Börsipäev 3. august
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Commerzbanki oodatust nõrgemad tulemused ning jätkuv mure Itaalia pankade tervise pärast tõid kogu Euroopa finantssektori uuesti investorite fookusesse, survestades koos Jaapani raha- ja fiskaalpoliitika küsitava efektiivsusega sentimenti globaalsetel aktsiaturgudel. Euroopas sulgus Stoxx 600 -1,3% punases, Ühendriikides sai S&P 500 pihta -0,6%. Nafta üritas rallida tagasi üle 40 dollari, kuid ebaõnnestus ning WTI lõpetas päeva -1,4% madalamal 39,5 dollaril.
Nii nagu USA teise kvartali SKP raport juba eelmisel nädalal näitas, oli tarbimine suhteliselt tugev ning seda kinnitas ka juunikuu isiklike kulutuste 0,4% kasv, mis ühtis maikuu muutusega ning ületas konsensuse prognoositud 0,3% kuist muutust. Isiklik sissetulek kasvas seejuures aga 0,2% võrreldes maiga, jäädes konsensuse 0,3% ootusele alla aga kuna tarbijate kindlustunde indeks püsib kõrgel tasemel, avatakse rahakotiraudasid säästmise arvelt (isiklik säästmise määr alanes juunis 5,3% peale mais saavutatud 5,5%lt ning 6,2%lt märtsis). Selleks, et tarbimine saaks jääda USA majanduse peamiseks veduriks ning anda seejuures hoogu juurde, on oluline näha lõpuks palgakasvu kiirenemist. Kui 2014.a lõpus küündis isiklike sissetulekute aastane kasv üle 6%, siis tänaseks on see aeglustunud 2,7% peale.
USA isikliku sissetuleku aastane muutus (%)
Tänane börsipäev jätkub peamiselt teenindussektori juulikuu aktiivsusindeksitega nii Euroopas kui ka Ühendriikides. Eurotsooni juunikuu jaemüük aitab valgust heita tarbimise tugevusele ning USA ADP tööturu küsitlus annab võimaluse teha viimaseid korrektuure reedel avaldatava tööturu raporti ootustes.
10.15 Hispaania teenindussektori PMI (juuli)
10.45 Itaalia teenindussektori PMI (juuli)
10.50 Prantsusmaa teenindussektori PMI (juuli lõplik)
10.55 Saksamaa teenindussektori PMI (juuli lõplik)
11.00 Eurotsooni teenindussektori PMI (juuli lõplik)
11.30 Suurbritannia teenindussektori PMI (juuli lõplik)
12.00 Eurotsooni jaemüük (juuni)
15.15 USA ADP tööturu küsitlus (juuli)
16.45 USA Markiti koostatud teenindussektori PMI (juuli)
17.00 USA teenindussektori ISM (juuli)
17.30 USA toornafta varude raport (29. juuli) -
Hispaania teenindussektori aktiivsus jäi juulis kõrgeks, kuigi juuniga võrreldes oli kasv mõnevõrra aeglasem
Spanish Markit Services PMI Jul: 54.1 (est 55.2; prev 56.0) -
Itaalia teenindussektoris jätkub mõõdukas kasv
Italian Markit/ADACI Services PMI Jul: 52.0 (est 51.0; prev 51.9) -
Saksamaa teenindussektori PMI korrigeeriti allapoole, Prantsusmaa oma ülespoole. Kokkuvõttes viitab eurotsooni töötleva tööstuse ja teenindusektori ühine PMI aeglase aga stabiilse majanduskasvu jätkumisele, millele Brexiti referendum pole negatiivset mõju avaldanud.
German Markit/BME Services PMI Jul F: 54.4 (est 54.6; 53.7 in June)
French Markit Services PMI Jul F: 50.5 (est 50.3; 49.9 in June)
Eurozone Composite PMI Jul F: 53.2 (est 52.9; 53.1 in June) -
Suurbritannia PMI sai aga laksu kätte: PMI fell to 48.2 in July 2016 from 52.4 in June and below the earlier flash estimate of 49.1. It was the lowest reading since February 2013.
