Börsipäev 5. detsember
Kommentaari jätmiseks loo konto või logi sisse
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Euroopa aktsiaturud kauplesid enne eilset EKP intressimäärade otsust sisuliselt muutumatuna ning pärast otsuse avalikustamist, majandusprognooside kärpimist ning Mario Draghi pressikonverentsi võeti suund alla, kust enam ei taastutud. Stoxx Europe 600 indeks langes 1,3%. USA aktsiaturud lõpetasid S&P 500 indeksiga mõõdetuna päeva 0,1% miinuses.
Euroopa Keskpank tõi käesoleva aasta eurotsooni majanduskasvu prognoosi 0,8% peale (varasemalt 0,9%) ning inflatsiooniootuse 0,5% peale (varasemalt 0,6%). Järgmise aasta SKP kasvuprognoosi kärbiti 0,6 protsendipunkti võrra 1%-ni ning hinnatõusuks nähakse endise 1,1% asemel 0,7%. Senisest kesisema väljavaate põhjuseks on endiselt aeglustuv majanduskasv, kõrge tööpuudus, kasutamata tootmisvõimsus, vajalikud muudatused riikide ja erasektori bilanssides ning struktuursete reformidega venitamine liikmesriikides. Samas toodi välja, et pikaajalisemalt nähakse majanduse taastumist, mis tuleneb soodsast rahapoliitikast, mis peaks turgutama nõudlust, paranevatest finantstingimustest ja märkimisväärselt madalamatest energiahindadest, mis jätab tarbijatele rohkem vabu vahendeid. Samas märgiti, et viimaste nädalate nafta hinna langus prognooside arvutamisperioodi ei mahtunud ning nafta hinna langusel on märkimisväärne mõju inflatsiooniootuste kujunemisele.
Lootuskiir osadele turuosalistele oli Draghi kommentaar, et järgmise aasta alguses arutab keskpanga nõukogu siiani tehtud sammude tõhusust ning kui inflatsiooniootused püsivad endiselt madalal, jätkatakse ebatraditsioonilise rahapoliitika elluviimist. Muuhulgas võib see kaasa tuua meetmete suuruse, rakendamise tempo ning struktuuri muutused. Just viimane pani analüütikuid arvama, et EKP on ette valmistamas riikide võlakirjade ostuprogrammi.
Tänane makrokalendri fookus langeb Euroopa sessioonil euroala kolmanda kvartali majanduskasvu esialgsele hinnangule ning USA sessioonil saame teada, palju loodi USAs töökohti novembris.
10.00 Hispaania tööstustoodangu muutus (oktoober)
12.00 Euroala SKP (Q3, esialgne)
15.30 USA tööjõuturu raport (november)
17.00 USA tehaste tellimuste muutus (oktoober)
22.00 USA tarbijakrediidi muutus (oktoober) -
Hispaania tööstustoodang kasvas oktoobris võrreldes aastatagusega 1,2%, mis jäi alla analüütikute oodatud 1,4%-le. Samas kiirenes kasvutempo septembri 1% pealt.
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Euroala SKP kasvas kolmandas kvartalis esialgsetel andmetel 0,2% QoQ ja 0,8% YoY, mis vastas ka ootustele. Riikide QoQ kasvumäärad:
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USA novembrikuu tööturu raport ületab tugevalt ootusi kui prognoositud 230 000 töökoha asemel loodi 321 000 töökohta, eelneva kuu numbrit korrigeeriti kõrgemaks. Töötuse määr jäi 5,8% peale.
