16 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate
Keurig Green Mtn raises dividend 15% to $1.15 from $1.00
GMCR kauplemas 3,4% miinuspoolel.
