Börsipäev 3. veebruar
Log in or create an account to leave a comment
-
Euroopas olid indeksid raskustes pinnalpüsimisega ja Ühendriikides alustas S&P 500 sessiooni -0,7% langusega, detsembri põhjade juurde suundudes. Kuid päeva lõpuks pilt muutus ning S&P 500 sulgus 1,3% kõrgemal. Üheks peamiseks veduriks oli energiasektor, mis rallis 3% tänu naftahinna 2,8% tõusule 49,6 dollarini. Samuti näisid turuosalised rõõmustavat selle üle, et Kreeka rahandusminister ei kavatse nõuda laenuandjatelt 315 miljardi euro suuruse võla osalist mahakirjutamist, vaid selle asemel on lauale pannud plaani vahetada võlakirjad uute vastu, millest osa oleks seotud nominaalse majanduskasvuga.
Globaalne töötlev tööstus alustas uut aastat veidi kõrgema aktiivsuse juures võrreldes detsembriga, kuid tase jääb siiski pikaajalisele keskmisele alla. JPMorgani koostatud PMI kerkis jaanuaris 51,7 punktini, üsna marginaalselt võrreldes detsembris registreeritud 51,5ga. Pilt paranes veidi eurotsoonis ja Suurbritannias, samas Hiinas näitaja viitas stagnatsioonile ning Ühendriikides leidis aset aktiivsuse tugevam jahenemine, kui ISM indeks kukkus 55,1 punkti pealt 53,5 punkti peale (oodati 54,5).
Öösel on Austraalia keskpank üllatanud ootamatu intressimäära langetamisega 25 baaspunkti võrra 2,25% peale. Viimane on hoidnud intressimäära stabiilsena poolteist aastat, kuid tänasel istungil järeldati, et sisenõudlus on ikkagi nõrk ning majandus kasvab pikaajalisest trendist madalama tempo juures. Analüütikud olid tänase otsuse põhjal kiired järeldama, et keskpank võib intressimäära veelgi madalamale tuua.
India keskpank otsustas aga jätta intressimäära ootuspäraselt 7,75% peale. Ehkki inflatsioon on riigis aeglustunud aastaga 10% pealt poole võrra, soovib keskpank saada täiendavat kinnitust, et hinnatõus on edasi aeglustumas, enne kui intressimäära hakatakse kärpima. Samuti võis rolli mängida valitsuse eelarve avaldamine kuu teises pooles.
Tänane majandusuudiste valik jääb võrdlemisi tagasihoidlikuks, kui laual on vaid Hispaania jaanuarikuu töötute arvu muutus, Itaalia jaanuari esmane inflatsioon ja USA detsembrikuu tehaste tellimuste muutus.
10.00 Hispaania töötute arvu muutus (jaanuar)
12.00 Itaalia inflatsioon (jaanuar)
16.50 FEDi Bullard kõneleb majanduse teemal
17.00 USA tehaste tellimused (detsember)
??.?? USA jaanuarikuu autode müük
19.45 FEDi Kocherlakota kõneleb majanduse teemal -
Hiuspaania registreerirtud töötus kasvas jaanuaris 78 tuhande inimese võrra, mida oli vähem võrreldes oodatud 88 tuhandega. Ühtlasi oli number madalam võrreldes eelnevate aastate sama perioodiga.
-
Itaalia deflatsioon kiirenes jaanuaris -0,6%ni detsembri 0,0% pealt, mis oli rohkem kui analüütikute oodatud -0,3%.
-
Eesti keskpanga arvates saab rahatrükk toimida vaid lühiajalise stiimulina
Bloomberg: Estonian Central Bank Says QE Can Only Give S-T Growth Boost -
Brasiilia tööstustoodang kahanes detsembris -2,8% võrreldes novembriga, rohkem kui oodatud -2,5% ning seda allapoole korrigeeritud baasi pealt (-0,7% pealt -1,1% peale). Eelmise aasta sama perioodiga võrreldes kahanes tööstustoodang -2,7% (oodati -2,6%).
