Börsipäev 20. oktoober
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Aktsiaturud säilitasid eile positiivse momentumi, kui Ühendriikides sulgus S&P 500 0,2% kõrgemal ning Euroopas pani Stoxx 600 päevale punkti 0,4% võiduga. Mõlema puhul vedas tõusjate nimekirja energiasektor tänu WTI 2,6% kallinemisele 15 kuu tippu, mida ajendasid oodatust suurem langus USA toornafta varudes ning Saudi Araabia energiaministri kommentaar, et OPECi tootmismahtude langetamise plaaniga on nõus liituma mitmed riigid.
USAs alustatud elamuehitused kukkusid septembris -9% annualiseeritult 1,047 miljonile, mis märkis 18 kuu madalaimat taset. Kuid languse tingis volatiilne mitmepereelamu kategooria, samas kui alustatud ühepereelamu ehituste arv kasvas annualiseeritult 8,1% 783 tuhandele (seitsme kuu tipp) ning seda loetakse majanduse seisukohast olulisemaks näitajaks. Paralleelselt avaldatud ehituslubade arv kasvas septembris annualiseeritult 6,3% 1,225 miljonile (oodati 1,165 miljonit), kui seejuures põrkas mitmeprereelamute ehituslubade arv 16,8%, mis näitab, et septembri langus osutus ajutiseks.
Augustist kuni 7. oktoobrini kogutud info põhjal on FEDi beige booki kohaselt USA majandus liikunud erinevates piirkondades edasi tagasihoidliku või mõõduka kiirusega. 12st piirkonnast viies kasvas tarbimine mõõdukalt, kahes toodi välja muutumatuna püsinud müügiaktiivsust. Tööturul täheldatakse kiiremat palgakasvu kõrgema kvalifikatsiooniga tööjõu puhul, keda on keeruline leida, üldiselt aga püsis küsitluse kohaselt palgakasv mõõduka kasvu juures suhteliselt stabiilsena. Ettevõtted hindasid oma väljavaadet positiivseks, kuigi mitmetes sektorites mainisid kontaktid, et lähenevad presidendivalimised loovad määramatust, põhjustades osade äriotsuste edasilükkumist.
Euroopa Keskpanga istung saab olema täna peamise tähelepanu all. Ehkki analüütikud muutust rahapoliitikas ei oota, loodetakse Mario Draghi pressikonverentsil ridade vahelt välja lugeda, kas keskpank on valmis detsembris seniseid meetmeid üle vaatama ning vajadusel stiimulit suurendama. Ühendriikides jälgitakse möödunud nädala esmaseid töötu abiraha taotlusi, septembrikuu olemasolevate majade müüki ning Philadelphia FEDi töötleva tööstuse küsitlust.
11.30 Suurbritannia jaemüük (september)
14.45 Euroopa Keskpanga istung
15.30 Mario Draghi pressikonverents
15.30 USA esmased töötu abiraha taotlused
15.30 USA Philadelphia FEDi töötleva tööstuse küsitlus (oktoober)
17.00 USA olemasolevate majade müük (september)
17.00 USA juhtivate indikaatorite indeks (september) -
Suurbritannia jaemüük kasvas autosid ja kütust arvestamata septembris MoM 0,0%, jäädes alla analüütikute 0,2% kasvuootusele, kuigi seda aitas kompenseerida augustikuu languse revideerimine -0,3% pealt -0,1%le. Aastatagusega võrreldes aeglustus kasv 4,0%le (oodati 4,4%)
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ECB DEPOSIT FACILITY RATE UNCHANGED AT -0.400%
ECB LEAVES BENCHMARK INTEREST RATE UNCHANGED AT 0.000%
ECB KEEPS ASSET-PURCHASE PROGRAM AT 80 BILLION EUROS A MONTH
ECB: "The Governing Council continues to expect the key interest rates to remain at present or lower levels for an extended period of time" -
DRAGHI: NO SIGNS OF CONVINCING UPWARD TREND IN CORE INFLATION
DRAGHI: NO DISCUSSION TODAY OF EXTENDING QE
DRAGHI: ECB DID NOT DISCUSS TAPERING -
USA esmased töötu abiraha taotlused kasvasid eelmisel nädalal 13 tuhande võrra 260 tuhandele (oodati 250 tuhat), Philadelphia FEDi töötleva tööstuse aktiivsusindeks alanes 12,8 punktilt 9,7 punktile, kuid erinevalt NY omast jäi oodatust kõrgemaks (5,0)
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Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance:
MAT +6.5%, AXP +6.2%, ICLR +5.9%, URI +5.2%, SXCP +5.2%, HXL +4.5%, CTXS +4.3%, SNA +4%
EXPO +3.7%, (also has approved an additional $35 million in share repurchases, adding toits existing $22 million available under the current authorization)
UMPQ +3.4%, RS +3.4%, KMI +3.3%, HLX +2.5%, FTI +2.4%, EWBC +2.1%, (light volume), DAN +2.1%, BK +2%, LRCX +1.8%, IMAX +1.8%, WBA +1.4%
ALK +1.4%, AAL +1.2%, KALU +1.1%, SON +0.8%, HNI +0.7%, LUV +0.7%, WDFC +0.6%, FNB +0.6%, TXT +0.6%
M&A news:
XGTI +9.2% ( to acquire Vislink Communication Systems for $16 mln)
IMOS +5.3% (announces it expects to close on October 31, 2016 the merger of ChipMOS Bermuda with and into its 58.3% owned subsidiary ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES)
RAD +4.4% (Rite Aid and Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) mutually agree to extend the end date of their merger agreement from October 27 to January 27, 2017)
Select financial related names showing strength: IBN +2.9%, BBVA +1.8%, BCS +1.6%, RBS +1.3%, LYG +1.1%, .
