Börsipäev 20. märts
Kommentaari jätmiseks loo konto või logi sisse
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USA alustab miinuses - tehnoloogiasektor on miinuses, Inteli (INTC, -5%) juhtimisel (Salomon alandas prognoose). Kuigi eilne book-to-bill oli korralik, on täna Inteli uudise võim suurem.
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Tehnoloogiasektor suutis paari päeva tagusest põhjast (QQQ 39.6, Nasdaq 1840, NDX 1470) mitte läbi vajuda. Selle taseme püsimine oleks edasise tõusu seisukohast oluline.
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Ma olin Intelis juba 34 pealt lühike, nüüd vist aeg kinni panna. 29 USD tugev tase, ootan veidi veel, äkki läheb sinna juurde.
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Intel Can't Hold a Candle to Gas Stocks
By James J. Cramer
03/20/2002 11:15 AM EST
On the one hand there is Intel (INTC:), the most talked about, the most written about, the most speculated upon semiconductor company. Hundreds of people examine its every move. Thousands of people speculate on every tick. And the stock has done nothing for two years. This morning's disappointing performance, coming right after yet one more number cut, is typical. The stock, to put it the way they put it at the company when they talk privately, is expensive. Period. That's why it doesn't go up. That, and the fact that it has no momentum.
On the other hand, there are the chemical stocks, particularly the stocks that deal with the basic, boring chemicals and gases. Probably no more than a handful of people still write about these companies. I don't know a soul who is interested in them -- at least on the long side. The number of people focusing on these stocks is minuscule. They are simply not a factor.
And they go up every day. They go up because they are inexpensive and because they are reporting sharply better than expected numbers, including those by Eastman Chemical (EMN:NYSE - news - commentary - research - analysis) and Rohm & Haas (ROH:NYSE - news - commentary - research - analysis) just today. Companies like Air Products (APD:NYSE - news - commentary - research - analysis), Praxair (PX:NYSE - news - commentary - research - analysis) and Airgas (ARG:NYSE - news - commentary - research - analysis), all fine companies, keep going higher and higher and higher. They are all inexpensive. Still. They are terrific earners when the cycle turns good and the cycle is as good as it gets.
I know these companies are as boring as wood -- in fact, wood looks good too. I don't care. If it makes money, it is good. If it doesn't it is bad. That's my metric. Intel's bad. Airgas is good. So's Praxair. So's Air Products.
Period. -
mehed!
te peate vist siis putte ostma kui ma puttidega hapuks olen lainud ja yldse tegema seda mida mina aga kuu aega hiljem :0
hahah :) -
Jah riq, optsioonide ajaväärtus on päris karm asi :-l
Ise olengi seetõttu rohkem shortimas, kuid see nõuab suuremat kapitali. DIA või IBMi shortmine näiteks. Näiteks Inteli short on mul juba ca. 1.5 kuud, put oleks ammu-ammu juba hapuks läinud. -
sa saad ju pohim shortida ka nii et v6tad pooleldi rahas LEAPI.
naiteks jan03 put40 VNLMH=1/3 intci aktsia eest saad .64 deltat
ning aega on 300 päeva. ja päevas kaotad 0.007 senti :)
seega kuu ajaga 30 senti.. (1% intc hinnast)
anoh maitse asi!
mulle ei meeldi see margin call nimelt :p
see oli mul kaua aega meelst lainud et ajavaartuse hukku saad vahendada ITM positsiooniga! -
Õige riq! Mida rohkem rahast väljas (odavam) on optsioon, seda kiiremini sööb ajaväärtus su raha.
Odavate optsioonide ostmine, lootuses teenida protsentuaalselt palju ..... see on väga terav ora. -
Volatiilsus (VXN - Nasdaq 100 ja QQV - QQQ indeksaktsia) on jõudnud jälle rekordiliselt madalatele tasemetele. See on sageli hea märk karudele.
Käive on keskpärane, kuid veidi parem kui eile. -
QQQ ja NDX murdsid tasemed läbi allapoole. Kui sellest madalamal ka sulgutakse on lugu vilets.
