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Börsipäev 20. detsember

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  • Teisipäeval lõpetasid Tallinna +0.66% ja Vilniuse +0.18% indeksid plusspoolel ning Riia -0.65% sulgus miinuspoolel. Põhinimekirjas tehti 591 tehingut ja käive oli 1.3 miljonit eurot, millest Tallinna börsi käive moodustas 368 tehinguga 782 tuhat eurot ja Vilniuse börsi käive 150 tehinguga 255 tuhat eurot.

    Enimkaubeldud aktsia oli Tallinna Vesi (+7.03%) – käive 213 tuhat eurot ja tehingute arv 138. Järgnes Šiaulių bankas (0.00%) 52 tehinguga kogumahus 125 tuhat eurot. Tallink Grupp (0.00%) aktsiaga tehti 31 tehingut kogumahus 116 tuhat eurot.

    Suurimad tõusjad olid Tallinna Vesi (+7.03%, käive EUR 213k), Arco Vara (+3.45%, käive EUR 8k), Pieno žvaigždės (+2.40%, käive EUR 5k). Suurimad langejad olid Skano Group (-6.75%, käive EUR 2k), Baltika (-1.20%, käive EUR 3k), Vilkyškių pieninė (-1.08%, käive EUR 25k).
  • Kahe võimsa tõusupäeva järel tõmmati eile USA börsidel hinge, mille tulemusel lõpetas S&P 500 indeks -0,3% madalamal. Kuid nagu oleme korduvalt viimastel kuudel näinud, siis on ostjad üsna kiiresti tagasi turgudele naasnud ning leevendust üleostetud sentimendis pole tegelikult toimunud novembri lõpust alates. Ka Euroopas vajus Stoxx 600 sessiooni teises pooles miinusesse ega suutnud sellest enam taastuda, sulgudes -0,4% madalamal.

    Ühendriikide esindajatekoda kiitis 227-203 häältega maksueelnõu heaks. Senatis aga leiti mõned vastuolud, mis tuli enne heakskiitu ära muuta. Nüüd peab eelnõu liikuma tagasi esindajatekotta hääletusele, kuid kuna muudatused on väikesed, siis ei tohiks see takistada eelnõu jõudmist täna presidendi lauale.

    USA alustatud elamuehitused kasvasid novembris annualiseeritult 3,3% 1297 tuhandele, saavutades kõrgeima taseme viimase aasta jooksul ning ületades analüütikute ootust, mille kohaselt pidanuks ehitusaktiivsus pärast oktoobri hüpet langema 1250 tuhandele. Aasta algusest on alustatud elamuehitused kasvanud mullusega võrreldes 3,1%, kuid siin mängib rolli seik, varasematel aastatel korterelamutel olnud fookus liigub tagasi ühepereelamutele, mille rajamist tugevnenud tööturg soodustab. Alustatud ühepereelamute ehitused kasvasid novembris 5,3% pärast 6,1% tõusu oktoobris ning on 11 kuuga kasvanud 8,7%. Ettevaatava iseloomuga väljastatud ehitusload kahanesid MoM -1,4% pärast 7,4% kasvu oktoobris, kuid ühepereelamute ehitusload tõusid kolmandat kuud järjest, viidates lähikuudel sektoris aktiivsuse püsimisele.



    Täna saame kuulda, mida räägib Rootsi keskpank majanduse, inflatsiooni ja kohaliku kinnisvaraturu väljavaatest. Intressimäär peaks jääma -0,5% peale ja kuigi võlakirjade ostuprogramm peaks käesoleva aastaga läbi saama, siis oodatakse tuleval aastal bilansi mahu kasvatamist intressitulusid reinvesteerides. Hiina peaks avalikustama tuleva aasta majanduslikud eesmärgid ning kui uskuda WSJ allikaid, siis võib valitsus eelistada majandusliku võimenduse vähendamisele pigem võlakoorma kasvu kontrollimist ning sestap ei tohiks ka SKP kasvu siht oluliselt langeda. Majandusnäitajatest selgub USA olemasolevate majade novembri müük.

    10.30 Rootsi keskpanga istung
    17.00 USA olemasolevate majade müük (november)
  • FedEx raporteeris eile oodatust paremad numbrid ning väljastas tulevaks aastaks ka konsensusest parema prognoosi, seejuures võimalikku tulumaksu langetamist arvestamata

    Reports Q2 (Nov) earnings of $3.18 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.30 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of $2.88; revenues rose 9.4% year/year to $16.3 bln vs the $15.67 bln Capital IQ Consensus.
    Co issues upside guidance for FY18, sees EPS of $12.70-13.30, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $12.46 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.
    If the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act is enacted as set forth in the Joint Conference Report, EPS could increase by an estimated $4.40 to $5.50 per diluted share for fiscal 2018 before year-end MTM pension accounting adjustments, primarily due to the revaluation of net deferred tax liabilities. This range also includes an estimated $0.85 to $1.00 per diluted share due to a lower tax rate on fiscal 2018 earnings.