Other news:
DRWI +44.8% (DragonWave announced Sprint has selected its microwave backhaul equipment for network deployment as part of the company's densification and optimization strategy)
IDXG +11.3% (thinly traded; reported today, from the ACG Annual Meeting in Las Vegas, NV, the publication of a study supporting its PanDNA product)
ABEO +3.9% (provides an update from the ABO-102 Phase 1/2 MPS IIIA clinical trial)
GALE +3.7% (announces that Dr. Doreen Jackson delivered a presentation on GALE-301 and GALE-302)
CBAY +2.8% (announces that MBX-8025 has been granted the PRIME designation by the EMA for the treatment of primary biliary cholangitis)
GNC +2.4% (continued strength)
AVGR +2.3% (receives expanded indications from the FDA recognizing the Pantheris Lumivascular atherectomy system as a technology that can be used for both therapeutic and diagnostic purposes)
ADXS +2.2% (initiates Part B of the KEYNOTE-046 clinical trial evaluating ADXS-PSA in combination with KEYTRUDA)
Analyst comments:
BANC +4.5% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at DA Davidson)
EXPE +1.5% (upgraded to Overweight from Sector Weight at Pacific Crest)
Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance:
SCSS -18.4%, DXPE -17.1%, ( issues downside prelim Q3 sales guidance citing lagging sales during the month of July), TBI -14%, JAKK -13.5%
MTW -11.6%, (reports prelim Q3 results with upside total sales but double digit decline in orders and backlog ), EBAY -8.6%, BJRI -7.5%, SBNY -6.4%
PHM -4.4%, SYNT -4.2%, VZ -2.8%, TRV -2.7%, TSCO -2%, DNKN -2%, UNP -1.8%, CLB -1.6%, SXC -1.5%, STLD -1%, LAD -0.8%, PKG -0.7%
M&A news:
IOC -0.8% (updates on the court approval process regarding the pending transaction with Exxon Mobil (XOM); Court of Appeal of Yukon has scheduled the appeal hearing to be heard on October 31)
Select oil/gas related names showing early weakness: LEI -2.3%, SDLP -1.9%, WLL -1%, MRO -1%
Other news:
RIGL -32.6% (announces results from the second FIT phase 3 study and the long-term open-label extension study for Fostamatinib in ITP; study did not meet its primary endpoint)
ONVO -14.3% (commences an underwritten public offering of its common stock)
PBYI -5.9% (prices 3.75 mln shares of common stock at $40.00 per share)
HQY -2.7% (HealthEquity announces a 2.5 mln share underwritten secondary offering of common stock by stockholders )
TPX -2% (SCSS sympathy)
TSLA -1.3% (confirms that all Tesla cars being produced now have full self-driving hardwareg)
SCTY -1.3% (likely in sympathy with TSLA)
FMSA -1.1% (prices offering of 30.25 mln shares of common stock )
RIO -0.8% (releases third quarter production results with 2016/2017 guidance )
Analyst comments:
BUD -0.9% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Societe Generale)
WLTW -0.9% (downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank
Briefing.com -
EKP konverentsi kokkuvõtteks:
ECB in brief:
-Didnt discuss QE
-Didnt discuss taper
-Didnt discuss... what was the question again?
-There are no bubbles
-See u nxt month -
USA majade müük oodatust parem
US Existing Home Sales Sep: 5.47M (est 5.35M; rev prev 5.30M)
-Existing Home Sales (MoM) Sep: 3.20% (est 0.40%; rev prev -1.50%) -
Coheni tagasitulek pärast insider skandaali, lugu mis on väidetavalt ainest andnud Billions seriaalile
Inside Billionaire Steve Cohen’s Comeback