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ADP küsitluse järgi ei tohiks reedene raport suurt üllatust pakkuda, kuid nagu eelnevad kaks kuud näitasid, siis see eeldus ei pea alati paika
US ADP Employment Change Jul: 179K (est 170K; prev rev to 176K from 172K) -
Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: SZMK +42.9%, STLY +32.7%, GNW +18.9%, BGFV +14.1%, (also announces new $25 mln share repurchase program), ZAGG +14%, OCLR +11%, BOFI +9.2%, TRUP +8.1%, XCO +7.8%, FIT +7.5%, HDSN +7.1%, XXIA +6.4%, RDCM +5.9%, FUEL +5.8%, (also announces it concurrently entered into a Controlled Equity Offering with Cantor Fitzgerald of up to $30 mln of the $50 mln offering it filed for in May), MEMP +5.8%, ZTS +5.6%, WD +5.5%, XNCR +5%, AVD +4.5%, SHOP +4.4%, WMGI +3.9%, AIG +3.8%, (also adds $3 bln to buyback ), NBR +3.6%, ETSY +3.5%, TWX +3.4%, INSY +3.3%, GORO +3.2%, RIGL +3.2%, FNGN +3.1%, OHI +2.8%, AMSG +2.7%, AR +1.8%, EXK +1.8%, RPXC +1.6%, HLTH +1.5%, CENT +1.4%, CENT +1.4%, BEAT +1.3%, FMI +1.2%, (also announces that the FDA and the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services have accepted FoundationOne for Parallel Review), ODP +1.2%, SUPN +1.1%, SE +1.1%, ICE +1.1%, MRCY +1%, ARR +1%, SLRC +1%, FGL +0.9%, OMI +0.8%, NVMI +0.8%
M&A news:
STLY +32.7% (Stanley Furniture announces its Board, in its review of strategic alternatives, intends to issue to shareholders two special dividends totaling up to $1.50/share)
ENT +8.9% (report from M&A blog Betaville (has mentioned ENT in recent weeks) that China's HNA is mulling a potential takeover bid for the company)
CALM +2.5% (Cal-Maine Foods to acquire substantially all of the assets of Foodonics International and its related entities doing business as Dixie Egg Company; terms not disclosed)
Other news:
KOOL +39.3% (announces 40-month follow-up results for a number of patients that participated in its earlier feasibility study using its SurgWerks system for the treatment of late stage limb ischemia)
SVU +4.2% (Supervalu reaffirmed that it is preparing for a separation of Save-A-Lot business; prepared to consider alternatives and is also evaluating a possible sale of Save-A-Lot)
Analyst comments:
ZNGA +6.7% (upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Cowen)
WMB +1% (upgraded to Outperform from Mkt Perform at Raymond James)
Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: SGY -24.3%, RUBI -23.2%, CRAY -18.5%, KATE -18.1%, MXWL -16%, CROX -15.5%, CYH -12.3%, GLUU -10.5%, OESX -10.3%, ECR -9.7%, FARO -8.1%, HFC -7.9%, CALD -7.4%, QRVO -6.4%, HBI -6%, BECN -5.7%, ELGX -5.5%, TSRA -5.4%, CHUY -5.3%, ESIO -5.3%, PRTA -4.7%, REXX -4.6%, SM -4.6%, VRSK -4.4%, DATA -4.3%, DATA -4.3%, CRTO -4.2%, DXCM -4.1%, ZEN -4.1%, (also confirms that the final day of employment for Alan Black, former CFO, will be August 12 ), NFX -3.1%, NYMT -2.5%, QUMU -2%, SLCA -1.9%, (U.S. Silica to acquire Sandbox Enterprises for a combination of $75 million of cash on hand and ~4.2 million its common shares; expected to be modestly accretive to 2016 EPS and generate EPS accretion of $0.20 to $0.30 in 2017), OKS -1.8%, PBPB -1.7%, KLIC -1.6%, EA -1.5%, SBGI -1.5%, CLDT -1.4%, ENBL -1.3%, DVN -1.2%, RGR -1.1%, (also announces Succession Plan), TNAV -1%
M&A news:
BIIB -1.3% (follow up to CNBC report that Allergan (AGN) is unlikely to be interested in a Biogen deal)
Other news:
VGZ -11.6% (Vista Gold announces $15 million bought deal offering of units)
RGC -4.3% (Regal Entertainment announces secondary offering 13 mln shares of Class A common stock by Anschutz Corporation pursuant to the shelf registration statement )
NEE -1.8% (agrees to sell $1.50 bln of equity units to Goldman, Sachs & Co., Credit Suisse and Mizuho Securities)
Analyst comments:
WDC -2.3% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman)
TREX -1.7% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at CL King)
Briefing.com -
USA teenindussektori ISM veidi alla ootuste
US ISM Non-Manf. Composite Jul: 55.5 (est 55.9; prev 56.5)
