Börsipäev 26. jaanuar
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Kaks päeva rohelist värvi nautinud aktsiaturud võtsid eile suuna taas allapoole, kui S&P 500 indeks libises sessiooni viimaste tundide müügisurve tõttu -1,6% kaotuseni. Euroopas lõpetas Stoxx 600 indeks finantssektori eestvedamisel -0,6% mädamal. Nädalaid kestnud müügisurve on jätnud selge jälje ostjate kindlustundele, kellele on raske näidata hambaid, kui nafta jätkab langust (WTI eile -5,8%) ning majandusuudised tekitavad väljavaate suhtes küsimärke.
Saksamaa ettevõtete küsitluse kohaselt on aasta algus toonud majanduses marginaalseid muutusi, kui jooksva olukorra hinnangut kajastav indeks alanes detsembriga võrreldes vaid 0,3 punkti 112,5 punktile, kuid pilvisemaks on muutunud järgnevate kuude väljavaade. Ootuste indeks langes 104,6 punkti pealt 102,4 punktile (oodati 104,1), jõudes sellega tagasi augusti tasemele.
Ühendriikides oli ainsaks makrouudiseks Dallase töötleva tööstuse aktiivsusindeks, mis ei toonud häid sõnumeid. Küsitluse kohaselt kukkus üldist ärikliimat mõõtev indeks jaanuaris -21,6 punkti pealt -34,6 punkti peale (madalaim alates 2009.a), vastupidiselt analüütikute oodatud paranemisele -14,5 punktile. Arvestades Texase tugevat seotust nafta- ja gaasitööstusega, tunnevad naftahinna languse mõju ka paljud muud tööstusharud, mis on energiatööstusega seotud. Lisaks tõid eksportivad ettevõtted negatiivse tegurina välja tugevnenud dollarit. Märkimisväärselt tulid allapoole ka firmade ootused tuleviku äritingimuste suhtes, kukkudes indeksi näol 22 punkti -24 punkti peale.
Wall Streeti negatiivne sentiment ning musta kulla odavnemine laastasid meeleolu ka Aasias, kus Shanghai Composite kauples kirjutamise hetkel -6,3% madalamal ning Jaapani Nikkei taandus -2,4%.
Pöörates pilgud tänasele börsipäevale, siis olulisemaid majandusuudiseid laekub vaid Ühendriikidest, kus selgub teenindussektori jaanuarikuu aktiivsusindeks, tarbijate kindlustunde indeks ning Richmond FEDi töötleva tööstuse küsitluse tulemus. Ettevõtetest avaldavad oma majandustulemused enne USA turgude avanemist teiste seas DuPont, Johnson & Johnson, Lockheed Martin, Philips, Procter & Gamble, Sprint. Järelkauplemise ajal raporteerivad Apple, AT&T.
16.00 USA Case-Shilleri majade hinnaindeksi muutus (november)
16.45 USA Markiti koostatud teenindussektori PMI (jaanuar)
17.00 USA tarbijate kindlustunde indeks (jaanuar)
17.00 USA Richmond FEDi töötleva tööstuse küsitlus (jaanuar) -
OPEC otsib koostööd teiste tootjatega, et juhtida nafta hinda taas ülespoole ning aidata vältida kaugemas tulevikus pakkumise šokki.
Opec pleads for Russian alliance to smash oil speculators
Mr al-Badri said the world needs an investment blitz of $10 trillion to replace depleting oil fields and to meet extra demand of 17m barrels per day (b/d) by 2040, yet projects are being shelved at an alarming rate. A study by IHS found that investment for the years from 2015 to 2020 has been slashed by $1.8 trillion, compared to what was planned in 2014.
Mr al-Badri warned that the current glut is setting the stage for a future supply shock, with prices lurching from one extreme to another in a deranged market that is in the interests of nobody but speculators. "It is vital that the market addresses the stock overhang,” he said. -
Ei ole kindel, kas need on Iraagi naftaministri kommentaarid, mis mõjuvad, kuid nafta on järsult üles liikunud vaid -0,7% kaotuseni (koos sellega ka USA aktsiaindeksite futuurid)
IRAQ NEEDS FISCAL OIL PRICE OF $45/BBL IN 2016: IRAQ MINISTER
IRAQ OIL MINISTER SAYS DIDN'T EXPECT PRICES TO DROP TO $30/BBL
IRAQ OIL MINISTER SAYS OIL PRICE FORECAST BECOMING DIFFICULT
OIL PRICES MAY TAKE 5 YEARS TO STABILIZE: IRAQ OIL MINISTER
IRAQ OIL MINISTER SAYS MUST BE BOTTOM FOR OIL PRICE
OIL PRICES MAY RISE TO $50/BBL IN 2H: IRAQ OIL MINISTER
IRAQ OIL MINISTER: HIGH-COST PRODUCERS ARE STILL VERY RESILIENT
IRAQ OIL MINISTER: MANY PRODUCERS ARE SELLING OIL AT LOSS
OPEC COUNTRIES STILL PRODUCING AT SAME RATES: IRAQ MINISTER
MANY OPEC PRODUCERS CAN PUMP WITH OIL AT $20/BBL: IRAQ MINISTER
SAUDI ARABIA MORE FLEXIBLE NOW ON MAKING OIL CUTS: IRAQ -
Vihale aetud Iraan saadab nende ponnistused kukele ja toodab kuis jaksab. Päris huvitav olukord.
