Börsipäev 8. okt - Drugstore (DSCM) BusinessWeeki valik
Kommentaari jätmiseks loo konto või logi sisse
-
Rekordkõrgusele tõusnud naftahind suutiski eile momentumi hävitada, surudes suuremad indeksid allapoole avanemistasemeid. Tänane hommik väga suuri uudiseid endaga kaasa ei too.
- Egiptuses plahvatas pomm, tappes 20-30 turisti ja kohalikku.
- Maailma suurim firma General Electric (GE) avaldab täna hommikul oma tulemused. Ootused suhteliselt madalal.
- Sirius Satellite (SIRI) kasutas viimaste päevade tõusu ära ning teatas $290 mln väärtuses oma aktsiate emiteerimisest.
- BusinessWeek tõi eile õhtul huvitava investeerimisideena ära sellise pisikese firma nagu Drugstore.com (DSCM). Olen ka ise sellest siin foorumites rääkinud. BW pakkus hinnasihiks 12-18 kuu perspektiivis $10, mis on enam kui 2x kõrgem praegusest turuhinnast. LHV Pro all on firma kohta ka üks pikem analüüs (Kolumnid ja analüüsid)
Eile õhtul avaldas oma kvartalitulemused LHV Pro valikusse kuuluv Select Comfort (SCSS). Tulemused tulid oodatust veidi nõrgemad, mis langeb hästi kokku minu varasema soovitusega ostmisega veidi oodata. Midagi katastrofaalset ma ei märganud ning soovitan tänaseid madalamaid tasemeid ostmiseks kasutada.
Futuurid kergelt plussis
-
08:30 Nonfarm payrolls 96K vs 150K consensus
-
Futuurid vajusid selle peale punasesse, enne olid natukene plussis.
-
GE ületaski mõnevõrra ootusi ja aktsia hakkas vaikselt kosuma, kuid payrolls tappis selle tõusu.
General Electric reports in-line; narrows guidance range towards the high end
Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.38 per share, in line with the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.38; revenues rose 14.6% year/year to $38.27 bln vs the $37.88 bln consensus. Company narrows it previous Y04 (Dec) guidance range to EPS of $1.57-1.60 from $1.55-1.60 vs. Reuters Estimates consensus of $1.58. Company sees Y05 EPS growth of 10-15%, approx $1.73-1.84, vs the Reuters consensus of $1.78. -
USD kukkus päris korralikult. EUR/USD 1,2396
-
Gapping Up
DGII +7.5% (guides to upper end of range), GSS +4.9%, KONG +4.8%, APCS +4.3% (revises adjusted EBITDA guidance upwards), IVAN +2.5% (momentum from 25% move yesterday on big volume), ALA +1.8%.... Under $3: MCEL +18.8% (awarded subcontract for DoD work by Concurrent Tech), GNVC +10.8% (bounces from 47% drop yesterday), MBAY +6.7%.
Gapping Down
LIOX -29% (guides Q3 and 2004 below consensus; Piper downgrade), MANH -13.1% (Q3 preliminary results below consensus), KKD -10.3% (SEC investigation), GTI -8.8% (warns, Jefferies downgrade), WGRD -7% (guides below consensus), TUTS -6.7%, SIRI -5.7% (announces $290 mln offering), INCY -5.5% (files shelf registration), UTSI -4.4% (Goldman downgrade), RETK -4.4% (RBC downgrade), HOTT -3.7% (Wachovia downgrade), BIIB -2.2% (says EU may want comparative data on Antegren -- Bloomberg.com; ELN -2% in sympathy), TZOO -2.1%, CMS -1.6% (prices 28.5 mln share offering at $9.10), AMD -0.8% (reports Q3 in-line). -
USA turud avanemas miinuses, kuna septembri tööjõuraport oli oodatust nõrgem - septembris loodi uusi töökohti 96 000, samas kui oodati 150 000, lisaks vaadati allapoole juuli ja augusti numbrid, samas jäi tööpuudus muutumatule 5,4% tasemele.
