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Börsipäev 11. august

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  • Juulist alates on globaalsetel aktsiaturgudel oodatud järgmist suuremat verevalamist, mistõttu vaadatakse siiani tasa ja targu ülesmäge liikuval turul igat väiksemat komistust, kui võimalikku signaali. S&P 500 indeks on viimase kahe sessiooni jooksul teises pooles kaotanud veidi momentumit, kuid eilegi piirdus kaotus vaid -0,3%ga, mille põhjal oleks liialt ennatlik järeldada turu pöördumist üleostetud sentimendis vajaliku hingetõmbe pähe. Euroopas lõpetas Stoxx 600 pärast viiepäevast tõusu -0,2% madalamal.

    Sarnaselt juba avaldatud USA tööturu raportile näitas ka JOLTSi küsitlus tagantjärele juuni kohta positiivsemat pilti, kui viimase kohaselt kasvas vabade töökohtade arv 110 tuhande võrra 5,624 miljonile pärast maikuu -331 tuhande suurust langust. Kolm kuud kahanenud palkamine suurenes juunis 0,1 miljoni võrra 5,1 miljonile, kergitades palkamise määra 0,1pp võrra 3,6%le. Töölt lahkujate arv oli juunis 2,9 miljonit, jättes vastava määra (töölt lahkujate arv jagatud tööhõivega) püsima kolmandat kuud järjest 2,0% peale. Viimane on võrdlemisi stabiilsena püsinud terve aasta jooksul, mis näitab, et ameeriklased pole liiga agaralt paremaid töökohtasid jahtimas kas ebapiisava kindlustunde või puuduvate võimaluste tõttu.



    Tänane börsipäev kuigi palju olulisi majandusuudiseid ei too, kui mainimist vääriks vaid Ühendriikide esmaste töötu abiraha taotluste eelmise nädala arv.

    09.45 Prantsusmaa inflatsioon (juuli lõplik)
    10.30 Rootsi inflatsioon (juuli)
    11.00 Itaalia inflatsioon (juuli lõplik)
    15.30 USA esmased töötu abiraha taotlused
  • Rahvusvaheline energiaagentuur jätab tänavuse naftanõudluse prognoosi samaks, kuid toob tuleva aasta oma nõrgema makromajandusliku keskkonna tõttu allapoole. Tootmine väljaspool OPECit peaks pärast 2016.a langust 2017.a uuesti kasvama ning koos kõrgete varudega jääb hind surve alla.

    IEA KEEPS WORLD OIL DEMAND GROWTH FORECAST AT 1.4M B/D IN 2016
    IEA DOWNGRADES WORLD OIL DEMAND GROWTH TO 1.2M B/D IN 2017
    IEA SEES LOWER OIL DEMAND GROWTH ON DIMMER MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK
    OPEC JULY OUTPUT ROSE 150,000 B/D TO 8-YEAR HIGH OF 33.39M B/D ON SAUDI, IRAQ--IEA
    SAUDI JULY OUTPUT HIT RECORD 10.62M B/D, UP 120,000 B/D FROM JUNE-IEA
    IEA SAYS GLOBAL OIL SUPPLY UP 800,000 B/D IN JULY ON HIGHER OPEC, NON-OPEC OUTPUT
    IEA SAYS MASSIVE STOCK OVERHANG KEEPING LID ON PRICES
    NON-OPEC OUTPUT SEEN FALLING BY 900,000 B/D IN 2016--IEA
    NON-OPEC OUTPUT WILL SEE GROWTH OF 300,000 B/D IN 2017--IEA

  • USA esmased töötu abiraha taotlused püsisid ootuspäraselt stabiilsena

    US Initial Jobless Claims (WoW) 6-Aug: 266K (est 265K; rev prev 267K)
  • Gapping up
    In reaction to earnings/guidance:

    BSTG +22.5%, HSGX +21.2%, ANW +19.1%, GURE +17%, LEU +14.8%, M +10.9%, HIMX +8.9%, KSS +8.4%
    SSRI +8%, EAT +6.4%, SPKE +5.7%, MIDD +5.7%, TPIC +5.2%, (also TPI Composites extends and expands its long-term agreement with Nordex to continue to supply wind blades from its existing Izmir, Turkey manufacturing facility through 2020)
    MICT +4.9%, BABA +4.8%, CSRA +3.4%, SEED +3.2%, NVTR +2.9%, BUFF +2.3%, DTRM +1.7%, SLW +1.1%
    M&A news:
    CHK +6.3% (Chesapeake Energy exits Barnett Shale, Announces Renegotiation Of Mid-Continent Gas Gathering Agreement; co sees 2017 adjusted production growth down 2-7%)
    RDUS +2% (vague takeover chatter out of the UK, mentioning Shire (SHPG))
    UN +1% (announced tha it has completed the acquisition of Dollar Shave Club)
    Other news:
    KURA +49% (co reported earnings and provided update on its Phase 2 clinical trial in HRAS mutant solid tumors with 'promising' clinical activity)
    NVGN +9.3% (announces that it has submitted an IND application to the FDA for Cantrixil (TRX-E-002-1) in ovarian cancer)
    JWN +5.6% (in sympathy with M earnings)
    YHOO +3.4% (in sympathy with BABA earnings
    WPZ +3% (Williams Partners confirms it has conditionally committed to execute a new gas gathering agreement with a new producer customer, a private company successor to Chesapeake Energy (CHK), in the Barnett Shale)
    CLNE +1.8% (selected as a supplier to provide natural gas upgrades to facilities in Cummins Inc.'s (CMI) Distribution Business Unit)
    WBAI +1.7% (in sympathy with BABA earnings)
    EXAS +1.6% (announces that Health Care Service Corp. and Florida Blue recently updated their medical policies to cover Cologuard)
    NFLX +1.1% (Director Orange Investor LP disclosed purchase totaling ~300K shares worth ~$28.3 mln)
    BIDU +1.1% (in sympathy with BABA earnings)
    JD +1% (in sympathy with BABA earnings)
    LGF +0.8% (Lions Gate Entertainment Director disclosed purchase of 50K shares, worth total of ~$1.1 mln )
    ADXS +0.8% (Phase 2 study of axalimogene filolisbac in patients with late-stage HPV-associated oropharyngeal cancer met its stage 1 primary objective),
    Analyst comments:
    OCUL +17.3% (initiated with a Mkt Outperform at JMP Securities)
    SEAS +1.4% (upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Credit Suisse)
    Gapping down
    In reaction to strong earnings/guidance:

    QHC -31.8%, SHLM -18.3%, NMM -9.3%, SHAK -7%, WSTL -6.6%, MCRB -4%, FLO -3.3%, EFOI -3.1%, VSTO -2.6%
    CHMA -1.8%, BCLI -1.7%, DOOR -1.3%, SCON -1.3%, AEG -1.2%, IMOS -1.1%, CPG -1%
    Other news:
    ALIM -11% (commences common stock offering for undisclosed amount)
    AMRN -9.6% (commences an underwritten public offering of its American Depositary pursuant to a shelf registration)
    OMER -8.5% (commences 40 mln common stock offering )
    FSP -6.1% (Franklin Street Properties announces underwritten public offering of 6,125,000 shares of its common stock)
    CLF -3.3% (Cliffs Natural Resources priced 44.4 mln Common Shares at a public offering price of $6.75 per share )
    BMCH -3% (commences 2.4 mln common stock offering by certain stockholders, including affiliates of The Gores Group, LLC and affiliates of Davidson Kempner Capital Management)
    NRZ -2.3% (priced its public offering of 20 mln shares of its common stock for gross proceeds of ~$284.0 mln)
    RBS -1.8% (prices $2.65 bln of 8.625% Perpetual Subordinated Contingent Convertible Additional Tier 1 Capital Notes due 2021)
    BRX -1.6% (announces secondary offering of 42.4 mln shares of common stock by selling shareholders )
    HCLP -1.5% (Hi-Crush Partners enters into contribution agreement with Hi-Crush Proppants LLC to acquire Hi- Crush Blair LLC; commences primary public offering of 6.5 mln common units representing limited partnership interests in the Partnership)
    Analyst comments:
    SPWR -0.9% (downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays)
    LITE -0.7% (downgraded to Underweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley)
    CBOE -0.7% (downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA/Merrill)

    Briefing.com

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