  • SWEDEN'S RIKSBANK LEAVES KEY RATE UNCHANGED AT -0.50 %
    RIKSBANK REITERATES FORECAST FOR RATE HIKES TO START MID-2018
    RIKSBANK SEES SWEDEN 2018 GDP GROWTH OF 2.9% VS 2.9% IN OCT.
    RIKSBANK SEES SWEDEN CPIF UP 2% IN 2018 VS 1.8% IN OCT.
    RIKSBANK: REDEMPTIONS, COUPON PAYMENTS WILL BE REINVESTED
    RIKSBANK: REINVESTMENTS TO CONTINUE UNTIL MIDDLE OF 2019
    RIKSBANK SEES SEK50B REDEMPTIONS TO OCCUR IN 1H OF 2019
    RIKSBANK: COUPON PAYMENTS OF SEK15B FROM JAN. 2018 TO JUNE 2019
  • Doug Kassi võimalikud üllatused 2018.a

    Surprise #1: President Trump's Behavior Finally Does Matter
    Surprise #2: Politics is Upended in 2018. As the U.S. Electorate Pushes Left in Mid-Term Elections
    Surprise #3: The Tax Bill Fails to Buoy S&P Earnings Anywhere Near Expectations of 7% to 10% Incremental Growth
    Surprise #4: The Cryptocurrency Bubble Pops and Gold Makes New All-Time Highs
    Surprise #5: The S&P Index Roars Into the 2017 Close and Makes a 2018 High on Jan. 2, 2018
    Surprise #6: A Congressional Subcommittee Meeting Called by Sen. Dianne Feinstein Leads to a Regulatory Attack on Google and Facebook That Slows Their Expansion Plans and Market Share Gains
    Surprise #7: Stagflation Emerges in the Last Half of 2018 and the Fed Tightens Four Times
    Surprise #8: The 2020 Presidential Front Runners Are Mike Pence and Howard Schultz, but Many Shadows Remain
    Surprise #9: Volatility Spikes, Causing a Major Flash Crash
    Surprise #10: The Athens Stock Market Is the Best International Performer in 2018
    Surprise #11: Company Share Buybacks Drop Dramatically
    Surprise #12: European Bonds Sour
    Surprise #13: Twitter Is Acquired
    Surprise #14: Berkshire Hathaway Makes a $75 Billion Acquisition in Early 2018
    Surprise #15: Tesla Stalls Out
  • Bloombergi järgi kaupleb Athex küll 16x järgmise 12 kuu oodatavat kasumit vs artiklis toodud 13x, aga äkki osutub Kreeka järgmise aasta superstaariks?

    Hedge Funds Finally Find a Market That Looks Cheap: Greece
  • MuddyWatersResearch @muddywatersre
    2m
    MW’s Carson Block will reveal a new short of a “King Zero” on @BloombergTV at 10:30 EST.


    Väikestviisi jõulusqueezi :)
  • Gapping up

    In reaction to strong earnings/guidance:
    BLIN +17.5%, BB +7.3%, MU +7.1%, FDX +2%, GIS +0.2%.
    In Reaction to Strong MU earnings report:
    AMAT +2.2%, LRCX +2%, INTC +1%, NVDA +1%, WDC +0.9%, AMD +0.9%, STX +0.8%.
    Notable Crypto Plays:
    SSC +55.8%, LFIN +18.7%, FTFT +13.6%, XNET +8.0%, OTIV +7.5%, DPW +6.1%, GROW +4.3%, SRAX +3.8%, MARA +2.9%, RIOT +2.3%.
    Other news:
    SKLN +21.1% (to purchase an equity stake in Helomics Corporation),
    GSUM +13.9% (Launches AI-driven, Software as a Service, Intelligent CRM Solution for the China market),
    EXEL +5.3% (continued strength after FDA approval of CABOMETYX tablets for previously untreated advanced renal cell carcinoma),
    TIG +1.9% (Announces plans to focus its resources and capabilities on its eASC platform technology and its product candidates Cx601 and Cx611),
    BIIB +1.6% (Ionis Pharma and Biogen enter collaboration agreement to identify new antisense oligonucleotide drug candidates for the treatment of spinal muscular atrophy),
    AL +1.4% (slightly higher in after hours following upgrade to Buy at Buckingham ),
    UPS +0.8% (following FDX results).
    Analyst comments:
    QHC +5.4% (Upgraded to Equal-Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley),
    AKS +2.5% (Upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Longbow),
    X +2.1% (Upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Longbow),
    WEN +1.8% (Upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Wedbush),
    WTW +1.6% (Initiated with a Buy at B. Riley FBR, Inc.; tgt $65),
    BIIB +1.6% (Upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse),
    UAL +1.3% (Upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Buckingham Research),
    AA +1.1% (Upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse),
    TS +1.1% (Initiated with a Overweight at Barclays; tgt $39),
    NUE +0.9% (Upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Longbow).

    Gapping down

    In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance:
    SFIX -11.1%, RHT -2.0%, IBKC -1.8%.
    Notable Crypto Plays:
    CCIH -21.3%, MGTI -2.1%
    Other news:
    ROKA -46.3% (To delist from NASDAQ Global Markets),
    TXMD -8.8% (announces FDA acceptance of New Drug Application and PDUFA target action date of May 29, 2018 for TX-004HR),
    CBIO -2.6% (proposes public offering of common stock),
    STM -1.4% (Still Checking).
    Analyst comments:
    IBKC -1.8% (Downgraded to Outperform from Strong Buy at Raymond James),
    JACK -1.8% (Downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies),
    CENX -1.7% (Downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank),
    SEP -1.1% (Downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays),
    HCA -1% (Downgraded to Underweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley),
    THC -0.9% (Downgraded to Underweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley),
    GILD -0.9% (Downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse),
    GDS -0.9% (Downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse)

    Briefing.com
  • ymeramees
    MuddyWatersResearch @muddywatersre
    2m
    MW’s Carson Block will reveal a new short of a “King Zero” on @BloombergTV at 10:30 EST.


    Väikestviisi jõulusqueezi :)


    CIFS

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