Börsipäev 12. detsember
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USA aktsiaturud alustasid eilset päeva tugevalt, kuid päeva teises pooles andsid suurema osa võidust käest. S&P 500 sulgus 0,5% kõrgemal, olles päevasiseselt kaubelnud ka 1,5% plussis. Euroopas oli muster teistsugune, kui päeva keskel kauples Stoxx 600 0,8% miinuses, kuid päeva lõpus toimus taastumine ning indeks sulgus muutumatul tasemel. Kreeka aktsiaturg oli taaskord surve all, langedes 7,3%.
USA sessioonil valmistas positiivse üllatuse novembrikuu jaemüük, mis kasvas võrreldes eelneva kuuga 0,7% ning võrreldes eelmise aastaga 5,1% (antud numbrites pole hinnamuutust arvesse võetud). Kokku kulutasid tarbijad kuuga $449,3 miljardit. Kõige tugevamat kasvu on käesoleva aasta 11 kuuga näidanud automüük (+7,8% yoy) ning ravimite müük (+5,9%). Suurim kukkumine on tulnud bensiinijaamade müügis, kus tulud on langenud 1,6%, mis ilmselt on tulenenud kütusehinna langusest. Nafta hind jätkas eile langust ja seda just sessiooni lõpul. USA toornafta langes 1,6%, sulgudes $60/barrelist, kuid täna hommikul on hind langenud $59,3 peale. Brent nafta langes samuti 1,6% ning kaupleb hetkel $63,4/barrelist.
Eile tõstis Venemaa keskpank intressimäärasid protsendipunkti võrra 10,5% peale, kuid antud samm ei suutnud rubla langust pidurdada. Hoopis vastupidiselt nõrgenes valuuta euro ja dollari suhtes rekordmadalatele tasemetele, kui EUR/RUB kauples 69,4 juures ning USD/RUB 56,6 tasemel.
Täna avaldatakse veel Euroopast tarbijahinnaindeksite muutust novembris ning euroala tööstustoodangu muutus. USA sessioonil saame teada tootjahinnaindeksite muutuse ning Michigani tarbijasentimendi indeksi.
10.00 Hispaania tarbijahinnaindeks (november)
11.00 Itaalia tarbijahinnaindeks (november)
12.00 Euroala tööstustoodangu muutus (oktoober)
15.30 USA tootjahinnaindeks (november)
16.55 Michigani tarbijasentimendi indeks (detsember, esialgne)
Euroopa aktsiaindeksite futuurid on kauplemas ca 0,2% miinuses ning USA futuurid on 0,4% punases. -
Hispaania tarbijahinnaindeksi aastane muutus oli novembris võrreldes oktoobriga -0,1% ning aastatagusega võrreldes -0,4%. Mõlemad näitajad vastasid ka prognoosidele.
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Rahvusvaheline Energiaagentuur (IEA) langetas 2015. aasta globaalset naftanõudluse prognoosi:
IEA cut the outlook for 2015 global oil demand growth by 230 000 barrels per day to 0.9 million barrels per day on lower expectations for the Former Soviet Union and other oil‐exporting countries.
Demand is now seen reaching 93.3 mb/d next year, from 92.4 mb/d in 2014. Global production fell by 340 kb/d in November to 94.1 mb/d on lower OPEC supplies.
WTI kaupleb -1,3% madalamal @ $59,17 barrelist
Brent kaupleb -0,8% madalamal @ $63,15 barrelist -
Itaalia novembrikuu inflatsioon võrreldes eelneva kuuga oli -0,2% ning võrreldes 2013. aasta novembriga tõusid hinnad 0,2%. Hinnatõus tulenes peamiselt töötlemata toidukaupade 0,8%-lisest hindade kasvust ning vastukaaluks langesid energiahinnad 3,1% yoy. Ilma toitu ja energiat arvestamata oli niinimetatud tuuminflatsiooniks 0,5%. Kaupade hinnad langesid 0,4% ning teenuste hinnad tõusid 0,5%.
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USA tootjahinnad oodatust madalamad:
November PPI M/M -0.2% vs -0.1% Briefing.com consensus
November Core PPI M/M 0.0% vs +0.1% Briefing.com consensus -
Bloombergi analüütikute graafiline juturaamat sellest, kuidas USA on sõltuvust naftast aja jooksul vähendanud.
