Börsipäev 24. veebruar
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Aktsiaturud astusid eile sammu tagasi (S&P 500 -1,3%, Stoxx 600 -1,2%), seedides oodatust pehmemaid ettevõtete ning tarbijate kindlustunde küsitlusi ning toornafta hinna langust. Musta kulla tootmismahtude võimaliku kärpimise osas tõid turu ootusi allapoole nii Iraani naftaminister, kes hindas isegi mahtude külmutamist jaanuarikuu tasemel naeruväärseks, kui ka Saudi Araabia naftaminister, kes luges eelmise nädala kokkulepet positiivseks arenguks, kuid välistas seejuures tootmismahtude vähendamise võimaluse.
FEDi asepresident Stanley Fischer nentis oma kõnes, et kui turgude volatiilsus peaks jäädavalt finantstingimusi karmistama, võib see viidata globaalse majanduskasvu aeglustumisele, mis võib omakorda aeglustada USA SKPd ja inflatsiooni. Praegu on liiga vara teha lõplikke järeldusi, tuues välja, et sarnased volatiilsed perioodid viimastel aastatel (2011) üldiselt olulist mõju USA majandusele ei avaldanud.
Tänase börsipäeva jooksul selguvad Prantsusmaa tarbijate kindlustunde indeks ning USA teenindussektori aktiivsusindeks ja uute majade müük.
09.45 Prantsusmaa tarbijate kindlustunde indeks (veebruar)
11.00 Itaalia tööstussektori müük ja tellimused (detsember)
11.00 Norra töötuse määr (detsember)
15.00 FEDi Lacker esineb kõnega
16.45 USA Markiti koostatud teenindussektori PMI (veebruar)
17.00 USA uute majade müük (jaanuar)
19.00 Prantsusmaa töötute arvu muutus (jaanuar) -
Prantsusmaa tarbijate kindlustunde indeks kujunes veebruaris oodatust nõrgemaks
FRANCE FEB CONSUMER CONFIDENCE: 95 V 97 IN JANUARY AND 97 EXPECTED -
WEIDMANN SAYS DANGEROUS TO IGNORE LONG-TERM RISKS OF ECB POLICY
WEIDMANN: ECONOMIC OUTLOOK DARKER THAN A FEW WEEKS AGO
WEIDMANN SAYS BURDEN FOR BANKS RISES THE LONGER RATES STAY LOW
WEIDMANN: POSSIBLE EURO-AREA INF MAY GO BELOW ZERO EARLY 2016 -
Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: NYMT -19.7%, SM -14.6%, CAR -14.3%, DY -9.3%, SLCA -6.4%, PLKI -6%, TTPH -5.2%, CHK -4.1%, LOW -2.9%, GIL -2.8%, WBAI -2.3%, EHTH -2.2%, ENPH -2.1%, TSEM -2.1%, MATX -1.4%, HFC -1.3%, TGT -1.3%, ARCC -1.2%, HLS -1%, SBGI -1%, PZZA -0.9%, KRA -0.9%, SSTK -0.9%
Select EU financials showing weakness: SAN -3.3%, DB -2.6%, HSBC -2.4%, RBS -2.4%, CS -2.2%
Select BHP/Vale peers trading lower: RIO -8.4%, FCX -6.2%, MT -3.9%, X -3.6%, CLF -3.3%, AA -2.8%
Select oil/gas related names showing early weakness: SDRL -5.8%, PBR -4.8%, STO -4.4%, SSL -3.1%, MRO -3%, RDS.A -2.6%, BP -2.4%, KMI -2.4%, CRR -2.2%, DVN -2.2%, TOT -1.6%
Other news: ASTI -32.1% (to be de-listed from the NASDAQ; will commence trading on the OTCQB effective Feb 25), BHP -9.1% (BHP Billiton/Vale lower in early trade after Brazilian police charged various Samarco (BHP/Vale's JV) executives with homicide in relation to last year's dam spill), RIG -7% (receives notice of early termination from Esso Exploration Angola for the semisubmersible GSF Development Driller I ), TCK -5.5% (Executive Vice President and COO to retire effective April 30, 2016; Moody's downgrades Teck's ratings to B3; outlook remains negative), VALE -5.5% (BHP Billiton/Vale lower in early trade