Börsipäev 21. juuni
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Nädalavahetusel avaldatud küsitluste kohaselt Euroopa Liitu jäämist pooldavate brittide osakaalu kasv andis globaalsetel aktsiaturgudel pullidele vajaliku katalüsaatori haarata sentiment vahelduseks taas enda kätte. Ühendriikide sessioon algas samuti väga tugeva tõusuga, kuid elevus kustus päeva lõpuks, mil S&P 500 üle protsendisest rallist oli järele jäänud 0,6%. Viimastel nädalatel suurema müügisurve all olnud Euroopa börsid lõpetasid päeva Stoxx 600 indeksi näol 3,7% plusspoolel.
Esmaspäeva õhtul avalikustatud värskemad küsitlused maalisid üsna erineva pildi, näidates kuivõrd lahtine on endiselt lõpptulemus. Telegraphi küsitluses eelistas ELi jääda 53% ning lahkuda 46% vastajatest, mis märgib olulist muutust võrreldes eelneva nädalaga, mil 49%ga oli eesotsas lahkujate partei (liitu jäärmist pooldas 48%). YouGovi online küsitlust juhtisid aga kahe protsendipunktilise edumaaga lahkujad (44%)
Tänase börsipäeva jooksul selgub, mida arvab Saksamaa riigikohus Euroopa Keskpanga OMT programmist. Ehkki 2012.a avalikustatud vahendit pole keskpank pidanud veel kordagi kasutama ning Euroopa Liidu kohus hindas seda seaduslikuks, läheb sakslaste otsus siiski korda juhul kui Euroopas peaks aset leidma järjekordne võlakriis ning keskpank on sunnitud finantspinge leevendamiseks valitsuste võlakirju piiramatus koguses kokku ostma. Õhtupoole annab Senati ees majandusest ja rahapoliitikast ülevaate Janet Yellen, kes ei tohiks turgude jaoks midagi üllatavat pakkuda. Majandusnäitajatest avaldatakse Saksamaa investorite ja analüütikute juunikuu kindlustunde indeksid.
11.00 Saksamaa riigikohus langetab otsuse EKP OMT programmi suhtes
12.00 Saksamaa investorite ja analüütikute kindlustunde indeksid (juuni)
16.00 Mario Draghi esineb Euroopa Parlamendis
17.00 Janet Yelleni esinemine Senati ees -
BofA sõnul näitab nende tehniline indikaator, et globaalne aktsiaturg võib järgmise aasta jooksul tõusta 14%
• Equity markets may be on course for a rally as a Bank of America indicator signals a trough.
• The firm’s “Global Wave”indicator is based on earnings, industrial confidence, credit spreads among other data
• MSCI ACWI averages a 14.1% gain in the 12 months after “Global Wave” troughs, history suggests, BofA writes in note
• Emerging markets seen as best performers
• Technology, diversified financials, materials, autos and energy stocks to deliver best returns
• Value, growth, risk, momentum and small caps seen as best selections
• Cyclical regions and industries tend to outperform
• Risks include Brexit, no earnings recovery -
ka sakslased andsid rohelise tule
ECB’S OMT BOND-BUYING PROGRAM CLEARED BY GERMAN TOP COURT
GERMAN COURT BACKS OMT PROGRAM WITH CAVEATS
GERMAN COURT SAYS BUNDESBANK MAY TAKE PART IN OMT IF VOLUME OF BUYS LIMITED AND PURCHASES ARE NOT ANNOUNCED IN ADVANCE -
Saksamaa investoreid ja analüütikuid pole Briti referendum kõigutanud
German ZEW Survey Current Situation Jun: 54.5 (est 53.0; prev 53.1)
German ZEW Survey Expectations Jun: 19.2 (est 4.8; prev 6.4) -
Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: LEN +3.7%
M&A news: ASEI +12.6% (to be acquired by OSI Systems (OSIS) for $37.00/share in cash, or ~$269 mln), NSR +4.1% (announces intention to separate into two independent and publicly traded companies)
Select EU financial related names showing strength: SAN +2.5%, BCS +2.4%, PUK +2.2%, DB +2%, ING +2%, RBS +1.9%, LYG +1.5%, CS +1.4%
Other news: CDXC +9.2% (responds to recent report of short sellers; co exploring options in response to 'attack' ), OPK +7.8% (confirms FDA approval for RAYALDEE; U.S. launch planned for H2 of 2016), IMPV +7.7% (Elliott Associates disclosed a 9.8% active stake, confirming reports it has acquired a position. Elliott said it has initiated dialogue with management and the Board on ways to increase shareholder value), RDHL +6.8% (positive final results with primary and secondary endpoints met in phase 1 study with Yeliva in advanced solid tumors), CYRN +6.1% (Thomson Reuters (TRI) announced a strategic partnership with CYREN (CYRN).g), GWPH +3.5% (selects infantile spasms as the fourth target indication for its Epidiolex orphan pediatric epilepsy development program), MITK +3.3% (issued patent by the USPTO for its unique system for processing and extracting content from the image of a driver license captured using a mobile device), UAL +3.1% (Outlines value-driving initiatives), KBH +2.8% (in sympathy with LEN), GBT +2% (prices upsized offering of 6.4 mln shares of its common stock at $18.75/share), GEVO +1.8% (Intracoastal Capital discloses 3.1% passive stake)
Analyst comments: RUN +1.8% (initiated with an Outperform at Oppenheimer), ERIC +1.7% (upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman), MRO +1% (upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley)
Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: WERN -11.4%, KMX -3.5%, CP -2.4%
Select metals/mining stocks trading lower: HMY -5.8%, SBGL -3.4%, GFI -3.3%, AG -3.1%, PAAS -3.1%, KGC -2.5%, ABX -2.4%, SLW -2.3%, NEM -2.1%, GDX -1.9%, AUY -1.9%, GOLD -1.9%, GLD -1.2%
Other news: OIBR -76.7% (requests judicial reorganization after debt agreement talks with creditors breaks down), SCYX -12.8% (announces launch of public offering of common stock and warrants), SWFT -6.6% (in sympathy with WERN), CSAL -4.7% (announces the pricing of a secondary offering of ~14.7 mln shares of common stock by selling shareholders on behalf of Windstream (WIN) at $26.01/share), PLNT -4.7% (announces a 10 mln share class A common stock offering by selling stockholders), PRTK -3.8% (commences underwritten public offering of 3.75 mln shares of its common stock), HTLD -2.5% (in sympathy with WERN)
Analyst comments: USAC -5.1% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman), STO -0.8% (downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank)
Briefing.com -
Yelleni kõnest suurt kindlustunnet ei õhku, et USA majandus võiks edasi liikuda hoogsamas tempos
GLOBAL ECONOMY STILL VULNERABLE, CHINA FACES CHALLENGES;
FED TO ASSESS `WHETHER' GROWTH, JOBS, INFLATION TO GAIN
FED: STOCKS' FORWARD P/E RATIOS WELL ABOVE THREE-DECADE MEDIAN
