Börsipäev 9. august
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Pärast reedest tugevamat tõusu ning rekordite purustamist tõmmati eile USA aktsiaturgudel hinge, kuid kaotused püsisid siiski minimaalsetena ning S&P 500 sulgus vaid -0,1% madalamal, kui WTI nafta 2,9% tõus (43,02 USD) aitas läbi energiasektori leevendada nõrkust tervishoiu- ja tarbekaupade sektoris. Päeva entusiastlikult alustanud Stoxx 600 indeks sulgus sisuliselt ilma muutuseta.
FEDi koostatud indeks on näidanud viimasel kahel kuul tööturu tingimuste märkimisväärset paranemist. Esiteks revideeriti juuni -1,9 langus -0,1 peale ning juulis muutus indeks esimest korda alates detsembrist taas positiivseks (1,0 punkti vs oodatud 0,0). Janet Yelleni sõnul on indeks alles katsefaasis ning midagi lõplikku ei saa sellest rahapoliitika väljavaate kohta järeldada, kuid indeksi viimaste kuude põrge võiks olla täiendavaks kinnituseks, et kevadel aeglustunud palkamine osutus lühiajaliseks nähtuseks.
Kui paranenud trend USA tööturul annab võimaluse jätkata aasta teises pooles intressimäära tõstmist, siis inflatsiooni eesmärgi täitmisel on õhus jätkuvalt palju küsimusi. Eile avaldatud NY FEDi küsitluse kohaselt langes tarbijate pikaajaline inflatsiooniootus juulis 2,86% pealt 2,5% peale, mis on vaid marginaalselt kõrgem jaanuaris saavutatud küsitluse 3a ajaloo madalaimast tasemest (2,45%).
Aasias liikusid aktsiaturud neljandat päeva plusspoolel, aidates MSCI Asia Pacific indeksil jõuda viimase aasta kõrgeimale tasemele. Hiina tootjahinnaindeksi langus aeglustus seitsmendat kuud järjest, vähenedes juulis -1,7%le (-2,6% juunis ning parem oodatud -2,0%st), millele aitas osaliselt kaasa toorainete hindade stabiliseerumine. Tarbijate jaoks aeglustus inflatsioon ootuspäraselt -0,1pp võrra 1,8%le, jäädes alla keskpanga sihiks seatud 3%le.
Majandusuudiste osas jääb päev suhteliselt vaikseks. Suurbritannias oodatakse tööstustoodangu väikest 0,1% kuist põrget juunis pärast -0,5% langust mais ning Ühendriikide väikefirmade kindlustunde indeks peaks analüütikute konsensuse järgi püsima 94,5 punktil, olles viimased kolm kuud liikunud ülesmäge tagasi detsembri taseme lähedale.
09.00 Saksamaa kaubandusbilanss (juuni)
09.45 Prantsusmaa eelarve tasakaal (juuni)
11.30 Suurbritannia tööstustoodang (juuni)
13.00 USA väikefirmade kindlustunde indeks (juuli)
15.00 Brasiilia jaemüük (juuni)
17.00 USA hulgimüügi varud (juuni) -
Saksamaa eksport paranes pärast maikuu -1,8% MoM langust oodatust veidi vähem, import oli aga tugevam (mais MoM 0,0%)
German June Exports +0.3% M/m; Est. +1.1% M/m
Imports seasonally adjusted +1% m/m; est. +0.6% m/m -
Prantsusmaa valitsuse tänavune eelarve puudujääk ulatus juuni seisuga -61,8 miljardi euroni, kasvades aastaga 3,3 miljardi euro võrra
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Hiina automüügii kasv kiirenes juulis 23%ni (19,4% juunis)
China Auto Sales Rising Most in 17 Months Spurs Inventory Relief -
Suurbritannia töötleva tööstuse toodang kujunes juunis oodatust pisut nõrgemaks, kahanedes -0,1pp võrra negatiivsemaks revideeritud mai (-0,6%) baasil -0,3% (prorgnoositi -0,2%). Mullusega võrreldes aeglustus kasv 1,5% pealt 0,9%le.
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USA väikefirmade kindlustunde indeks püsis stabiilsena juulis
US NFIB Small Business Optimism Jul: 94.6 (est 94.5; prev 94.5) -
Erko Rebane
Prantsusmaa valitsuse tänavune eelarve puudujääk ulatus juuni seisuga -61,8 miljardi euroni, kasvades aastaga 3,3 miljardi euro võrra
Siin pole ka midagi üllatavat, anname lihtsalt andeks ja pidu jätkub:
EU states agree budget fine waivers for Spain, Portugal
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-eu-deficits-spain-portugal-idUSKCN10K0P3 -
Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance:
HIIQ +39%, ALDX +27.6%, FH +17.1%, (also FORM Holdings to acquire 100% of XpresSpa through a private placement of its common stock to Mistral Equity Parterns and other existing XpresSpa holders at $2.31/share or $1.73 mln), REN +12.7%, WAC +11.8%, ENDP +11%, CSLT +10.6%, WPRT +10.1%
AMPH +9.4%, VSLR +8.8%, CASC +8.3%, NVRO +7.5%, GIGA +6.5%, (also receives a $1.9 mln order for non-recurring engineering services associated with its Microsource business unit from an aerospace company), KNDI +6.5%, ATSG +6.3%, ATSG +6.3%, EGY +6.2%, EGY +6.2%, MIME +5.9%, HEAR +5.5%, (thinly traded), AMAG +5.4%, MCHP +5.3%, (also increased quarterly cash dividend to $0.36/share from $0.3595/share), LGIH +5.2%, BDSI +5%
CPE +4.7%, OPK +4.3%, IDI +4.1%, (also annouces Harry Jordan as COO), SIEN +4.1%, EGRX +3.9%, NILE +3.8%, WBMD +3.5%, WBMD +3.5%, INCY +3.5%, ZBRA +3.5%, MSTX +3.5%, ZLTQ +3.3%, FGEN +3.2%, OCUL +3.1%, AMID +3%
DQ +2.7%, IONS +2.6%, RSPP +2.4%, CECE +2.2%, IPHI +2%, IFF +1.7%, TWLO +1.5%, ELNK +1.3%, CLVS +1.3%, FSC +1.2%, EXC +1.1%, FSM +1%
M&A news: MWW +22.4% (to be acquired by Randstad Holding (RANJY) for $3.40 per share; also reported earnings), .