Brasiilia tööstustoodangu muutus MoM -
Tundub, et Saksamaa nii lihtsalt Kreeka pakkumist ei aktsepteeri
MERKEL SAID TO EXPECT GREEK FUNDING TALKS TO DRAG ON FOR MONTHS -
Fiati USA müük jaanuaris oodatust napilt parem
FIAT CHRYSLER JAN. U.S. AUTO SALES UP 14%, EST. UP 13.8% -
Poolteist nädalat tagasi hoiatanud UPS kinnitab 2015.a kasumiootust.
UPS SEES 2015 EPS $5.05-$5.30 , EST. $5.17 -
Brasiilia pangad kärpivad riigi tänavust SKP ootust
BRAZIL 2015 GDP GROWTH FORECAST CUT TO -0.5% FROM 0.2%: ITAU
BRAZIL 2015 GDP GROWTH EST. CUT TO -0.8% FROM 0% AT FIBRA -
Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: CLF +11.9%, AN +8.5%, LLNW +7.1%, IDTI +6.8%, RTEC +6.8%, ACI +5.8%, HW +5.2%, FN +4.2%, (light volume), SAN +3.3%, AGCO +3.1%, OI +2.8%, SC +2.2%, XL +2.1%, ST +2%, PLAY +1.7%, AGNC +1.6%, (light volume), LYB +1.6%, BP +1.3%, EMR +1.2%, CLR +1.2%, AET +0.7%
M&A news: ODP +17.8% (Staples (SPLS) and Office Depot (ODP) are in discussions for possible merger, according to reports), NBG +16.4% (strong in European session), SPEX +16.1% (Board unanimously rejects unsolicited proposal from Marathon Patent Group (MARA)), SPLS +14.1%, CSIQ +5.7% (to acquire Recurrent Energy from Sharp for $265 mln), ADVS +5.5% (SS&C Techs to Acquire Advent Software for $44.25 per share, an enterprise value of approximately $2.7 billion in cash), SSNC +3.1% (SS&C Techs to Acquire Advent Software for $44.25 per share, an enterprise value of approximately $2.7 billion in cash)
Select oil/gas related names showing strength: FRO +6.5%, SD +6.4%, BBEP +4%, RIG +3.6%, OAS +3.5%, PBR +2.8%, RDS,A +2.4%, ACMP +1.6%
Other news: ESPR +13.9% (announces removal of PPAR Partial Clinical Hold for ETC-1002), LC +9.6% (Lending Club and Alibaba.com (BABA) form strategic alliance), CRNT +8.3% (selected by a large mobile telecommunications service provider for a variety of projects in multiple regions), OCN +7.5% (Kingstown Capital Partners disclosed a 9.5% active stake in 13D filing), EYES +5.3% (announces that InEK1, the German national health insurance system, has renewed Status 1 for the Argus II Retinal Prosthesis System), ANR +4.9% (in sympathy with ACI earnings), EXXI +4.3% (cont pre-mkt vol), FCX +3.2% (underlying commodities trading strong overnight), ARNA +3.2% (announces marketing approval in South Korea of BELVIQ for weight management), BHP +2.9% (underlying commodities trading strong overnight), CTIC +2.7% (announces independent DMC recommendation to continue GOG-0212 Phase 3 study of OPAXIO as maintenance therapy in ovarian cancer), GTE +2.2% (terminates of employment of its CEO; announces 2014 year-end reserves), TEF +2.1% (may use O2 money to fund acquisition of Vivendi's (VIVHY) GVT, according to reports), CRC +1.9% (Soroban Capital Partners disclosed a 9.98% active stake in 13D filing), MNKD +1.9% (Mannkind and Sanofi (SNY) announce Afrezza now available in the US), NOK +1.6% (to repurchase a maximum of 365 mln Nokia shares by using funds in the unrestricted shareholders' equity), CLR +1.2% (announces proved reserves of 1.35 billion barrels of oil equivalent at December 31, 2014)
Analyst comments: CRH +3.8% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Societe Generale), BCS +3.6% (upgraded to Overweight at Morgan Stanley), SSNC +3.1% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan), HAWK +2.2% (upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital), LNKD +2.2% (target raised to $280 from $250 at Goldman; Added to Conviction Buy List), WLL +2.2% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel), CYT +1.6% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies), XEC +1.4% (target raised to $130 from $120 at Stifel), EMC +1.2% (upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Macquarie)
Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: SSYS -27.4%, RCII -14.1%, MNK -3.5%, MTSI -2.5%, (filed for a mixed securities shelf offering for an undisclosed amount; announces proposed public offering of common stock 6.5 mln shares; 4.5 mln by MACOM and 2 mln by John Ocampo), LMNX -2.5%, WEN -1.5%, ADM -1.3%, HIG -1.2%, UPS -1.1%, ARG -1%, IMS -0.7%
Other news: RSH -33.4% (co disclosed it received a second notice of default from Salus Capital), ZIOP -8.6% (files mixed securities shelf offering; intends to commence an underwritten public offering of $75,000,000 of shares of its common stock), DDD -7.4% (following SSYS guidance), ONTX -6.6% (announces clinical development plan for Rigosertib in higher risk Myelodysplastic Syndrome (HR-MDS) patients after failure of treatment with hypomethylating agents), XONE -5.9% (following SSYS guidance), PBF -4% (announces an underwritten secondary offering by funds affiliated with The Blackstone Group and First Reserve Management of their remaining 3,804,653 shares of Class A common stock), PRLB -3.8% (following SSYS guidance), BCEI -3.5% (announces the launch of an underwritten public offering of 4 mln shares of its common stock), PEGI -2.1% (announces the commencement of an underwritten public offering of up to $350 mln of shares of its Class A common stock by the Company and the selling shareholder), SABR -2.1% ( announced the public offering of 20 mln shares of common stock by existing stockholders TPG Global and Silver Lake Management Company), BAH -1.6% (announces the sale of an aggregate of 12 mln shares of Class A common stock on an underwritten basis by an affiliate of The Carlyle Group)
Analyst comments: PBI -1.1% (lowered to $30 from $33 at Brean Capital), KORS -0.5% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Canaccord Genuity)
Allikas: Briefing.com -
NYSE nalja ei mõista, RSH sai delisti ära, tea kas MCP järgneb?
-
Veel mõned autotootjad
GM JAN. TOTAL U.S. VEHICLE SALES UP 18.3%, EST. UP 18.8%
FORD U.S. JAN. LIGHT VEHICLE SALES UP 15.6%, EST. UP 12.8%
NISSAN JAN. U.S. AUTO SALES UP 15.1%, EST. UP 11.4% -
USA tehaste tellimused langesid detsembris -3,4% võrreldes novembriga (oodati -2,3%), lisaks revideeriti eelneva kuu langus -0,7% pealt -1,7% peale.
-
USA makro on viimasel ajal negatiivselt üllatanud, kuid S&P 500 trotsib seda üsna hästi
Citi makro üllatusindeks (valge) ja S&P 500 (oranž) -
St Luis FEDi president Bullard on USA majanduse suhtes optimistlik, järelikult intressimäära tõstmine suvel pigem tõenäoline.
BULLARD SAYS LOWER OIL PRICES POSITIVE FOR U.S. CONSUMERS
BULLARD SAYS EXPECTS U.S. JOBLESS RATE UNDER 5% BY Q3 2015
BULLARD SAYS HE'S PRETTY BULLISH ON THE U.S. ECONOMY
BULLARD SAYS EFFECTS OF ECB QE ARE ALREADY IN FINANCIAL MARKETS
BULLARD SAYS LOW LONG-TERM RATES UNMITIGATED POSITIVE FOR U.S.
BULLARD SAYS 10-YEAR U.S. YIELDS UNDER 2% ARE ASTONISHINGLY LOW
BULLARD SAYS THERE IS LOT OF MOMENTUM IN U.S. ECONOMY
BULLARD SAYS DOLLAR NOT A HUGE FACTOR FOR U.S. ECONOMY. -
Chipotle Mexican Grill prelim $3.84 vs $3.79 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; revs $1.07 bln vs $1.08 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate
CMG kauplemas ligi 7% miinuspoolel, kuna käibe osas jäi ettevõte ootustele alla.
-
Wynn Resorts prelim $1.20 vs $1.45 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; revs $1.14 bln vs $1.19 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate
WYNN jääb samuti ootustele alla, aga tõstab dividendi 1,25 USD pealt 1,50 USD peale.
Aktsia kauplemas 5% miinuspoolel @148