November Average Workweek 34.6 vs 34.6 Briefing.com consensus
November Hourly Earnings +0.4% vs +0.2% Briefing.com consensus
November Nonfarm Private Payrolls 314K vs 228K Briefing.com consensus
November Nonfarm Payrolls 321K vs 230K Briefing.com consensus; October revised to 243K from 214K
November Unemployment Rate 5.8% vs 5.8% Briefing.com consensus; October 5.8% -
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: SYNA +7.2%, (CFO retires; raises Q2 FY15 revenue guidance t), ULTA +6.2%, FRAN +4.8%, (guided Q3, named new CEO) VTSS +4.2%, GPS +2.7%, (reports Nov same store sales +6.0% vs -1.6% Retail Metrics consensus)
Select Brazil related names showing strength: VALE +1.7%, BUD +1.5%, BAK +1.3%, BBD +0.7%
Select EU names trading higher: ORAN +2%, DB +1.9%, BCS +1.9%, DEO +1.4%, TEF +1.2%
Other news: ALSK +47.6% (Alaska Comms sells remaining wireless assets to GCI Communications (GNCMA) for $300 mln), TLOG +15.1% (CEO purchaed 10K shares at 4.99), SIMG +7.7% (announced the launch of a new subsidiary to focus on 'Internet of Everything' services; Qualcomm (QCOM) participates with strategic investment), DLIA +6.9% (announces it will liquidate and file Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the very near term - stock is halted), ARIA +3.5% (presenting at ASH conf; also may be cont spec on M&A interest), FEYE +2.8% (cont cyber security volatility, particularly surrounding Sony), GERN +2.6% (announced publication of preclinical data demonstrating activity of imetelstat on leukemic stem cells from acute myelogenous leukemia), WTW +2.4% (engaged in a partnership with Humana (HUM) to offer its weight management services as a part of coverage under certain employer-sponsored health plans), FCAU +2.3% (announced launch of offering of 87 mln common shares and offering of $2.5 bln of mandatory convertible securities due 2016), CLDX +1.9% (initiated a Phase 2 study of Glembatumumab Vedotin in patients with advanced melanoma), HCI +1.7% (subsidiary approved to assume 50K policies from Citizens Property Insurance Corporation), BCEI +1.6% (Millennium International Management disclosed 6.4% passive stake in 13G filing), GPRO +1.6% (favorable commentary on Thursday's Mad Money), CCE +1.4% (still checking), GNCMA +1.3% (Alaska Comms sells remaining wireless assets to GCI Communications (GNCMA) for $300 mln), KMI +1.3% (favorable commentary on Thursday's Mad Money), ALV +1.3% (cont strength), NOC +1.2% (announced a new $3 bln share repurchase authorization, and added to Conviction Buy List at Goldman), BKW +1.2% (seeing reports co received Canadian approval for takeover of Tim Hortons (THI) provided certain conditions are met), ICPT +1% (announces publication of meta-analysis from the global PBC study group in gastroenterology), AA +1% (unveiled a new manufacturing technology)
Analyst comments: VOD +3% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman), STRZA +2.2% (upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Macquarie), POT +2.1% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan), YHOO +1.6% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill), TNK +1.5% (upgraded to Equal-Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley), TSN +1.1% (added to Conviction Buy List at Goldman), SBUX +0.9% (target raised to $89 from $82, maintain Overweight at JP Morgan)
Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: FIVE -10.3%, (also appoints Joel Anderson CEO), RALY -6.2%, AEO -5.9%, ZUMZ -3.4%, FNSR -2.8%, SPWH -2.7%, (also announced that it has completed the refinancing of its existing $235 mln senior secured term loans at a lower interest rate and has increased the borrowing capacity under the terms of its revolving credit facility ), COO -2.5%, BIG -2.5%, SWHC -1.4%, AMBA -0.6%
Select metals/mining stocks trading lower: AU -1.8%, SSRI -1.6%, AEM -1.3%, GG -1.1%, BHP -0.9%, RIO -0.6%
Select oil/gas related names showing early weakness: SDRL -2.4%, STO -1.7%, TOT -1%, BP -0.7%
Other news: GLP -5.1% (commenced a public offering of 3,565,000 common units representing limited partner interests), GTT -4.5% (announced public offering of common stock, size not disclosed), LOPE -4.4% (still checking), DGLY -3.8% (modest pullback pre-mkt), CTIC -1.7% (still checking), RADA -1.6% (following ~50% move higher yesterday)
Analyst comments: FUEL -1.8% (initiated with Sell at Maxim), WIN -1.4% (downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at Bernstein), PNR -1.4% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Nomura), ABB -1.3% (downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank), GOOG -1% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill)
