Börsipäev 28. juuni
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Brexiti mõjud andsid pärast nädalavahetust turgudel ka uue nädala alguses tunda, kui määramatust edasise tegevuskava ning majanduslike mõjude suhtes on endiselt palju. Sellest tulenevalt langetas reitinguagentuur S&P UK krediidireitingu kahe pügala võrra AAA pealt AA peale ning ka Fitch langetas reitingut pügala võrra. Mõlemad reitingud on negatiivse väljavaatega. Stoxx Europe 600 indeks langes UK finantsettevõtete vedamisel 4,1%. Indeks on kolme päevaga kaotanud ligi 10% väärtusest.
USA aktsiaturud seisid samuti silmitsi kaotustega, kui S&P 500 sulgus 1,8% madalamal. Sarnaselt Euroopaga olid ka seal languse veduriteks finantssektori aktsiad, kuid oma osa oli mängida ka nafta hinna langusel, mis sulgus 2,4% miinuses ehk $46,5/barrel tasemel. See tõmbas omakorda endaga kaasa toormete ja energeetikasektoriga seotud ettevõtete aktsiad. Nafta hinna languse taga nähakse viimasel kahel sessioonil märkimisväärselt tugevnenud dollarit. USA 10-aastase võlakirja tulusus langes viimase nelja aasta madalaimale tasemele 1,46% peale.
Hispaania aktsiaturg kerkis eile hommikul 3,4%, lõpetades päeva siiski 1,8% miinuses. Ametisoleva peaministri Mariano Rajoy partei võitis Hispaania üldvalimised, hõivates 350-kohalises parlamendis 137 kohta detsembris saadud 123 koha asemel. Teiseks jäänud sotsialistid peavad uues koosseisus leppima 5 võrra väiksema kohtade arvuga ehk 85 kohaga. Vasakpoolne populistlik erakond Podemos sai 71 saadikukohta ehk sama, mis eelmises parlamendiski. Ekspertide sõnul oli pühapäevastel valimistel näha ilmselgeid Brexiti mõjusid, sest kodanikud eelistasid majanduslikku ja poliitilist stabiilsust lubanud Rajoy Rahvaparteid. See tähendab, et valijate seas leidis mõne päevaga aset oluline meelemuutus, sest viimased küsitlused enne valimisi näitasid, et Podemos saab 93 kohta.
Tänase makrokalendri raskuskese on pigem kaldu USA poole, kui avaldatakse esimese kvartali SKP lõplik näitaja, USA majade hinnaindeks ning tarbijausaldusindeks.
9:00 Saksamaa impordi hinnaindeks (mai)
9:45 Prantsusmaa tarbijausaldusindeks (juuni)
10:00 Hispaania jaemüük (mai)
11:00 Itaalia ettevõtete ja tarbijate kindlustunde indeks (juuni)
15:30 USA esimese kvartali SKP (teine revideerimine, lõplik näit)
16:00 S&P/Case-Shiller majade hinnaindeks (aprill)
17:00 USA tarbijausaldusindeks (juuni) -
Saksamaa impordihinnad langesid mais aastatagusega võrreldes 5,5%. Ilma toornaftat ja mineraalõlisid arvestamta langesid impordihinnad 3,5%. Ekspordihinnad kahanesid eelmise aasta maikuuga võrrelduna 1,6%.
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Fedi futuurid on pärast Brexitit hindamas intressimäära langetamise tõenäosuseks septembri koosolekul ca 20% ning intresside tõusu praegustelt tasemetelt nähakse alles 2018. aasta kohtumistel.
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Prantsusmaa tarbijate kindlustunde indeks langes juunis eelneva kuu 98 punkti pealt 97 punktini, mis vastas ka analüütikute ootustele.
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Hispaania jaemüügi kasv oli mais võrreldes aastatagusega 2,8%, mis on nõrgem kasvutempo võrreldes aprilli 6,4%-ga.