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Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: CR -4.3%, PKG -1.4%, LMT -0.7%, MNRO -0.5%
Select China related names showing weakness after Shanghai -6% overnight: CEO -2.4%, VNET -1.8%, EDU -1.4%, SFUN -1%, JD -0.9%, YY -0.9%, BIDU -0.5%
Other news: EVEP -5.7% (announces reduction of quarterly cash distribution to $0.075 per unit, down from $0.50 in the prior quarter), ROYT -4.5% (announced there will be no cash distribution to the holders of its units for February), GLPG -4.2% (reports Phase 2a study of GLPG1205 results; primary endpoints not met; will discontinue clinical development in UC), CDI -2.6% (approves $20 mln buy back; eliminates quarterly dividend), CNC -1.9% (reported internal search of information technology assets), DDD -1.1% (likely in sympathy with SSYS dg)
Analyst comments: SSYS -3.7% (downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan), USG -2.8% (downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse), PSA -1% (downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays)
Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: S +13.5%, COH +8.4%, SANM +8%, PHG +6.1%, RMBS +5.7%, (also announced has acquired Smart Card Software for £64.7M in cash), SWFT +5.3%, FCX +5.3%, PH +2.8%, HTLF +2.7%, STLD +2.3%, IIVI +2.1%, MMM +1.8%, PRK +1.4%, DHR +1.3%, PG +1.2%, AUDC +1%, PCH +0.7%, JNJ +0.5%
M&A news: FMER +25.6% (to be acquired by Huntington Bancshares (HBAN)), AIG +1.2% (to sell AIG Advisor Group to Lightyear Capital and PSP Investments)
Select metals/mining stocks trading higher: AU +7.3%, GFI +6.2%, AG +4.1%, IAG +3.9%, MT +3.1%, HMY +2.2%, GOLD +2%, RIO +1.5%, ABX +1.3%, GDX +1.1%
Select oil/gas related names showing strength: STO +3.3%, SDRL +2.7%, RIG +2.5%, TOT +2.4%, RDS.A +1.7%, CHK +1.7%, BP +1.3%, COP +0.8%
Other news: RLYP +10.1% (reported results from Phase 1 in vivo studies evaluating potential drug-drug interactions between Veltassa and 12 drugs), PETX +9.1% (filed an administrative New Animal Drug Application with the FDA's Center for Veterinary Medicine for Galliprant for the control of pain and inflammation in dogs with osteoarthritis), SDLP +8.8% (affirms reduced quarterly distribution of $0.25/unit ), SUNE +2.6% (Greenlight Capital discloses increased 7.8% active stake, details recent discussions with representatives of the Board), SCTY +2.3% (closes a $160 million five-year term facility; will provide additional financing for approximately 195 MW), LULU +1.9% (Lone Pine Capital discloses 5.0% passive stake), GSK +1.8% (still checking), PCP +1.6% (Berkshire Hathaway and Precision Castparts (PCP) expect acquisition of PCP by Berkshire to close on Friday, Jan 29 ), JKS +1.1% (entered into an agreement to supply up to one gigawatt of solar PV modules to sPower)
Analyst comments: HIG +1% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Atlantic Equities)
Briefing.com -
USA teenindussektori jaoks algas aasta aktiivsuse aeglustumisega madalaimale tasemele 2014.a detsembrist
USD Markit US Services PMI (JAN P): 53.7 actual vs 54.0 estimate, 54.3 prior.
“The data are by no means disastrous, signalling a 1.5% annualised rate of economic growth at the start of the year, but the drop in business confidence to one of its lowest levels for over five years suggests that firms are bracing themselves for worse to come. Worries about financial market volatility, the impact of slower growth overseas, a downturn in the energy sector and uncertainty about higher interest rates all took their toll and set the scene for further weakness in coming months.” -
USA tarbijaid pole finantsturgude volatiilsus mõjutanud
USD Consumer Confidence (JAN): 98.1 actual vs 96.5 estimate, 96.5 prior