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Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: ADBE +5.9%, EMKR +5.7%, ( names Jeffrey Rittichier CEO), HGSH +1.3%
M&A news: TLM +10.6% (attributed to reports suggesting Repsol (REPYY) bid )
Select airline names showing strength: UAL +1.6%, AAL +1.2%, GOL +0.9%, LUV +0.8%
Other news: CCXI +115.1% (announced positive top-line 52-week data from its Phase II clinical trial in diabetic nephropathy with CCX140), WTSL +80.1% (still checking; light volume), FRO +30.7% (cont strength), ONTY +14% (positive ONT-380 Data; Phase 1 data demonstrate preliminary clinical activity; also announced that Array BioPharma (ARRY) has granted Oncothyreon an exclusive license to develop, manufacture and commercialize ONT-380), NBG +5.6% (modest rebound following weakness this week), AHC +4.9% (announced special cash dividend of $2.25 per share), DENN +3.8% (favorable commentary on Thursday's Mad Money), FCEL +3.1% (announces final acceptance of largest fuel cell power plant made and operating in Germany), SSRI +2% (expands mineral resources at marigold with higher gold grade mineralization), NCLH +1.8% (following late move lower on cruiseship fire news), SEAS +1.3% (announced that David D'Allesandro was named interim CEO; also announced a restructuring program across its entire 11-park enterprise), PPHM +1.3% (announces preclinical data from recently conducted single agent studies; statistically significant tumor growth suppression with single agent Bavituximab equivalent), FTR +1.2% (co's Board approved a 5% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.105 from $0.10 per share), FCE.A +1.1% (Signature Global Asset Management discloses 5.16% passive stake in 13G filing)
Analyst comments: GPRO +4.3% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan), DAL +1.4% (target raised to $60 from $48, maintain Buy at Deutsche Bank)
Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: SOFO -3.2%, NUS -2.9%, SHW -1.8%, UTX -1.5%, ZQK -1.4%, NDSN -0.6%
Select Chinese related stocks trading lower: JMEI -2.9%, JD -1.2%, ZNH -1.2%, YUM -1.2%.
Select oil/gas related names showing early weakness: LINE -4.4%, PVA -3.7%, MRO -2.6%, RDS.A -1.2%, SLB -0.9%, SDRL -0.8%, OAS -0.8%
Other news: EOX -10.2% (announced appointment of Mike Dickinson to the position of COO; reduced Q4 average production guidance to 3,300 BOEPD; lowered FY15 production and CapEx guidance), SNTA -4.6% (announces preliminary results from an investigator-sponsored phase 1 trial; plans to further evaluate ganetespib in combination with trastuzumab and pertuzumab for HER2+ MBC), VOD -2% (still checking), WIN -1.9% (announced that Bob Gunderman has been named chief financial officer for the company, effective immediately; also unfavorable commentary on Thursday's Mad Money), AKR -1.8% (announces sale of 3.4 million common shares), PVG -1.8% (announced a non-brokered private placement of ~12.8 mln shares), CPLP -1.7% (announed that it has secured time charter employment for the M/T 'Aias' and M/T 'Arionas'), ALU -1.7% (still checking), SKYW -1.3% (reported combined November 2014 traffic For SkyWest Airlines and ExpressJet Airlines; 3.7% decrease in revenue passenger miles, available seat miles decreased 4.0%), ARMK -1.3% (prices 30 mln shares of common stock sold by certain stockholders at $28.00 per share), ACT -1.2% (confirms District Court ruling to require continued distribution of NAMENDA IR), TSLA -0.9% (China exec may leave the company, according to reports)
Analyst comments: GDP -7.7% (downgraded to Underweight from Overweight at JP Morgan), BBEP -3.1% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Wunderlich), VMW -2.1% (resumed with a Underweight from Overweight at Piper Jaffray; tgt lowered to $69 from $111), ZAYO -1.9% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BTIG Research), HOV -1.9% (downgraded to at ), MR -1.7% (downgraded to Underweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley), MS -1.1% (also announced a restructuring program across its entire 11-park enterprise), COST -1.1% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Janney)
Allikas: Briefing.com -
Tundu, et nafta põhja veel niipea ei näe. Varasemalt oli OPEC rahul 60 dollarise naftahinnaga, mis näis niigi madal tase olevat, kuid viimaste kommentaaride kohaselt ollakse turuosa nimel valmis taluma isegi 40 dollarit maksvat barreli hinda.
Bloomberg: U.A.E. Sees OPEC Output Unchanged Even If Oil Falls to $40
Reuters: OPEC chief defends policy, says group to try to ride out price fall