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USA esimese kvartali lõplik SKP kasv oodatust pisut parem:
Q1 GDP- Third Estimate +1.1% vs +1.0% Briefing.com consensus; Prelim +0.8%
Q1 GDP Deflator- Third Estimate +0.4% vs +0.6% Briefing.com consensus; Prelim +0.6% -
Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: CYRX +1.7%, BNED +1%
M&A news: RLOC +170% (ReachLocal to be acquired by Gannett for $4.60/share),TEVA +1.7% (Mayne Pharma confirms agreement to acquire 37 approved and 5 FDA filed products from Teva and Allergan (AGN) for cash consideration of $652 mln), CI +0.5% (Anthem (ANTM) might soon walk away from CI M&A deal due to regulatory issues, according to NY Post)
Select financial related names showing strength: PUK +12.3%, LYG +6.5%, RBS +4.9%, DB +3.5%, BAC +3.4%, BCS +3.3%
Select metals/mining stocks trading higher: AKS +6.9%, FCX +5.6%, BBL +5.6%, CLF +4.9%, BHP +4.6%, RIO +4.4%, VALE +3.2%
Select oil/gas related names showing strength: CHK +5.7%, PBR +4.7%, OAS +3.9%, MRO +3.7%, RIG +3.5%, RIG +3.5%, BP +3.1%, SDRL +2.8%, RDS.A +1.9%, TOT +1.7%
Other news: MRNS +8.9% (announces top-line data from a Phase 2 study to evaluateganaxolone for the treatment of anxiety and attention in children with Fragile X Syndrome), BPTH +8.8% (enters into a sponsored research agreement with Thomas Jefferson University to investigate DNAbilize), IMMU +6% (announces the issuance of the 28th patent covering the composition and uses of sacituzumab govitecan; updates on clinical development plan for sacituzumab govitecan in TNBC), DDD +4.5% (presenting at Die and Mould China 2016 conf today), LC +3.7% (names Scott Sanborn as CEO and President, discloses workforce reductions, updates on Q2 originations), MEET +3.6% (MeetMe to acquire Skout for $28.5 mln in cash & 5.37 mln common shares, implying an enterprise value of ~$54.6 mln, expects earnings accretion in first 12 months post-closing), VRX +3.3% (Director Ross disclosed purchase of 4000 shares, worth total of $97.6K (transaction date 6/13)), NVO +2.7% (receives EMA marketing authorization for authorisation of mylife YpsoPump for use with NovoRapid PumpCart), POT +2.5% (rebounding following yesterday's decline), AZN +2.4% (receives EC marketing authorization for Zavicefta), ZYNE +2.3% (announces 'positive' top line results from a Phase 1 trial of ZYN002 cannabidiol gel in development for the treatment of epilepsy, osteoarthritis and Fragile X Syndrome), "XRX +2.1% (Xerox announces agreement with Carl Icahn, will appoint Jonathan Christodoro to the Board effective immediately)," SCTY +2.1% (SolarCity announces formation of special committee to evaluate Tesla proposal; also, upgraded to Mkt Outperform from Mkt Perform at Avondale), SPLK +1.8% (Splunk announces that Groupon (GRPN) has agreed to a multi-year Enterprise Adoption Agreement for its Enterprise and Splunk Enterprise Security), TSLA +1.1% (SolarCity announces formation of special committee to evaluate Tesla proposal), TASR +1.1% (Jacksonville Sheriff's Office Deploys 2,500 TASER X26P Smart Weapons)
Analyst comments: VBLT +6.3% (initiated with a Buy at H.C. Wainwright; tgt $11), BT +6% (upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Macquarie), RIO +4.4% (upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley), AMAT +3.1% (upgraded to Neutral from Negative at Susquehanna), SHPG +2.7% (resumed on Conviction Buy List at Goldman)
Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: EBF -3.6%
Select metals/mining stocks trading lower: EGO -3.8%, HMY -3.2%, ABX -2.6%, GFI -2.6%, SLW -1.9%, HL -1.7%, NEM -1.6%, GOLD -1.5%, GDX -1.3%, AG -1%, AU -0.9%
Other news: RGLS -49.5% (receives verbal notice from the FDA that its IND for RG-101 for the treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus infection has been placed on clinical hold), SAND -9.3% (announces $50 mln bought deal financing at $4.45/share), BUFF -3% (Blue Buffalo commences secondary offering of 15 mln shares of its common stock on behalf of selling shareholders), SYT -1.3% (enters into global development and distribution agreement with The Stockton Group)
Analyst comments: MTOR -1.7% (downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray), MBLY -1.4% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman), LB -1.2% (downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA/Merrill), ATHM -0.6% (downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse)
Briefing.com -
S&P/Case-Shilleri majade hinnaindeks tõusis aastatagusega võrreldes 5,4%, jäädes alla konsensuse 5,5%-lisele ootusele:
April Case-Shiller 20-city Index Y/Y +5.4% vs +5.5% Briefing.com consensus