Uudist tervitati võlakirjaturul, sest see viitab majanduse suhtelisele nõrkusele ning annab võimaluse intressimäärasid hoida madalana. 10- aastase võlakirja intressimäär kukkus 4,17 protsendile. Dollar kaotas euro vastu samuti viimastel päevadel võidetu.
General Electricu (GE) tulemused vastasid ootustele kasumi osas ning üllatas veidi käibe suurusega, aktsia eelturul eilsega samas kohas. Teine oluline kvartaliaruanne avaldati eile õhtul, kui alumiiniumitootja Alcoa (AA) teatas samuti prognooside täitmisest, aktsia eelturul siiski protsendijagu miinuses.
-
Rev Shark:
"It's never the environment; it's never the events of our lives, but the meaning we attach to the events -- how we interpret them -- that shapes who we are today and who we'll become tomorrow."
-- Anthony Robbins
All eyes will be on the jobs report that is due out this morning at 8:30 a.m. EDT. Expectation are that nonfarm payrolls will increase by 150,000 and the unemployment rate will stay at 5.4%. However, there are some very loud whispers that the numbers may be stronger than anticipated. On the other hand, there are some comments that the recent hurricanes may have a negative impact.
I have absolutely no idea how the numbers will turn out; what I do know is that the context in which they are being received is not particularly favorable. The impact of news depends to a great extent not on the facts that are reported but on the environment and context in which they are received. Good news that is highly anticipated will have a far different impact than good news that is completely unexpected.
The big problem for the market right now is that we have a poor context both technically and fundamentally in which to take full advantage of a good jobs report. The chart of the Nasdaq is a particularly good example of the technical problems. The Nasdaq has been in a solid downtrend since January. Over the past two months we have made a big move off the August low. The move has left us extended and without a good base of support right at the time the downtrend line is coming into play.
The problem is that the recent technical strength has already anticipated a good jobs report to some degree. If we had not moved so sharply upward in the last couple months the potential for good news to move the mark higher would be much better.
The jobs report must also contend with some fundamental events such as stubbornly high crude oil prices. The market has actually done a nice job of shrugging this off over the past couple months but there are no signs of topping out and the longer prices stay high the more likely it is that it will take a toll on the economy. The jobs reports can't fully offset that sort of problem.
The other context we need to consider is the upcoming earnings season. The jobs report will be forgotten quickly as earnings roll in. Some earnings or guidance surprises can easily overshadow employment news, which is backward-looking.
The jobs report has a hostile environment to deal with and it is going to take something quite spectacular if that report alone will improve the market picture.
The early indications are mixed as we wait for the jobs report. General Electric (GE:NYSE) had an OK earnings report but there is no major excitement there. There isn't much else of consequence at the moment. I'll be back after we see the jobs report.
Gary B. Smith:
-
re: Bettie sissejuhatav kanne:
ma lugesin esimese hooga, et Egiptuse pomm tappis 20-30 juristi. ;) -
Eiei, surma said siiski inimesed :)
sB -
chatti!
-
sossii tina, ma ütlen, aga seda chatti ilma lhv toeta käima ei saa. on pakutud variante, et pikkige uudismootor sinna vahele, kutsuge külalisi, jagage saiu, pange börsivälisel ajal mälumängu mootor sisse börsi teemast, jagage oma kauplemiideid onlines, jne..
või mis on lhv seisukoht chati suhtes? -
http://www.download.support.safetec.net/msjavx86/ äkki see abiks
-
Abesiki, eks ole reede õhtu ka ...
aga miks mitte järgmine nädal korraldada seal straddle teemaline chat. Võtan plaani. -
Turg pakub "üllatusi" küll. Kuigi minu Traderi üks lehekülg on üksluiselt punane leidub siiski ka üks sinine rida - LHV lühikeseksmüügikandidaat GBBK. Loodan, et selle väljaütlemisega midagi ei reeda - tänase päeva stop 30.25 peaks käiku minema. Sellisel sügaval karuturul...