after Brazilian police charged various Samarco (BHP/Vale's JV) executives with homicide in relation to last year's dam spill), PTCT -4.1% (cont weakness), RACE -4% (cont volatility pre-mkt), BRG -3.5% (terminated continuous offering to sell up to 150,000 units), CPE -3.4% (Point72 disclosed 5.1% passive stake), VRX -2.6% (following Moody's revision of outlook to negative), TSLA -2.1% (likely trading lower with futures down in pre-mkt), TWTR -1.9% (pulling back modestly following recent strength)
Analyst comments: F -3% (downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse), IHG -2.4% (downgraded to Hold at Kepler), VOYA -2.2% (removed from Conviction Buy List at Goldman), RDUS -1.8% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies), M -1.7% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel)
Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: GSS +25.5%, ETSY +11.6%, DWA +8.2%, XXIA +8%, HCKT +6.6%, CRK +4.9%, EXAS +4.5%, JAZZ +4.2%, UCTT +4.2%, JBT +4.2%, JBT +4.2%, RUBI +3.5%, BNFT +3%, MEMP +2.6%, WBMD +2.4%, FSLR +2.4%, VER +2.4%, MRD +1.9%, AES +1.8%, DIN +1.8%, NRZ +1.1%, MBLY +0.9%, EIX +0.8%, SF +0.5%, SCL +0.5%
M&A News: RP +5.6%, (to acquire NWP Services Corp for ~$68 million in cash, also reported earnings)
Select metals/mining stocks trading higher: HMY +3.9%, ABX +3%, GG +2.9%, RGLD +2.8%, PAAS +2.7%, AUY +2.6%, AG +2.3%, GDX +2.2%, SLW +2%, NEM +2%, CDE +2%, GLD +1%
Other news: CERE +21% (announces favorable results from 2015 sorghum trait evaluations in the US), CHGG +17.9% (favorable commentary on Tuesday's Mad Money), DGLY +3.5% (Hudson Bay Capital disclosed 9.99% passive stake), QIWI +2.3% (still checking)
Analyst comments: N/A
Briefing.com -
Selged jahenemise märgid ka USA teenindussektoris ning uute tellimuste kasvu aeglustumist arvestades lähitulevik tõenäoliselt midagi rõõmustavat ei too
US Markit Services PMI Feb P: 49.8 (est 53.5; prev 53.2)
New business growth moderated for the third month running in February. Moreover, the latest upturn in new work was one of the slowest since the survey began in late-2009. Service providers noted that some clients were more reluctant to commit to new projects, in part reflecting uncertainty about the economic outlook. This in turn led to the fastest
reduction in backlogs of work since April 2014. Looking ahead, service providers remain optimistic
about the outlook for business activity over the next 12 months. However, latest data indicated that the degree of confidence dropped since January and was the lowest recorded for five-and-a-half years. -
USA uute majade müük kahanes MoM oodatust kaks korda rohkem jaanuaris
US New Home Sales Jan: 494K (est 520K; prev 544K)
US New Home Sales (MoM) Jan: -9.20% (est -4.40%; rev prev 8.20%)
Median new home sale price down 4.5% Y/Y -
USA toornafta varud suurenesid eelmisel nädalal oodatust rohkem, bensiini ja destillaatide langus annab aga nõudluse kohta positivseid signaale
US DoE Crude Oil Inventories (Feb 19): 3502K (est 3250K, prev 2147K)
US DoE Gasoline Inventories (Feb 19): -2236K (est -1000K, prev 3036K)
US DoE Distillate Inventories (Feb 19): -1660K (est -1150K, prev 1399K)