Other news:
ALDX +27.2% (reports 'positive' data from a clinical trial of NS2)
MESO +16.6% (thinly traded - Phase 2 trial results of Mesoblast's cell therapy show dose-related improvements in biologic refractory rheumatoid arthritis)
SPEX +14.9% (enters into a non-binding letter of intent to invest in DatChat in exchange for an equity security interest in DatChat)
VRX +6.4% (announces relaunch of generic Ofloxacin Otic solution, also reported earnings)
WPZ +4.7% (Williams and Williams Partners announced they have agreed to sell the companies' Canadian businesses to Inter Pipeline Ltd. for combined cash proceeds of $1.35 billion CAD)
CPS +3.9% (S&P announces Cooper-Standard Holdings will replace QLogic Corp. (QLGC) in the S&P SmallCap 600 after the close of trading on Wednesday August 10
PSTI +2.6% (announces that its critical limb ischemia program in the EU has been awarded an $8 mln grant)
AAL +2.6% (reports July and year-to-date 2016 traffic results)
NVO +1.7% (still checking)
BSX +0.5% (receives FDA approval for the EMBLEM MRI Subcutaneous Implantable Defibrillator System)
Analyst comments:
VALE +0.8% (upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley)
CVX +0.6% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray)
Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance:
CNXR -35%, DRYS -29%, IPXL -26.4%, TUBE -23.1%, MODN -20.1%, MXL -15.1%, W -14.9%, FSTR -14.7%, CAS -11.6%, CMT -10%, HRI -9.7%, MTW -9.3%, ROG -8.9%, NCLH -8.2%
VTTI -8%, (also VTTI Energy Partners to acquire an additional 8.4% equity interest in VTTI MLP B.V. and associated pro-rata net debt from VTTI MLP Partners B.V. for cash consideration of $96.2 mln; commences 5.25 mln public offering of common units representing limited partner interests in the Partnership )
NPTN -6.7%, RRGB -5%, (also announces that Denny Marie Post has been appointed as CEO and to the board, effective August 8 2016 ), BOJA -4.8%, GPS -4%, (Gap reports July same store sales -4.0% vs -3.6% Retail Metrics consensus and issues Q2 guidance)
EVEP -3.8%, NEWT -3.3%, SNI -3.3%, JPEP -3.1%, LC -3.1%, (also CFO Dolan stepping down), MNKD -3%, KITE -3%, AER -2.8%, ARLZ -2.8%, USFD -2.6%,
COH -2.3%, NUAN -2%, DVA -1.8%, ARNA -1.8%, HTZ -1.7%, FNV -1.1%
Other news:
TWER -19.4% ( files for $20 mln common stock offering )
FCSC -19.4% ( to offer and sell shares of its common stock and related warrants to purchase shares of its common stock in an underwritten public offering)
ARRY -11.2% (Array's partner AstraZeneca provides update on Phase III trial of Selumetinib in non-small cell lung cancer; study did not meet its primary end point)
IAG -8.6% (IAMGOLD to sell, on a bought deal basis, 38.85 mln common shares at a price of $5.15/share, for aggregate gross proceeds of ~$200 mln; commences cash tender offer for up to $150 million of its 6.75% Senior Notes due 2020)
VTTI -7.9% (prices 5.25 mln common units representing limited partner interests in the Partnership for total gross proceeds of ~ $101.3 mln or ~$19.30/share), FOXF -6.2% (Fox Factory Holding announces that an existing stockholders intends to offer for sale an aggregate of 3.5 mln shares of the Co's common stock in underwritten secondary offering )
PSXP -5% ( announces an underwritten public offering of 6 mln common units )
ACAD -4.2% ( to offer and sell $200 mln of its common stock in an underwritten public offering )
X -3.8% ( commences 17 mln common stock offering)
BGS -3.7% (prices 3.75 mln common stock offering at $49.00/share)
TSE -3% (Trinseo announces that Bain Capital Everest Manager Holding has agreed to sell 8 mln ordinary shares pursuant to its shelf registration statement)
BMRN -3% (files mixed securities shelf offering; commences 7.5 mln common stock offering)
WING -2.6% (announces that a stockholder, namely an affiliate of Roark Capital, intends to offer for sale in an underwritten secondary offering 6 mln shares of the co's common stock )
AZN -1.1% (provides update on Phase III trial of Selumetinib in non-small cell lung cancer; study did not meet its primary end point)
AKR -1% ( announces sale of 4.2 mln common shares )
SAVE -0.8% (reports July prelim traffic; RPMs +18.4% Y/Y on ASMs +17.1% Y/Y, load factor for July 2016 was 89.8%, +1%)
Analyst comments: AV -1.4% (downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Macquarie)
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